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We derive novel concentration inequalities that bound the statistical error for a large class of stochastic optimization problems, focusing on the case of unbounded objective functions. Our derivations utilize the following key tools: 1) A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-01 Jeremiah Birrell

A new class of stochastic processes called independent and periodically identically distributed (i.p.i.d.) processes is defined to capture periodically varying statistical behavior. Algorithms are proposed to detect changes in such i.p.i.d.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Taposh Banerjee , Prudhvi Gurram , Gene Whipps

Recent work in dynamic causal inference introduced a class of discrete-time stochastic processes that generalize martingale difference sequences and arrays as follows: the random variates in each sequence have expectation zero given certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Walter Dempsey , Easton Huch

We introduce an estimation method for the scaled skewness coefficient of the sample mean of short and long memory linear processes. This method can be extended to estimate higher moments such as curtosis coefficient of the sample mean. Also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Masoud M Nasari , Mohamedou Ould-Haye

The term "moderate deviations" is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-01 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci

In this paper, we derive the moderate deviation principle for stationary sequences of bounded random variables with values in a Hilbert space. The conditions obtained are expressed in terms of martingale-type conditions. The main tools are…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-21 Sophie Dede

We compute a variance lower bound for unbiased estimators in specified statistical models. The construction of the bound is related to the original Cram\'er-Rao bound, although it does not require the differentiability of the model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-13 Thibault Espinasse , Paul Rochet

The Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB), a well-known lower bound on the performance of any unbiased parameter estimator, has been used to study a wide variety of problems. However, to obtain the CRB, requires an analytical expression for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Hai Victor Habi , Hagit Messer , Yoram Bresler

We prove an asymptotic Cram\'er's theorem, that is, if the sequence $(X_{n}+ Y_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ converges in law to the standard normal distribution and for every $n\geq 1$ the random variables $X_{n}$ and $Y_{n}$ are independent, then…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-22 Ciprian Tudor

We obtain large and moderate deviation estimates, as well as concentration inequalities, for a class of nonuniformly expanding maps with stretched exponential decay of correlations. In the large deviation regime, we also exhibit examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

The classical Cram\'er-Rao inequality gives a lower bound for the variance of a unbiased estimator of an unknown parameter, in some statistical model of a random process. In this note we rewrite the statment and proof of the bound using…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-10-27 Anthony D. Blaom

The theory for multiplier empirical processes has been one of the central topics in the development of the classical theory of empirical processes, due to its wide applicability to various statistical problems. In this paper, we develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

The purpose of the present paper is to establish explicit bounds on moderate deviation probabilities for a rather general class of geometric functionals enjoying the stabilization property, under Poisson input and the assumption of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Peter Eichelsbacher , Martin Raic , Tomasz Schreiber

Here we obtain the exact asymptotics for large and moderate deviations, strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem for chains with unbounded variable length memory.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-18 A. Logachev , A. Mogulskii , A. Yambartsev

This paper proposes self-normalized tests for multistep conditional predictive ability in forecast comparison. By normalizing the sample mean of the transformed loss differential using functionals of its cumulative sum (CUSUM) process,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Qitong Chen , Shuwen Lai

Quantum metrology derives its capabilities from the careful employ of quantum resources for carrying out measurements. This advantage, however, relies on refined data postprocessing, assessed based on the variance of the estimated…

Existing two-sample testing techniques, particularly those based on choosing a kernel for the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), often assume equal sample sizes from the two distributions. Applying these methods in practice can require…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-17 Aaron Wei , Milad Jalali , Danica J. Sutherland

Consider a population of individuals belonging to an infinity number of types, and assume that type proportions follow the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution. A sample of size n is selected from the population. The total number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Stefano Favaro , Shui Feng , Fuqing Gao

We study moderate deviations of suprema of parametrized sequences of sample bounded Gaussian processes $\{X _x(t), t\in T _x\}$, and first present recent sharp bounds in simple cases. In the almost periodic case, we prove an approximation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-22 Michel Weber

We show a deviation inequality for U-statistics of independent data taking values in a separable Banach space which satisfies some smoothness assumptions. We then provide applications to rates in the law of large numbers for U-statistics, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Davide Giraudo
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