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Negative binomial regression is essential for analyzing over-dispersed count data in in comparative studies, but parameter estimation becomes computationally challenging in large screens requiring millions of comparisons. We investigate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Valentine Svensson

Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

Risk assessments to help inform criminal justice decisions have been used in the United States since the 1920s. Over the past several years, statistical learning risk algorithms have been introduced amid much controversy about fairness,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Richard A. Berk

Nested error regression models are commonly used to incorporate observational unit specific auxiliary variables to improve small area estimates. When the mean structure of this model is misspecified, there is generally an increase in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Yuting Chen , Partha Lahiri , Nicola Salvati

Error-in-variables regression is a common ingredient in treatment effect estimators using panel data. This includes synthetic control estimators, counterfactual time series forecasting estimators, and combinations. We study high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-20 David A. Hirshberg

Mixture models arise in many regression problems, but most methods have seen limited adoption partly due to these algorithms' highly-tailored and model-specific nature. On the other hand, transformers are flexible, neural sequence models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Reese Pathak , Rajat Sen , Weihao Kong , Abhimanyu Das

Estimating linear regression using least squares and reporting robust standard errors is very common in financial economics, and indeed, much of the social sciences and elsewhere. For thick tailed predictors under heteroskedasticity this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-17 Neil Shephard

The main purpose of this article is to prove that, under certain assumptions in a linear prediction setting, optimal methods based upon model reduction and even an optimal predictor can be provided. The optimality is formulated in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Inge S. Helland

In small area estimation different data sources are integrated in order to produce reliable estimates of target parameters (e.g., a mean or a proportion) for a collection of small subsets (areas) of a finite population. Regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati , Martin Slawski

The linear regression models are widely used statistical techniques in numerous practical applications. The standard regression model requires several assumptions about the regres- sors and the error term. The regression parameters are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-23 P. Vellaisamy

In this paper we propose a flexible nested error regression small area model with high dimensional parameter that incorporates heterogeneity in regression coefficients and variance components. We develop a new robust small area specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-26 Partha Lahiri , Nicola Salvati

Over the past decade, random forest models have become widely used as a robust method for high-dimensional data regression tasks. In part, the popularity of these models arises from the fact that they require little hyperparameter tuning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-18 Shipra Malhotra , John Karanicolas

In Small Area Estimation data linkage can be used to combine values of the variableof interest from a national survey with values of auxiliary variables obtained from another source like a population register. Linkage errors can induce bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Ray Chambers , Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati

This paper analyzes the classical linear regression model with measurement errors in all the variables. First, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for identification of the coefficients. We show that the coefficients are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-22 Dan Ben-Moshe

Motivated by a recently proposed error estimator for the transfer function of the reduced-order model of a given linear dynamical system, we further develop more theoretical results in this work. Furthermore, we propose several variants of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-01-16 Lihong Feng , Peter Benner

The problem of prediction in functional linear regression is conventionally addressed by reducing dimension via the standard principal component basis. In this paper we show that an alternative basis chosen through weighted least-squares,…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-20 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Tatiyana V. Apanasovich

Statistical agencies are often asked to produce small area estimates (SAEs) for positively skewed variables. When domain sample sizes are too small to support direct estimators, effects of skewness of the response variable can be large. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

In this paper, we propose a transformed na\"ive ratio and product based estimators using the characterizing scalar in presence of auxiliary information of the study variable for estimating the population mode following simple random…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-02 Sanjay Kumar , Nirmal Tiwari

Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-11 Alexander Mayer

We consider a linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimation framework with model mismatch where the assumed model order is smaller than that of the underlying linear system which generates the data used in the estimation process. By…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-26 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale