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Expected Shortfall (ES), the average loss above a high quantile, is the current financial regulatory market risk measure. Its estimation and optimization are highly unstable against sample fluctuations and become impossible above a critical…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-05 Gábor Papp , Imre Kondor , Fabio Caccioli

The optimization of a large random portfolio under the Expected Shortfall risk measure with an $\ell_2$ regularizer is carried out by analytical calculation. The regularizer reins in the large sample fluctuations and the concomitant…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Gábor Papp , Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor

The optimization of large portfolios displays an inherent instability to estimation error. This poses a fundamental problem, because solutions that are not stable under sample fluctuations may look optimal for a given sample, but are, in…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-14 Susanne Still , Imre Kondor

We consider the problem of portfolio optimization in the presence of market impact, and derive optimal liquidation strategies. We discuss in detail the problem of finding the optimal portfolio under Expected Shortfall (ES) in the case of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-22 Fabio Caccioli , Susanne Still , Matteo Marsili , Imre Kondor

The optimization of the variance supplemented by a budget constraint and an asymmetric $\ell_1$ regularizer is carried out analytically by the replica method borrowed from the theory of disordered systems. The asymmetric regularizer allows…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-16 Imre Kondor , Gábor Papp , Fabio Caccioli

As a predictor's quality is often assessed by means of its risk, it is natural to regard risk consistency as a desirable property of learning methods, and many such methods have indeed been shown to be risk consistent. The first aim of this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Hannes Köhler

A large portfolio of independent returns is optimized under the variance risk measure with a ban on short positions. The no-short selling constraint acts as an asymmetric $\ell_1$ regularizer, setting some of the portfolio weights to zero…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Imre Kondor , Gábor Papp , Fabio Caccioli

In this paper, we propose $\ell_p$-norm regularized models to seek near-optimal sparse portfolios. These sparse solutions reduce the complexity of portfolio implementation and management. Theoretical results are established to guarantee the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-24 Caihua Chen , Xindan Li , Caleb Tolman , Suyang Wang , Yinyu Ye

We build on an emerging line of work which studies strategic manipulations in training data provided to machine learning algorithms. Specifically, we focus on the ubiquitous task of linear regression. Prior work focused on the design of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Safwan Hossain , Nisarg Shah

Convex risk measures play a foundational role in the area of stochastic optimization. However, in contrast to risk neutral models, their applications are still limited due to the lack of efficient solution methods. In particular, the mean…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-30 Zhichao Jia , Guanghui Lan , Zhe Zhang

Previous literature shows that prevalent risk measures such as Value at Risk or Expected Shortfall are ineffective to curb excessive risk-taking by a tail-risk-seeking trader with S-shaped utility function in the context of portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-09 John Armstrong , Damiano Brigo , Alex S. L. Tse

Entropy regularized algorithms such as Soft Q-learning and Soft Actor-Critic, recently showed state-of-the-art performance on a number of challenging reinforcement learning (RL) tasks. The regularized formulation modifies the standard RL…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-15 Elena Smirnova , Elvis Dohmatob

It is shown that the axioms for coherent risk measures imply that whenever there is an asset in a portfolio that dominates the others in a given sample (which happens with finite probability even for large samples), then this portfolio…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Imre Kondor , Istvan Varga-Haszonits

We address the problem that classical risk measures may not detect the tail risk adequately. This can occur for instance due to averaging when calculating the Expected Shortfall. The current literature proposes the so-called adjusted…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-24 Jascha Alexander , Christian Laudagé , Jörn Sass

Calibration of predicted probabilities is critical for reliable machine learning, yet it is poorly understood how standard training procedures yield well-calibrated models. This work provides the first theoretical proof that canonical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Masahiro Fujisawa , Futoshi Futami

This paper investigates the impact of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) constraint on a regularized mean-variance (MV) portfolio optimization problem in a large-dimensional setting, in which a positive definite regularization…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Ruike Wu , Yonghe Lu , Yanrong Yang

We address the problem of portfolio optimization under the simplest coherent risk measure, i.e. the expected shortfall. As it is well known, one can map this problem into a linear programming setting. For some values of the external…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Imre Kondor , Marc Mezard

We provide analytical results for a static portfolio optimization problem with two coherent risk measures. The use of two risk measures is motivated by joint decision-making for portfolio selection where the risk perception of the portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Tahsin Deniz Aktürk , Çağın Ararat

The optimality and sensitivity of the empirical risk minimization problem with relative entropy regularization (ERM-RER) are investigated for the case in which the reference is a sigma-finite measure instead of a probability measure. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Samir M. Perlaza , Gaetan Bisson , Iñaki Esnaola , Alain Jean-Marie , Stefano Rini

Diversification is a cornerstone of robust portfolio construction, yet its application remains fraught with challenges due to model uncertainty and estimation errors. Practitioners often rely on sophisticated, proprietary heuristics to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Florent Segonne
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