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We consider Bayesian optimization of the output of a network of functions, where each function takes as input the output of its parent nodes, and where the network takes significant time to evaluate. Such problems arise, for example, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Purpose: To develop a deep learning-based Bayesian inference for MRI reconstruction. Methods: We modeled the MRI reconstruction problem with Bayes's theorem, following the recently proposed PixelCNN++ method. The image reconstruction from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-18 GuanXiong Luo , Na Zhao , Wenhao Jiang , Edward S. Hui , Peng Cao

In networks of dynamic systems, one challenge is to identify the interconnection structure on the basis of measured signals. Inspired by a Bayesian approach in [1], in this paper, we explore a Bayesian model selection method for identifying…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-18 Shengling Shi , Giulio Bottegal , Paul M. J. Van den Hof

We present a general (i.e., independent of the underlying model) interpolation technique based on optimal transportation of Gaussian models for parametric advection-dominated problems. The approach relies on a scalar testing function to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-19 Angelo Iollo , Tommaso Taddei

We propose a non-parametric extrapolation method based on constrained Gaussian processes for configuration interaction methods. Our method has many advantages: (i) applicability to small data sets such as results of {\it ab initio} methods,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-08-06 Sota Yoshida

The paper discusses the reconstruction of potentials for quantum systems at finite temperatures from observational data. A nonparametric approach is developed, based on the framework of Bayesian statistics, to solve such inverse problems.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 J. C. Lemm , J. Uhlig , A. Weiguny

Recently a new adaptive path interpolation method has been developed as a simple and versatile scheme to calculate exactly the asymptotic mutual information of Bayesian inference problems defined on dense factor graphs. These include random…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Jean Barbier , Chun Lam Chan , Nicolas Macris

This paper analyzes hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems using techniques from high-dimensional statistics. Our analysis leverages a property of hierarchical Bayesian regularizers that we call approximate decomposability to obtain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

When treatment policy estimands are of interest, clinical trials often attempt to collect patient data after intercurrent events (ICEs), although such data are often limited. Retrieved dropout imputation methods, which use pre-ICE and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Brendah Nansereko , Marcel Wolbers , James R. Carpenter , Jonathan W. Bartlett

This research is about studying and comparing two different ways of building complex networks. The main goal of our study is to find an effective way to build networks, particularly when we have fewer observations than variables. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Lina D. Thomas , Victor Fossaluza , Anatoly Yambartsev

Integrative analyses based on statistically relevant associations between genomics and a wealth of intermediary phenotypes (such as imaging) provide vital insights into their clinical relevance in terms of the disease mechanisms. Estimates…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-16 Snigdha Panigrahi , Shariq Mohammed , Arvind Rao , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

Missing data is an inevitable and common problem in data-driven intelligent transportation systems (ITS). In the past decade, scholars have done many research on the recovery of missing traffic data, however how to make full use of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-17 Yuting Ding , Di Wu

Real-world clinical problems are often characterized by multimodal data, usually associated with incomplete views and limited sample sizes in their cohorts, posing significant limitations for machine learning algorithms. In this work, we…

Bayesian quadrature is a probabilistic, model-based approach to numerical integration, the estimation of intractable integrals, or expectations. Although Bayesian quadrature was popularised already in the 1980s, no systematic and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Maren Mahsereci , Toni Karvonen

It is often of interest to infer lower-dimensional structure underlying complex data. As a flexible class of non-linear structures, it is common to focus on Riemannian manifolds. Most existing manifold learning algorithms replace the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 David B Dunson , Nan Wu

Traffic volume information is critical for intelligent transportation systems. It serves as a key input to transportation planning, roadway design, and traffic signal control. However, the traffic volume data collected by fixed-location…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-07 Xintao Yan , Yan Zhao , Henry X. Liu