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Assessing the synergistic high-order behaviors (HOBs) that emerge from underlying structural mechanisms is crucial to characterize complex systems. This work leverages the combined use of predictability and information measures to detect…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-16 Chiara Barà , Yuri Antonacci , Laura Sparacino , Helder Pinto , Michal Javorka , Sebastiano Stramaglia , Luca Faes

Time series models, typically trained on numerical data, are designed to forecast future values. These models often rely on weighted averaging techniques over time intervals. However, real-world time series data is seldom isolated and is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Litton Jose Kurisinkel , Pruthwik Mishra , Yue Zhang

Fisher information and Shannon entropy are fundamental tools for understanding and analyzing dynamical systems from complementary perspectives. They can characterize unknown parameters by quantifying the information contained in variables,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Yuxuan Bao , J. Nathan Kutz

In order to pursue the issue of the relation between the financial cross-correlations and the conventional Random Matrix Theory we analyse several characteristics of the stock market correlation matrices like the distribution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 S. Drozdz , J. Kwapien , P. Oswiecimka

Information theory allows us to investigate information processing in neural systems in terms of information transfer, storage and modification. Especially the measure of information transfer, transfer entropy, has seen a dramatic surge of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-24 Patricia Wollstadt , Mario Martínez-Zarzuela , Raul Vicente , Francisco J. Díaz-Pernas , Michael Wibral

Binary time series data are very common in many applications, and are typically modelled independently via a Bernoulli process with a single probability of success. However, the probability of a success can be dependent on the outcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Louise Kimpton , Peter Challenor , Henry Wynn

The activity of neurons within brain circuits has been ubiquitously reported to be correlated. The impact of these correlations on brain function has been extensively investigated. Correlations can in principle increase or decrease the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-24 Miguel Ibáñez-Berganza , Giulio Bondanelli , Stefano Panzeri

Advocating for a sustainable, resilient and human-centric industry, the three pillars of Industry 5.0 call for an increased understanding of industrial processes and manufacturing systems, as well as their energy sustainability. One of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Romain Delabeye , Martin Ghienne , Olivia Penas , Jean-Luc Dion

Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies. Not surprisingly, this area has attracted…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Peiyuan Liu , Yuxia Zhu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Shu-tao Xia , Dawei Cheng , Changjun Jiang

Quantum Fisher Information (QFI) sets the ultimate precision limit for parameter estimation and is therefore a central quantity in quantum metrology. In time-dependent many-body systems, however, maximizing QFI is a highly non-trivial task…

Short-term patterns in financial time series form the cornerstone of many algorithmic trading strategies, yet extracting these patterns reliably from noisy market data remains a formidable challenge. In this paper, we propose an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Rishabh Gupta , Shivam Gupta , Jaskirat Singh , Sabre Kais

Although instantaneous interactions are unphysical, a large variety of maximum entropy statistical inference methods match the model-inferred and the empirically-measured equal-time correlation functions. Focusing on collective motion of…

This work considers the problem of binary classification: given training data $x_1, \dots, x_n$ from a certain population, together with associated labels $y_1,\dots, y_n \in \left\{0,1 \right\}$, determine the best label for an element $x$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-04 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Ryan Murray

This paper studies theory and inference related to a class of time series models that incorporates nonlinear dynamics. It is assumed that the observations follow a one-parameter exponential family of distributions given an accompanying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-19 Richard A. Davis , Heng Liu

The mutual information between stimulus and spike-train response is commonly used to monitor neural coding efficiency, but neuronal computation broadly conceived requires more refined and targeted information measures of input-output joint…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-04-21 Sarah E. Marzen , Michael R. DeWeese , James P. Crutchfield

Neuromorphic applications emulate the processing performed by the brain by using spikes as inputs instead of time-varying analog stimuli. Therefore, these time-varying stimuli have to be encoded into spikes, which can induce important…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Ahmad El Ferdaoussi , Eric Plourde , Jean Rouat

Using frequency distributions of daily closing price time series of several financial market indexes, we investigate whether the bias away from an equiprobable sequence distribution found in the data, predicted by algorithmic information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-17 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

In this paper, we investigate binary response models for heterogeneous panel data with interactive fixed effects by allowing both the cross-sectional dimension and the temporal dimension to diverge. From a practical point of view, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-18 Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

Nonlinear, adaptive, or otherwise complex control techniques are increasingly relied upon to ensure the safety of systems operating in uncertain environments. However, the nonlinearity of the resulting closed-loop system complicates…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-17 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

Many economic panel and dynamic models, such as rational behavior and Euler equations, imply that the parameters of interest are identified by conditional moment restrictions. We introduce a novel inference method without any prior…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-01 Xiaohong Chen , Sokbae Lee , Myung Hwan Seo , Myunghyun Song