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Approximate inference in Gaussian process (GP) models with non-conjugate likelihoods gets entangled with the learning of the model hyperparameters. We improve hyperparameter learning in GP models and focus on the interplay between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Rui Li , ST John , Arno Solin

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

In spite of the diverse literature on nonstationary spatial modeling and approximate Gaussian process (GP) methods, there are no general approaches for conducting fully Bayesian inference for moderately sized nonstationary spatial data sets…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-01 Mark D. Risser , Daniel Turek

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Yuan , Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka

Gaussian Process (GP) regression models typically assume that residuals are Gaussian and have the same variance for all observations. However, applications with input-dependent noise (heteroscedastic residuals) frequently arise in practice,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-27 Chunyi Wang , Radford M. Neal

Gaussian process (GP) regression is widely used for uncertainty quantification, yet the standard formulation assumes noise-free covariates. When inputs are measured with error, this errors-in-variables (EIV) setting can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Hengrui Luo , Xiaoye S. Li , Yang Liu , Marcus Noack , Ji Qiang , Mark D. Risser

We present a unified view of likelihood based Gaussian progress regression for simulation experiments exhibiting input-dependent noise. Replication plays an important role in that context, however previous methods leveraging replicates have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Mickael Binois , Robert B. Gramacy , Michael Ludkovski

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a nonparametric representation of functions. However, classical GP inference suffers from high computational cost and it is difficult to design nonstationary GP priors in practice. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-15 Yuan Qi , Bo Dai , Yao Zhu

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

This study introduces a novel theoretical framework for analyzing heteroscedastic Gaussian processes (HGPs) that identify unknown systems in a data-driven manner. Although HGPs effectively address the heteroscedasticity of noise in complex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Yuji Ito

We develop an automated variational method for inference in models with Gaussian process (GP) priors and general likelihoods. The method supports multiple outputs and multiple latent functions and does not require detailed knowledge of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Edwin V. Bonilla , Karl Krauth , Amir Dezfouli

This paper considers the robust and efficient implementation of Gaussian process regression with a Student-t observation model. The challenge with the Student-t model is the analytically intractable inference which is why several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-06-28 Pasi Jylänki , Jarno Vanhatalo , Aki Vehtari

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a well-known nonparametric Bayesian inference technique, but they suffer from scalability problems for large sample sizes, and their performance can degrade for non-stationary or spatially heterogeneous data. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-28 Michael E. Kepler , Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Daniel J. Stilwell

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Accurate probabilistic prediction of wind power is crucial for maintaining grid stability and facilitating the efficient integration of renewable energy sources. Gaussian process (GP) models offer a principled framework for quantifying…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Domniki Ladopoulou , Dat Minh Hong , Petros Dellaportas

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a good choice for function approximation as they are flexible, robust to over-fitting, and provide well-calibrated predictive uncertainty. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer generalisations of GPs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth

Inference in Gaussian process (GP) models is computationally challenging for large data, and often difficult to approximate with a small number of inducing points. We explore an alternative approximation that employs stochastic inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Jiaxin Shi , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Jun Zhu

Gaussian Processes (GP) have become popular machine-learning methods for kernel-based learning on datasets with complicated covariance structures. In this paper, we present a novel extension to the GP framework using a contaminated normal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Daniel Iong , Matthew McAnear , Yuezhou Qu , Shasha Zou , Gabor Toth , Yang Chen

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi