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Debiased machine learning (DML) offers an attractive way to estimate treatment effects in observational settings, where identification of causal parameters requires a conditional independence or unconfoundedness assumption, since it allows…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-16 Victor Quintas-Martinez

Linear mixed models (LMM) are widely adopted in genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to account for population stratification and cryptic relatedness. However, the parameter estimation of LMMs imposes substantial computational burdens due…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-08 Zhibin Pu , Shufei Ge , Shijia Wang

Emergent Misalignment refers to a failure mode in which fine-tuning large language models (LLMs) on narrowly scoped data induces broadly misaligned behavior. Prior explanations mainly attribute this phenomenon to the generalization of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Yanghao Su , Wenbo Zhou , Tianwei Zhang , Qiu Han , Weiming Zhang , Nenghai Yu , Jie Zhang

A fundamental assumption underling any Hypothesis Testing (HT) problem is that the available data follow the parametric model assumed to derive the test statistic. Nevertheless, a perfect match between the true and the assumed data models…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-09-27 S. Fortunati , M. S. Greco , F. Gini

We propose a random-effects approach to missing values for generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) analysis. The method converts a GLMM with missing covariates to another GLMM without missing covariates. The standard GLMM analysis tools for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Thuan Nguyen , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

As Large Language Model (LLM) agents become more widespread, associated misalignment risks increase. While prior research has studied agents' ability to produce harmful outputs or follow malicious instructions, it remains unclear how likely…

Operational risk models commonly employ maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to fit loss data to heavy-tailed distributions. Yet several desirable properties of MLE (e.g. asymptotic normality) are generally valid only for large sample-sizes,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-26 Paul Larsen

We present generalized additive latent and mixed models (GALAMMs) for analysis of clustered data with responses and latent variables depending smoothly on observed variables. A scalable maximum likelihood estimation algorithm is proposed,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-29 Øystein Sørensen , Anders M. Fjell , Kristine B. Walhovd

We consider statistical inference in high-dimensional regression problems under affine constraints on the parameter space. The theoretical study of this is motivated by the study of genetic determinants of diseases, such as diabetes, using…

The zero-shot capability of Large Language Models (LLMs) has enabled highly flexible, reference-free metrics for various tasks, making LLM evaluators common tools in NLP. However, the robustness of these LLM evaluators remains relatively…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Rickard Stureborg , Dimitris Alikaniotis , Yoshi Suhara

Random effect models are popular statistical models for detecting and correcting spurious sample correlations due to hidden confounders in genome-wide gene expression data. In applications where some confounding factors are known,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-08 Muhammad Ammar Malik , Tom Michoel

In the context of a large system of $N$ neurons interacting through spike events in a mean-field regime as $N\rightarrow \infty$, we characterize the estimation of a multidimensional parameter in the spiking rate, when the neural states are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Aline Duarte , Dasha Loukianova , Aurélien Velleret

Spectral estimation is a fundamental problem for time series analysis, which is widely applied in economics, speech analysis, seismology, and control systems. The asymptotic convergence theory for classical, non-parametric estimators, is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Yuping Zheng , Andrew Lamperski

The association between two random variables is often of primary interest in statistical research. In this paper semiparametric models for the association between random vectors X and Y are considered which leave the marginal distributions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-16 Angelika Franke , Gerhard Osius

Spectral learning recently generated lots of excitement in machine learning, largely because it is the first known method to produce consistent estimates (under suitable conditions) for several latent variable models. In contrast, maximum…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-19 Han Zhao , Pascal Poupart

Robust and efficient optimization methods for variance component estimation using Restricted Maximum Likelihood (REML) models for genetic mapping of quantitative traits are considered. We show that the standard Newton-AI scheme may fail…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-19 Kateryna Mishchenko , Sverker Holmgren , Lars Ronnegard

This article focuses on parameter estimation of multi-levels nonlinear mixed effects models (MNLMEMs). These models are used to analyze data presenting multiple hierarchical levels of grouping (cluster data, clinical trials with several…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Xavière Panhard , Adeline Samson

We study targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) of the average treatment effect in a semiparametric regression model whose mean function is indexed by a finite-dimensional parameter, while the additive error distribution is left…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-20 Mijeong Kim

A procedure for asymptotic bias reduction of maximum likelihood estimates of generic estimands is developed. The estimator is realized as a plug-in estimator, where the parameter maximizes the penalized likelihood with a penalty function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Masayo Y. Hirose , Shuhei Mano
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