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Instrumental variables have been widely used to estimate the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome. Existing confidence intervals for causal effects based on instrumental variables assume that all of the putative instrumental variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-03 Hyunseung Kang , Youjin Lee , T. Tony Cai , Dylan S. Small

This paper presents Bayesian techniques for conservative claims about software reliability, particularly when evidence suggests the software's executions are not statistically independent. We formalise informal notions of "doubting" that…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Kizito Salako , Xingyu Zhao

Data in the real world often has an evolving distribution. Thus, machine learning models trained on such data get outdated over time. This phenomenon is called model drift. Knowledge of this drift serves two purposes: (i) Retain an accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Pranoy Panda , Kancheti Sai Srinivas , Vineeth N Balasubramanian , Gaurav Sinha

Many methods of estimating causal models do not provide estimates of confidence in the resulting model. In this work, a metric is proposed for validating the output of a causal model fit; the robustness of the model structure with resampled…

Quantum processors can already execute tasks beyond the reach of classical simulation, albeit for artificial problems. At this point, it is essential to design error metrics that test the experimental accuracy of quantum algorithms with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-01-22 Jader P. Santos , Ivan Henao , Raam Uzdin

Most recent network failure diagnosis systems focused on data center networks where complex measurement systems can be deployed to derive routing information and ensure network coverage in order to achieve accurate and fast fault…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Yufeng Xin , Shih-Wen Fu , Anirban Mandal , Ryan Tanaka , Mats Rynge , Karan Vahi , Ewa Deelman

Here we introduce the idea of using rational expectations, a core concept in economics and finance, as a tool to predict the optimal failure time for a wide class of weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems. We illustrate the concept by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-21 Jorgen Vitting Andersen , Roy Cerqueti , Jessica Riccioni

In this work, we focus on analyzing vulnerability of nonlinear dynamical control systems to stealthy false data injection attacks on sensors. We start by defining the stealthiness notion in the most general form where an attack is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-10 Amir Khazraei , Miroslav Pajic

The Functional Failure Rate analysis of today's complex circuits is a difficult task and requires a significant investment in terms of human efforts, processing resources and tool licenses. Thereby, de-rating or vulnerability factors are a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-27 Thomas Lange , Aneesh Balakrishnan , Maximilien Glorieux , Dan Alexandrescu , Luca Sterpone

In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic approach to risk assessment of robot systems by focusing on the impact of uncertainties. While various approaches to identifying systematic hazards (e.g., bugs, design flaws, etc.) can be found in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Woo-Jeong Baek , Tom P. Huck , Joschka Haas , Jonas Lewandrowski , Tamim Asfour , Torsten Kröger

A weak value is an effective description of the influence of a pre and post-selected 'principal' system on another 'meter' system to which it is weakly coupled. Weak values can describe anomalously large deflections of the meter, and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-08-13 George C. Knee , G. Andrew D. Briggs

We consider the problem of sample-based feedback motion planning from measurements affected by systematic errors. Our previous work presented output feedback controllers that use measurements from landmarks in the environment to navigate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Mahroo Bahreinian , Roberto Tron

The need for control strategies that can address dynamic system uncertainty is becoming increasingly important. In this work, we propose a Model Predictive Control by quantifying the risk of failure in our system model. The proposed control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-17 Mostafa Tavakkoli Anbarani , Efe C. Balta , Rômulo Meira-Góes , Ilya Kovalenko

The Influence Function (IF) is a widely used technique for assessing the impact of individual training samples on model predictions. However, existing IF methods often fail to provide reliable influence estimates in deep neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Xichen Ye , Yifan Wu , Weizhong Zhang , Cheng Jin , Yifan Chen

This paper considers inference in a linear instrumental variable regression model with many potentially weak instruments, in the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects. I first show that existing test procedures, including those that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Luther Yap

In this paper, we consider the problem of verifying safety constraint satisfaction for single-input single-output systems with uncertain transfer function coefficients. We propose a new type of barrier function based on a vector norm. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Binghan He , Gray C. Thomas , Luis Sentis

We propose and discuss sensitivity metrics for reliability analysis, which are based on the value of information. These metrics are easier to interpret than other existing sensitivity metrics in the context of a specific decision and they…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Daniel Straub , Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou

Reliably predicting potential failure risks of machine learning (ML) systems when deployed with production data is a crucial aspect of trustworthy AI. This paper introduces Risk Advisor, a novel post-hoc meta-learner for estimating failure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Preethi Lahoti , Krishna P. Gummadi , Gerhard Weikum

Interconnected systems such as power systems and chemical processes are often required to satisfy safety properties in the presence of faults and attacks. Verifying safety of these systems, however, is computationally challenging due to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-15 Luyao Niu , Abdullah Al Maruf , Andrew Clark , J. Sukarno Mertoguno , Radha Poovendran

High impedance fault (HIF) has been a challenging task to detect in distribution networks. On one hand, although several types of HIF models are available for HIF study, they are still not exhibiting satisfactory fault waveforms. On the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-15 Qiushi Cui , Khalil El-Arroudi , Yang Weng
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