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We present an explicit solution to a classic model of cell-population growth introduced by Luria and Delbrueck 70 years ago to study the emergence of mutations in bacterial populations. In this model a wild-type population is assumed to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Peter Keller , Tibor Antal

Originally developed to elucidate the mechanisms of natural selection in bacteria, the Luria-Delbr\"uck model assumed that cells are intrinsically capable of dividing an unlimited number of times. This assumption however, is not true for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-17 Ignacio A Rodriguez-Brenes , Dominik Wodarz , Natalia L. Komarova

Deterministically growing (wild-type) populations which seed stochastically developing mutant clones have found an expanding number of applications from microbial populations to cancer. The special case of exponential wild-type population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-27 Michael D. Nicholson , Tibor Antal

The Luria-Delbr{\"u}ck experiment is a cornerstone of evolutionary theory, demonstrating the randomness of mutations before selection. The distribution of the number of mutants in this experiment has been the subject of intense…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-07-20 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

Microbial populations adapt to their environment by acquiring advantageous mutations, but in the early twentieth century, questions about how these organisms acquire mutations arose. The experiment of Salvador Luria and Max Delbr\"uck that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-24 Stephen Montgomery-Smith , Hesam Oveys

The Luria-Delbr\"uck distribution is a classical model of mutations in cell kinetics. It is obtained as a limit when the probability of mutation tends to zero and the number of divisions to infinity. It can be interpreted as a compound…

Applications · Statistics 2013-09-11 Agnès Hamon , Bernard Ycart

We discuss the evaluation of Luria-Delbrueck fluctuation experiments under Bellman-Harris models of cell proliferation. It is shown that under certain very natural assumptions concerning the life-time distributions and the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wolfgang P. Angerer

The Luria-Delbr\"uck model is a classic model of population dynamics with random mutations, that has been used historically to prove that random mutations drive evolution. In typical scenarios, the relevant mutation rate is exceedingly…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Deng Pan , Jie Lin , Ariel Amir

First, we revisit the stochastic Luria-Delbr\"uck model: a classic two-type branching process which describes cell proliferation and mutation. We prove limit theorems and exact results for the mutation times, clone sizes, and number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-05 David Cheek , Tibor Antal

A class of Fleming-Viot processes with decaying sampling rates and $\alpha$-stable motions that correspond to distributions with growing populations are introduced and analyzed. Almost sure long-time scaling limits for these processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Michael A. Kouritzin , Khoa Lê

We consider a general class of Markovian models describing the growth in a randomly fluctuating environment of a clonal biological population having several phenotypes related by stochastic switching. Phenotypes differ e.g. by the level of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-25 J. Unterberger

This article is concerned with the long time behavior of neutral genetic population models, with fixed population size. We design an explicit, finite, exact, genealogical tree based representation of stationary populations that holds both…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Del Moral , Laurent Miclo , Frédéric Patras , Sylvain Rubenthaler

The dynamics of a population undergoing selection is a central topic in evolutionary biology. This question is particularly intriguing in the case where selective forces act in opposing directions at two population scales. For example, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Shishi Luo , Jonathan C. Mattingly

Ecological and evolutionary dynamics have been historically regarded as unfolding at broadly separated timescales. However, these two types of processes are nowadays well documented to much more tightly than traditionally assumed,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-17 José Camacho Mateu , Matteo Sireci , Miguel A. Muñoz

We consider a model for Darwinian evolution in an asexual population with a large but non-constant populations size characterized by a natural birth rate, a logistic death rate modelling competition and a probability of mutation at each…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Martina Baar , Anton Bovier , Nicolas Champagnat

We are interested in modeling Darwinian evolution resulting from the interplay of phenotypic variation and natural selection through ecological interactions. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

The evolution of antimicrobial resistance generally occurs in an environment where antimicrobial concentration is variable, which has dramatic consequences on the microorganisms' fitness landscape, and thus on the evolution of resistance.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2018-10-23 Loïc Marrec , Anne-Florence Bitbol

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal

Test-time scaling has emerged as a promising direction for enhancing the reasoning capabilities of Large Language Models in last few years. In this work, we propose Population-Evolve, a training-free method inspired by Genetic Algorithms to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Yanzhi Zhang , Yitong Duan , Zhaoxi Zhang , Jiyan He , Shuxin Zheng

We study large deviation events in the timing of disease recurrence. In particular, we are interested in modeling cancer treatment failure due to mutation-induced drug resistance. We first present a two-type branching process model of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Pranav Hanagal , Kevin Leder , Zicheng Wang
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