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Bernstein-von Mises results (BvM) establish that the Laplace approximation is asymptotically correct in the large-data limit. However, these results are inappropriate for computational purposes since they only hold over most, and not all,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Guillaume P. Dehaene

Many two-sample problems call for a comparison of two distributions from an exponential family. Density ratio estimation methods provide ways to solve such problems through direct estimation of the differences in natural parameters. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Erika Banzato , Mathias Drton , Kian Saraf-Poor , Hongjian Shi

Importance sampling approximates expectations with respect to a target measure by using samples from a proposal measure. The performance of the method over large classes of test functions depends heavily on the closeness between both…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-01 Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Reverse Kullback-Leibler (RKL) divergence has recently emerged as the preferred objective for large language model (LLM) distillation, consistently outperforming forward KL (FKL), particularly in regimes with large vocabularies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Hoang-Chau Luong , Dat Ba Tran , Lingwei Chen

We propose a lightweight and single-pass uncertainty quantification method for detecting hallucinations in Large Language Models. The method uses attention matrices to estimate uncertainty without requiring repeated sampling or external…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Gijs van Dijk

This paper is a strongly geometrical approach to the Fisher distance, which is a measure of dissimilarity between two probability distribution functions. The Fisher distance, as well as other divergence measures, are also used in many…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-13 Sueli I. R. Costa , Sandra A. Santos , João E. Strapasson

In previous work the authors defined the k-th order simplicial distance between probability distributions which arises naturally from a measure of dispersion based on the squared volume of random simplices of dimension k. This theory is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Luc Pronzato , Henry Wynn , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

This paper deals with the taking into account a given set of realizations as constraints in the Kullback-Leibler minimum principle, which is used as a probabilistic learning algorithm. This permits the effective integration of data into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-09 Christian Soize

$f$-divergences are a general class of divergences between probability measures which include as special cases many commonly used divergences in probability, mathematical statistics and information theory such as Kullback-Leibler…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-16 Adityanand Guntuboyina , Sujayam Saha , Geoffrey Schiebinger

Transfer learning, or domain adaptation, is concerned with machine learning problems in which training and testing data come from possibly different distributions (denoted as $\mu$ and $\mu'$, respectively). In this work, we give an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

In Simulation-based Inference, the goal is to solve the inverse problem when the likelihood is only known implicitly. Neural Posterior Estimation commonly fits a normalized density estimator as a surrogate model for the posterior. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-04 Benjamin Kurt Miller , Marco Federici , Christoph Weniger , Patrick Forré

Finding the proper entropy-like Lyapunov functional associated with the inelastic Boltzmann equation for an isolated freely cooling granular gas is a still unsolved challenge. The original $H$-theorem hypotheses do not fit here and the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-11-19 Alberto Megías , Andrés Santos

We investigate the use of alternative divergences to Kullback-Leibler (KL) in variational inference(VI), based on the Variational Dropout \cite{kingma2015}. Stochastic gradient variational Bayes (SGVB) \cite{aevb} is a general framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Bogdan Mazoure , Riashat Islam

We study quasi-Newton methods from the viewpoint of information geometry induced associated with Bregman divergences. Fletcher has studied a variational problem which derives the approximate Hessian update formula of the quasi-Newton…

Computation · Statistics 2010-10-15 Takafumi Kanamori , Atsumi Ohara

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of density of $n$ independent observations, under the assumption that it is well approximated by a mixture with a large number of components. The main focus is on statistical properties with respect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Mehdi Sebbar

For a broad family of discriminative models that includes autoregressive language models, identifiability results imply that if two models induce the same conditional distributions, then their internal representations agree up to an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Beatrix M. G. Nielsen , Emanuele Marconato , Luigi Gresele , Andrea Dittadi , Simon Buchholz

The concept of updating (or conditioning or revising) a probability distribution is fundamental in (machine) learning and in predictive coding theory. The two main approaches for doing so are called Pearl's rule and Jeffrey's rule. Here we…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Bart Jacobs

Information geometry provides differential geometric concepts like a Riemannian metric, connections and covariant derivatives on spaces of probability distributions. We discuss here how these concepts apply to quantum field theories in the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-04-11 Stefan Floerchinger

Dilation is a puzzling phenomenon within Imprecise Probability theory: when it obtains, our uncertainty evaluation on event $A$ is vaguer after conditioning $A$ on $B$, whatever is event $B$ in a given partition $\mathcal{B}$. In this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Renato Pelessoni , Paolo Vicig

Gaussian Processes and the Kullback-Leibler divergence have been deeply studied in Statistics and Machine Learning. This paper marries these two concepts and introduce the local Kullback-Leibler divergence to learn about intervals where two…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-13 Nicolás Hernández , Gabriel Martos
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