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Probabilistic models are often used to make predictions in regions of the data space where no observations are available, but it is not always clear whether such predictions are well-informed by previously seen data. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Kurt Butler , Guanchao Feng , Tong Chen , Petar Djuric

Many systems used by society are extremely vulnerable to space weather events such as solar flares and geomagnetic storms which could potentially cause catastrophic damage. In recent years, many works have emerged to provide early warning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Charles Topliff , Morris Cohen , William Bristow

Solar flares, especially the M- and X-class flares, are often associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs). They are the most important sources of space weather effects, that can severely impact the near-Earth environment. Thus it is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-02 Hewei Zhang , Qin Li , Yanxing Yang , Ju Jing , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang , Zuofeng Shang

Motivated by the study of an important data set for understanding the large-scale structure of the universe, this work considers the estimation of the reduced second moment function, or K-function, of a stationary point process observed…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael L. Stein , Jean M. Quashnock , Ji Meng Loh

In this work, we aim to estimate the stellar parameters of the primary (Aa) by performing asteroseismic analysis on its period-spacing pattern. We use the C-3PO neural network to perform asteroseismic modelling of the g-mode period-spacing…

The accurate forecasting of solar flares is considered a key goal within the solar physics and space weather communities. There is significant potential for flare prediction to be improved by incorporating topological fluxes of magnetogram…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-06 Thomas Williams , Christopher B. Prior , David MacTaggart

Global navigation satellite systems (GNSS) are one of the utterly popular sources for providing globally referenced positioning for autonomous systems. However, the performance of the GNSS positioning is significantly challenged in urban…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Weisong Wen , Li-Ta Hsu

Solar energetic particle (SEP) events are one of the most crucial aspects of space weather that require continuous monitoring and forecasting using robust methods. We demonstrate a proof of concept of using a data-driven supervised…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-08-13 Sumanth A. Rotti , Berkay Aydin , Petrus C. Martens

Considering the grid manager's point of view, needs in terms of prediction of intermittent energy like the photovoltaic resource can be distinguished according to the considered horizon: following days (d+1, d+2 and d+3), next day by hourly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-07-24 Cyril Voyant , Christophe Paoli , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet

The distance to pulsating stars is classically estimated using the parallax-of-pulsation (PoP) method, which combines spectroscopic radial velocity measurements and angular diameter estimates to derive the distance of the star. An important…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-02 Joanne Breitfelder , Antoine Mérand , Pierre Kervella , Alexandre Gallenne , Laszlo Szabados , Richard I. Anderson , Jean-Baptiste Le Bouquin

With the recent interest in net-zero sustainability for commercial buildings, integration of photovoltaic (PV) assets becomes even more important. This integration remains a challenge due to high solar variability and uncertainty in the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Chaitanya Poolla , Abraham K. Ishihara

In recent years, Gaussian Process (GP) regression has become widely used to analyse stellar and exoplanet time-series data sets. For spotted stars, the most popular GP covariance function is the quasi-periodic (QP) kernel, whose the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-03 Belinda A. Nicholson , Suzanne Aigrain

We present an approach for utilizing astrometric orbit information to improve the yield of planetary images and spectra from a follow-on direct detection mission. This approach is based on the notion-strictly hypothetical-that if a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 John M. Davidson

Improvement of the prediction accuracy of the Earth's rotation parameters (ERP) is one of the main problems of applied astrometry. In order to solve this problem, various approaches are used and in order to select the best one, comparison…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-04-11 Z. M. Malkin , V. M. Tissen

Aims. We study a subset of the planetary population characterized both by HARPS and Kepler surveys. We compare the statistical properties of planets in systems with m.sin i >5-10 M_Earth and R>2 R_Earth. If we assume that the underlying…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-04 P. Figueira , M. Marmier , G. Boué , C. Lovis , N. C. Santos , M. Montalto , S. Udry , F. Pepe , M. Mayor

Witness reports of Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP) occasionally associate UAP sightings with local electromagnetic interferences, such as spinning magnetic compasses onboard aircraft or sudden malfunctions of mechanical vehicles. These…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-16 Foteini Vervelidou , Alex Delacroix , Laura Domine , Ezra Kelderman , Sarah Little , Abraham Loeb , Eric Masson , Wes A. Watters , Abigail White

The k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN) classification approach is conceptually simple - yet widely applied since it often performs well in practical applications. However, using a global constant k does not always provide an optimal solution, e.g.,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Mark Kibanov , Martin Becker , Juergen Mueller , Martin Atzmueller , Andreas Hotho , Gerd Stumme

It is assumed that the solar cell efficiency of PV device is closely related to the solar irradiance, considered the solar parameter Global Solar Irradiance (G) and the meteorological parameters like daily data of Earth Skin Temperature…

Applications · Statistics 2012-06-08 Kashif Bin Zaheer , Waseem Ahmed Ansari , Syed Mohammad Murshid Raza

The polar magnetic field plays a crucial role in the solar dynamo model and contributes to predicting future solar cycles. However, continuous and direct measurements of this polar field have been available only since 1976, with data…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-12 Dibya Kirti Mishra , Bibhuti Kumar Jha , Theodosios Chatzistergos , Ilaria Ermolli , Dipankar Banerjee , M. Saleem Khan

Models based on neural networks and machine learning are seeing a rise in popularity in space physics. In particular, the forecasting of geomagnetic indices with neural network models is becoming a popular field of study. These models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Brecht Laperre , Jorge Amaya , Giovanni Lapenta