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We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

This paper proposes a methodology to estimate characteristic functions of stochastic differential equations that are defined over polynomials and driven by L\'evy noise. For such systems, the time evolution of the characteristic function is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-20 Khem Raj Ghusinga , Andrew Lamperski , Abhyudai Singh

We study generalized additive partial linear models, proposing the use of polynomial spline smoothing for estimation of nonparametric functions, and deriving quasi-likelihood based estimators for the linear parameters. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Li Wang , Xiang Liu , Hua Liang , Raymond J. Carroll

We introduce and analyze a method of learning-informed parameter identification for partial differential equations (PDEs) in an all-at-once framework. The underlying PDE model is formulated in a rather general setting with three unknowns:…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-25 Christian Aarset , Martin Holler , Tram Thi Ngoc Nguyen

We present a nonlinear dynamical approximation method for time-dependent Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). The approach makes use of parametrized decoder functions, and provides a general, and principled way of understanding and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Daan Bon , Benjamin Caris , Olga Mula

This paper presents two schemes to jointly estimate parameters and states of discrete-time nonlinear systems in the presence of bounded disturbances and noise and where the parameters belong to a known compact set. The schemes are based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 T. J. Meijer , V. S. Dolk , M. S. Chong , R. Postoyan , B. de Jager , D. Nešić , W. P. M. H. Heemels

In this paper, we propose a class of penalty methods with stochastic approximation for solving stochastic nonlinear programming problems. We assume that only noisy gradients or function values of the objective function are available via…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Xiao Wang , Shiqian Ma , Ya-xiang Yuan

We compare a recently proposed multivariate spline based on mixed partial derivatives with two other standard splines for the scattered data smoothing problem. The splines are defined as the minimiser of a penalised least squares…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Elizabeth Harris , Bishnu Lamichhane , Quoc Thong Le Gia

Recent advances in the theory of Neural Operators (NOs) have enabled fast and accurate computation of the solutions to complex systems described by partial differential equations (PDEs). Despite their great success, current NO-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Ashutosh Singh , Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Deniz Erdogmus , Tales Imbiriba

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

Pseudospectral approximation provides a means to approximate the dynamics of delay differential equations (DDE) by ordinary differential equations (ODE). This article develops a computer-aided algorithm to determine the distance between the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Shane Kepley , Babette A. J. de Wolff

In this paper we address the convergence of stochastic approximation when the functions to be minimized are not convex and nonsmooth. We show that the "mean-limit" approach to the convergence which leads, for smooth problems, to the ODE…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Szymon Majewski , Błażej Miasojedow , Eric Moulines

Sparse system identification of nonlinear dynamic systems is still challenging, especially for stiff and high-order differential equations for noisy measurement data. The use of highly correlated functions makes distinguishing between true…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-12-19 Ashish Pal , Sutanu Bhowmick , Satish Nagarajaiah

We consider parameter estimation of ordinary differential equation (ODE) models from noisy observations. For this problem, one conventional approach is to fit numerical solutions (e.g., Euler, Runge--Kutta) of ODEs to data. However, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Takeru Matsuda , Yuto Miyatake

We present a parameter estimation method in Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) models. Due to complex relationships between parameters and states the use of standard techniques such as nonlinear least squares can lead to the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Quentin Clairon

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a system of ordinary differential equations from noisy observations on a solution of the system. In case the system is nonlinear, as it typically is in practical applications, an analytic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-27 Shota Gugushvili , Chris A. J. Klaassen

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to model biological, (bio-)chemical and technical processes. The parameters of these ODEs are often estimated from experimental data using ODE-constrained optimisation. This article…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-06 Anna Fiedler , Fabian J. Theis , Jan Hasenauer

Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

We present a method of parameter estimation for large class of nonlinear systems, namely those in which the state consists of output derivatives and the flow is linear in the parameter. The method, which solves for the unknown parameter by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-16 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

We address numerical differentiation under coarse, non-uniform sampling and Gaussian noise. A maximum-likelihood estimator with $L_2$-norm constraint on a higher-order derivative is obtained, yielding spline-based solution. We introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Konstantin E. Avrachenkov , Leonid B. Freidovich