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Survival analysis is a statistical technique used to estimate the time until an event occurs. Although it is applied across a wide range of fields, adjusting for reporting delays under practical constraints remains a significant challenge…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-27 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

We consider nonparametric inference for event time distributions based on current status data. We show that in this scenario conventional mixture priors, including the popular Dirichlet process mixture prior, lead to biologically…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giorgio Paulon , Peter Müller , Victor G. Sal Y Rosas

With increasing interest in applying machine learning to develop healthcare solutions, there is a desire to create interpretable deep learning models for survival analysis. In this paper, we extend the Neural Additive Model (NAM) by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Matthew Peroni , Marharyta Kurban , Sun Young Yang , Young Sun Kim , Hae Yeon Kang , Ji Hyun Song

Stability in clinical prediction models is crucial for transferability between studies, yet has received little attention. The problem is paramount in high dimensional data which invites sparse models with feature selection capability. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-07-24 Shivapratap Gopakumar , Truyen Tran , Dinh Phung , Svetha Venkatesh

Risk prediction is central to both clinical medicine and public health. While many machine learning models have been developed to predict mortality, they are rarely applied in the clinical literature, where classification tasks typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-05 Maggie Makar , Marzyeh Ghassemi , David Cutler , Ziad Obermeyer

The association between multidimensional exposure patterns and outcomes is commonly investigated by first applying cluster analysis algorithms to derive patterns and then estimating the associations. However, errors in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-31 Timm Intemann , Iris Pigeot

When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

Employing a machine learning approach we predict, up to 24 hours prior, a diagnosis of severe sepsis. Strongly predictive models are possible that use only text reports from the Electronic Health Record (EHR), and omit structured numerical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Phil Culliton , Michael Levinson , Alice Ehresman , Joshua Wherry , Jay S. Steingrub , Stephen I. Gallant

Missing values in covariates due to censoring by signal interference or lack of sensitivity in the measuring devices are common in industrial problems. We propose a full Bayesian solution to the prediction problem with an efficient Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Caroline Svahn , Mattias Villani

Electronic health records (EHR's) are only a first step in capturing and utilizing health-related data - the problem is turning that data into useful information. Models produced via data mining and predictive analysis profile inherited…

Databases · Computer Science 2011-12-08 Casey Bennett , Thomas Doub

Risk modeling with EHR data is challenging due to a lack of direct observations on the disease outcome, and the high dimensionality of the candidate predictors. In this paper, we develop a surrogate assisted semi-supervised-learning (SAS)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Jue Hou , Zijian Guo , Tianxi Cai

We propose a novel approach to estimate the Cox model with temporal covariates. Our new approach treats the temporal covariates as arising from a longitudinal process which is modeled jointly with the event time. Different from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-05 Xiaoqi Zhang , Xiaobing Zhao , Yanqiao Zheng

Survival analysis plays a crucial role in many healthcare decisions, where the risk prediction for the events of interest can support an informative outlook for a patient's medical journey. Given the existence of data censoring, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Mohsen Nayebi Kerdabadi , Arya Hadizadeh Moghaddam , Bin Liu , Mei Liu , Zijun Yao

Unmeasured confounding is one of the major concerns in causal inference from observational data. Proximal causal inference (PCI) is an emerging methodological framework to detect and potentially account for confounding bias by carefully…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-24 Kendrick Li , George C. Linderman , Xu Shi , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Latent Markov (LM) models represent an important tool of analysis of longitudinal data when response variables are affected by time-varying unobserved heterogeneity, which is accounted for by a hidden Markov chain. In order to avoid bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-10 Francesco Bartolucci , Alessio Farcomeni

The long duration of the COVID-19 pandemic allowed for multiple bursts in the infection and death rates, the so-called epidemic waves. This complex behavior is no longer tractable by simple compartmental model and requires more…

Most work in neural networks focuses on estimating the conditional mean of a continuous response variable given a set of covariates.In this article, we consider estimating the conditional distribution function using neural networks for both…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-07 Bingqing Hu , Bin Nan

Predicting future clinical events from longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs) requires selecting plausible outcomes from a large and structured event space under sparse observations. While clinical coding systems provide hierarchical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Zhan Qu , Michael Färber

Masked autoencoders (MAEs) are increasingly applied to electronic health records (EHR) for learning general-purpose representations that support diverse clinical tasks. However, existing approaches typically rely on uniform random masking,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Rajna Fani , Rafi Al Attrach , David Restrepo , Yugang Jia , Leo Anthony Celi , Peter Schüffler

As clinical data are becoming increasingly available, machine learning methods have been employed to extract knowledge from them and predict clinical events. While promising, approaches suffer from at least two main issues: low availability…