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For many complex simulation tasks spanning areas such as healthcare, engineering, and finance, Monte Carlo (MC) methods are invaluable due to their unbiased estimates and precise error quantification. Nevertheless, Monte Carlo simulations…

We consider the following problem: Given a matrix A, find minimal subsets of columns of A with cardinality no larger than a given bound that are linear dependent or nearly so. This problem arises in various forms in optimization, electrical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2008-04-23 Hans Engler

We study some notions of negative dependence of a sampling scheme that can be used to derive variance bounds for the corresponding estimator or discrepancy bounds for the underlying random point set that are at least as good as the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Michael Gnewuch , Marcin Wnuk , Nils Hebbinghaus

Monte Carlo computer simulations are virtually the only way to analyze the thermodynamic behavior of a system in a precise way. However, the various existing methods exhibit extreme differences in their efficiency, depending on model…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-07-05 Michael Bachmann

Purpose: In recent years Monte-Carlo sampling methods, such as Monte Carlo tree search, have achieved tremendous success in model free reinforcement learning. A combination of the so called upper confidence bounds policy to preserve the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-24 Boris Mitavskiy , Jonathan Rowe , Chris Cannings

Prior works have shown that in-context learning is brittle to presentation factors such as the order, number, and choice of selected examples. However, ablation-based guidance on selecting the number of examples may ignore the interplay…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Stephanie Schoch , Yangfeng Ji

Monte Carlo methods are widely used importance sampling techniques for studying complex physical systems. Integrating these methods with deep learning has significantly improved efficiency and accuracy in high-dimensional problems and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-12-24 Yixiong Ren , Jianhui Zhou

Genetic data are frequently categorical and have complex dependence structures that are not always well understood. For this reason, clustering and classification based on genetic data, while highly relevant, are challenging statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-13 Gabriela Bettella Cybis , Marcio Valk , Silvia Regina Costa Lopes

The steadily increasing size of scientific Monte Carlo simulations and the desire for robust, correct, and reproducible results necessitates rigorous testing procedures for scientific simulations in order to detect numerical problems and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-08 Markus Wallerberger , Emanuel Gull

Cluster analysis has proved to be an invaluable tool for the exploratory and unsupervised analysis of high dimensional datasets. Among methods for clustering, hierarchical approaches have enjoyed substantial popularity in genomics and other…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-20 Patrick K. Kimes , Yufeng Liu , D. Neil Hayes , J. S. Marron

Understanding decisions made by neural networks is key for the deployment of intelligent systems in real world applications. However, the opaque decision making process of these systems is a disadvantage where interpretability is essential.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Kai Fischer , Jonas Schneider

Verifying that a statistically significant result is scientifically meaningful is not only good scientific practice, it is a natural way to control the Type I error rate. Here we introduce a novel extension of the p-value - a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Jeffrey D. Blume , Lucy DAgostino McGowan , William D. Dupont , Robert A. Greevy

We propose testing procedures for the hypothesis that a given set of discrete observations may be formulated as a particular time series of counts with a specific conditional law. The new test statistics incorporate the empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-24 Šárka Hudecová , Marie Hušková , Simos G. Meintanis

In recent years, power analysis has become widely used in applied sciences, with the increasing importance of the replicability issue. When distribution-free methods, such as Partial Least Squares (PLS)-based approaches, are considered,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-18 Angela Andreella , Livio Fino , Bruno Scarpa , Matteo Stocchero

Statisticians often use Monte Carlo methods to approximate probability distributions, primarily with Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. Sequential Monte Carlo samplers are a class of algorithms that combine both techniques to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-20 Chenguang Dai , Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob , Nick Whiteley

The rank envelope test (Myllym\"aki et al., Global envelope tests for spatial processes, arXiv:1307.0239 [stat.ME]) is proposed as a solution to multiple testing problem for Monte Carlo tests. Three different situations are recognized: 1) a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-05 Tomáš Mrkvička , Mari Myllymäki , Ute Hahn

We propose a methodology to construct tests for the null hypothesis that the pricing errors of a panel of asset returns are jointly equal to zero in a linear factor asset pricing model -- that is, the null of "zero alpha". We consider, as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Daniele Massacci , Lucio Sarno , Lorenzo Trapani , Pierluigi Vallarino

Eliciting relevance judgments for ranking evaluation is labor-intensive and costly, motivating careful selection of which documents to judge. Unlike traditional approaches that make this selection deterministically, probabilistic sampling…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-04-26 Tobias Schnabel , Adith Swaminathan , Peter Frazier , Thorsten Joachims

Several approaches to testing the hypothesis that two histograms are drawn from the same distribution are investigated. We note that single-sample continuous distribution tests may be adapted to this two-sample grouped data situation. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-04-03 Frank C. Porter

In the last fifteen the subset sampling method has often been used in reliability problems as a tool for calculating small probabilities. This method is extrapolating from an initial Monte Carlo estimate for the probability content of a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-15 Karl Breitung
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