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We show that generalised extreme value statistics -the statistics of the k-th largest value among a large set of random variables- can be mapped onto a problem of random sums. This allows us to identify classes of non-identical and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Eric Bertin , Maxime Clusel

Periodic orbit theory provides two important functions---the dynamical zeta function and the spectral determinant for the calculation of dynamical averages in a nonlinear system. Their cycle expansions converge rapidly when the system is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-28 Ang Gao , Jianbo Xie , Yueheng Lan

We consider optimal control problems involving nonlinear ordinary differential equations with uncertain inputs. Using the sample average approximation, we obtain optimal control problems with ensembles of deterministic dynamical systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

The distribution of return intervals of extreme events is studied in time series characterized by finite-term correlations with non-exponential decay. Precisely, it has been analyzed the statistics of the return intervals of extreme values…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Cecilia Pennetta

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

We study step-wise time approximations of non-linear hyperbolic initial value problems. The technique used here is a generalization of the minimizing movements method, using two time-scales: one for velocity, the other (potentially much…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Antonín Češík , Sebastian Schwarzacher

Extreme value functionals of stochastic processes are inverse functionals of the first passage time -- a connection that renders their probability distribution functions equivalent. Here, we deepen this link and establish a framework for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-05-30 David Hartich , Aljaz Godec

Here, we study quantitative homogenization of first-order convex Hamilton-Jacobi equations with $(u/\varepsilon)$-periodic Hamiltonians which typically appear in dislocation dynamics. Firstly, we establish the optimal convergence rate by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Hiroyoshi Mitake , Panrui Ni , Hung V. Tran

We investigate the convergence towards periodic orbits in discrete dynamical systems. We examine the probability that a randomly chosen point converges to a particular neighborhood of a periodic orbit in a fixed number of iterations, and we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-04-21 Jesús San Martín , Mason A. Porter

We obtain the first results on convergence rates in the Prokhorov metric for the weak invariance principle (functional central limit theorem) for deterministic dynamical systems. Our results hold for uniformly expanding/hyperbolic (Axiom A)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Marios Antoniou , Ian Melbourne

In this paper we study quantitative recurrence and the shrinking target problem for dynamical systems coming from overlapping iterated function systems. Such iterated function systems have the important property that a point often has…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Simon Baker , Henna Koivusalo

Consider an ergodic measure preserving dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$, and an observable $\phi:X\to\mathbb{R}$. For the time series $X_n(x)=\phi(T^{n}(x))$, we establish limit laws for the maximum process $M_n=\max_{k\leq n}X_k$ in the case…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Meagan Carney , Mark Holland , Matthew Nicol

Quantile regression is a statistical method which, unlike classical regression, aims to predict the conditional quantiles. Classical quantile regression methods face difficulties, particularly when the quantile under consideration is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-22 Lucien M. Vidagbandji , Alexandre Berred , Cyrille Bertelle , Laurent Amanton

Inferring control parameters in non-linear dynamical systems is an important task in analysing general dynamical behaviours, particularly in the presence of inherently deterministic chaos. Traditional approaches often rely on…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-06-19 L. Lober , M. S. Palmero , F. A. Rodrigues

Recent investigations of turbulent circulation fluctuations have uncovered substantial insights into the statistical organization of flow structures and revealed unexpected geometric features of turbulent intermittency. Of particular…

It is well known that the distribution of extreme values of strictly stationary sequences differ from those of independent and identically distributed sequences in that extremal clustering may occur. Here we consider non-stationary but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-23 Graeme Auld , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

We study the limit distribution of the largest fitness for two models of weakly correlated and identically distributed random fitnesses. The correlated fitness is given by a linear combination of a fixed number of independent random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Kavita Jain

We consider a class of multivariate recurrences frequently arising in the worst case analysis of Davis-Putnam-style exponential time backtracking algorithms for NP-hard problems. We describe a technique for proving asymptotic upper bounds…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2007-05-23 David Eppstein

Resolution-Scale Relativity suggests quantum-like dynamics may emerge in chaotic macroscopic systems. In planetary systems, this would lead to orbital periods being proportional to cubed integers $n$. Each system is then characterized by a…

General Physics · Physics 2025-09-30 Julien Foerster , Tugdual LeBohec
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