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A finite ergodic Markov chain is said to exhibit cutoff if its distance to stationarity remains close to 1 over a certain number of iterations and then abruptly drops to near 0 on a much shorter time scale. Discovered in the context of card…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-10 Anna Ben-Hamou , Justin Salez

We obtain a perfect sampling characterization of weak ergodicity for backward products of finite stochastic matrices, and equivalently, simultaneous tail triviality of the corresponding nonhomogeneous Markov chains. Applying these ideas to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee

We initiate the study of mixing times of Markov chain under monotone censoring. Suppose we have some Markov Chain $M$ on a state space $\Omega$ with stationary distribution $\pi$ and a monotone set $A \subset \Omega$. We consider the chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-03 Jian Ding , Elchanan Mossel

We establish a new Bernstein-type deviation inequality for general (non-reversible) discrete-time Markov chains via an elementary approach. More robust than existing works in the literature, our result only requires the Markov chain to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-07 De Huang , Xiangyuan Li

Multimodal structures in the sampling density (e.g. two competing phases) can be a serious problem for traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), because correct sampling of the different structures can only be guaranteed for infinite…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 M. Daghofer , M. Konegger , H. G. Evertz , W. von der Linden

We study inhomogeneous continuous-time weakly ergodic Markov chains with a finite state space. We introduce the notion of a Markov chain with the regular structure of an infinitesimal matrix and study the sharp upper bounds on the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-17 A. I. Zeifman , Y. A. Satin , K. M. Kiseleva

The Metropolis-Hastings method is often used to construct a Markov chain with a given $\pi$ as its stationary distribution. The method works even if $\pi$ is known only up to an intractable constant of proportionality. Polynomial time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-27 David Pollard , Dana Yang

Gibbs sampling is a common procedure used to fit finite mixture models. However, it is known to be slow to converge when exploring correlated regions of a parameter space and so blocking correlated parameters is sometimes implemented in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-04 David Michael Swanson

An important problem arising in the study of complex networks, for instance in community detection and motif finding, is the sampling of graphs with fixed degree sequence. The equivalent problem of generating random 0,1 matrices with fixed…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2018-07-27 Annabell Berger , Corrie Jacobien Carstens

Understanding the local structure of a graph provides valuable insights about the underlying phenomena from which the graph has originated. Sampling and examining k-subgraphs is a widely used approach to understand the local structure of a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Ryuta Matsuno , Aristides Gionis

The abelian sandpile model defines a Markov chain whose states are integer-valued functions on the vertices of a simple connected graph $G$. By viewing this chain as a (nonreversible) random walk on an abelian group, we give a formula for…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-16 Daniel C. Jerison , Lionel Levine , John Pike

We study the mixing time of the single-site update Markov chain, known as the Glauber dynamics, for generating a random independent set of a tree. Our focus is obtaining optimal convergence results for arbitrary trees. We consider the more…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Charilaos Efthymiou , Thomas P. Hayes , Daniel Stefankovic , Eric Vigoda

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic Markov chains and relaxed conditions for them, as well as analogous convergence results for some non-homogeneous Markov chains are studied. The setting from the previous works is extended. Examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-27 A. Yu. Veretennikov , M. A. Veretennikova

We establish the first polynomial upper bound for the mixing time of random edge flips on rooted quadrangulations: we show that the spectral gap of the edge flip Markov chain on quadrangulations with $n$ faces admits, up to constants, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-13 Alessandra Caraceni , Alexandre Stauffer

The core of generalization theory was developed for independent observations. Some PAC and PAC-Bayes bounds are available for data that exhibit a temporal dependence. However, there are constants in these bounds that depend on properties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-12 Vahe Karagulyan , Pierre Alquier

A family $\{Q_{\beta}\}_{\beta \geq 0}$ of Markov chains is said to exhibit $\textit{metastable mixing}$ with $\textit{modes}$ $S_{\beta}^{(1)},\ldots,S_{\beta}^{(k)}$ if its spectral gap (or some other mixing property) is very close to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-01 Oren Mangoubi , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

We consider sampling and enumeration problems for Markov equivalence classes. We create and analyze a Markov chain for uniform random sampling on the DAGs inside a Markov equivalence class. Though the worst case is exponentially slow…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Megan Bernstein , Prasad Tetali

In a first part, we prove Bernstein-type deviation inequalities for bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) under a geometric ergodicity assumption, completing former results of Guyon and Bitseki Penda, Djellout and Guillin. These preliminary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-11 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Marc Hoffmann , Adélaïde Olivier

We study the mixing time of a systematic scan Markov chain for sampling from the uniform distribution on proper 7-colourings of a finite rectangular sub-grid of the infinite square lattice, the grid. A systematic scan Markov chain cycles…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-01 Markus Jalsenius , Kasper Pedersen