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We study a particular class of moving average processes which possess a property called localisability. This means that, at any given point, they admit a ``tangent process'', in a suitable sense. We give general conditions on the kernel g…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 Kenneth Falconer , Ronan Le Guével , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

A moderate deviation principle for functionals, with at most quadratic growth, of moving average processes is established. The main assumptions on the moving average process are a Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for the driving random…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hacene Djellout , Arnaud Guillin , Liming Wu

We study the persistence probabilities of a moving average process of order one with uniform innovations. We identify a number of regions, characterized by the location of the uniform distribution and the coupling parameter of the process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Frank Aurzada , Kilian Raschel

This paper provides a simple method to estimate both univariate and multivariate MA processes. Similar to Durbin's method, it rests on the recursive relation between the parameters of the MA process and those of its AR representation. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-27 Maximilian Ludwig

A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-14 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

Time-dependent correlation functions of (unstable) particles undergoing biased or unbiased diffusion, coagulation and annihilation are calculated. This is achieved by similarity transformations between different stochastic models and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Malte Henkel , Enzo Orlandini , Gunter M. Schütz

Log-normal continuous random cascades form a class of multifractal processes that has already been successfully used in various fields. Several statistical issues related to this model are studied. We first make a quick but extensive review…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 E. Bacry , A. Kozhemyak , J. -F. Muzy

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

We discuss invariance principles for autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving averages in $\alpha$-stable $(1< \alpha \le 2)$ i.i.d. innovations and related tempered linear processes with vanishing tempering parameter $\lambda…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Farzad Sabzikar , Donatas Surgailis

A multivariate, stationary time series is said to be jointly regularly varying if all its finite-dimensional distributions are multivariate regularly varying. This property is shown to be equivalent to weak convergence of the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-27 Bojan Basrak , Johan Segers

We present a framework for computing averages of various observables of Macdonald processes. This leads to new contour--integral formulas for averages of a large class of multilevel observables, as well as Fredholm determinants for averages…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Alexei Borodin , Ivan Corwin , Vadim Gorin , Shamil Shakirov

We show that the sequence of moments of order less than 1 of averages of i.i.d. positive random variables is log-concave. For moments of order at least 1, we conjecture that the sequence is log-convex and show that this holds eventually for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Philip Lamkin , Tomasz Tkocz

We study the persistence probabilities of a moving average process of order one with innovations that follow a Laplace distribution. The persistence probabilities can be computed fully explicitly in terms of classical combinatorial…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-17 Frank Aurzada , Kilian Raschel

We characterize the conditions under which a multi-time quantum process with a finite temporal resolution can be approximately described by an equilibrium one. By providing a generalization of the notion of equilibration on average, where a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-02 Pedro Figueroa-Romero , Kavan Modi , Felix A. Pollock

Self-similar stable mixed moving average processes can be related to nonsingular flows through their minimal representations. Self-similar stable mixed moving averages related to dissipative flows have been studied, as well as processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vladas Pipiras , Murad S. Taqqu

For statistical inference of means of stationary processes, one needs to estimate their time-average variance constants (TAVC) or long-run variances. For a stationary process, its TAVC is the sum of all its covariances and it is a multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-01 Wei Biao Wu

For a general class of diffusion processes with multiplicative noise, describing a variety of physical as well as financial phenomena, mostly typical of complex systems, we obtain the analytical solution for the moments at all times. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-03-18 Giacomo Bormetti , Danilo Delpini

We study the average shape of fluctuations for subdiffusive processes, i.e., processes with uncorrelated increments but where the waiting time distribution has a broad power-law tail. This shape is obtained analytically by means of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Santos B. Yuste , L. Acedo

Functional time series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. Important contributions to methodology, theory and application for the prediction of future trajectories and the estimation of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-04 Alexander Aue , Johannes Klepsch

One-dimensional run-and-tumble processes may converge towards some localized non-equilibrium steady state when the two velocities and/or the two switching rates are space-dependent. A long dynamical trajectory can be then analyzed via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-23 Cecile Monthus
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