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The purpose of this paper relies on the study of long term yield curves modeling. Inspired by the economic litterature, it provides a financial interpretation of the Ramsey rule that links discount rate and marginal utility of aggregate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-08 Nicole El Karoui , Caroline Hillairet , Mohamed Mrad

This paper is concerned with finite dimensional models for the entire term structure for energy futures. As soon as a finite dimensional set of possible yield curves is chosen, one likes to estimate the dynamic behaviour of the yield curve…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-07 Paul Krühner , Shijie Xu

This manuscript introduces deep learning models that simultaneously describe the dynamics of several yield curves. We aim to learn the dependence structure among the different yield curves induced by the globalization of financial markets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Ronald Richman , Salvatore Scognamiglio

Viewing a yield curve as a sparse collection of measurements on a latent continuous random function allows us to model it statistically as a sparsely observed functional time series. Doing so, we use the state-of-the-art methods in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-07 Tomáš Rubín

The aim of this study is to present proofs for new theorems. Basic thoughts of new definitions emerge from the decision-making under uncertainty in economics and finance. Shape of the certain utility curve is central to standard definitions…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Atilla Aras

We consider a model for interest rates, where the short rate is given by a time-homogenous, one-dimensional affine process in the sense of Duffie, Filipovic and Schachermayer. We show that in such a model yield curves can only be normal,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thomas Steiner

We introduce a multiple curve framework that combines tractable dynamics and semi-analytic pricing formulas with positive interest rates and basis spreads. Negatives rates and positive spreads can also be accommodated in this framework. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-07 Zorana Grbac , Antonis Papapantoleon , John Schoenmakers , David Skovmand

The death spiral hypothesis in electric utility represents a positive feedback phenomenon in which a regulated utility is driven to financial instability by rising prices and declining demand. We establish conditions for the existence of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Tao Sun , Lang Tong , Donghan Feng

Long term optimal investment problems are studied in a factor model with matrix valued state variables. Explicit parameter restrictions are obtained under which, for an isoelastic investor, the finite horizon value function and optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-09-01 Scott Robertson , Hao Xing

The hypothesis that committed revolving credit lines with fixed spreads can provide firms with interest rate insurance is a standard feature of models on these credit facilities' interest rate structure. Nevertheless, this hypothesis has…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-24 Miguel A. Duran

This paper concerns the recursive utility maximization problem. We assume that the coefficients of the wealth equation and the recursive utility are concave. Then some interesting and important cases with nonlinear and nonsmooth…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-05 Shaolin Ji , Xiaomin Shi

The consumption function maps current wealth and the exogenous state to current consumption. We prove the existence and uniqueness of a consumption function when the agent has a preference for wealth. When the period utility functions are…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-30 Qingyin Ma , Alexis Akira Toda

We study a general robust utility maximization problem in a discrete-time frictionless market. The investor is assumed to have a possibly infinite, random, nonconcave, and nondecreasing utility function defined on the whole real line. She…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Laurence Carassus , Massinissa Ferhoune

In fixed income sector, the yield curve is probably the most observed indicator by the market for trading and fifinancing purposes. A yield curve plots interest rates across different contract maturities from short end to as long as 30…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-13 Jian Sun

This paper aims to analyze the relationship between yield curve -being a line of the interests in various maturities at a given time- and GDP growth in Turkey. The paper focuses on analyzing the yield curve in relation to its predictive…

General Economics · Economics 2020-01-02 Ipek Turker , Bayram Cakir

We provide a general and tractable framework under which all multiple yield curve modeling approaches based on affine processes, be it short rate, Libor market, or HJM modeling, can be consolidated. We model a numeraire process and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Christa Cuchiero , Claudio Fontana , Alessandro Gnoatto

Traditional optimal commodity tax analysis, dating back to Ramsey (1927), prescribes that to maximize welfare one should impose higher taxes on goods with lower demand elasticities. Yet policy makers do not stress minimizing efficiency…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-08 Luca Micheletto , Dylan Moore , Daniel Reck , Joel Slemrod

Most representative decision tree ensemble methods have been used to examine the variable importance of Treasury term spreads to predict US economic recessions with a balance of generating rules for US economic recession detection. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Pedro Cadahia Delgado , Emilio Congregado , Antonio A. Golpe , José Carlos Vides

For the Ramsey model of economic growth, which describes the optimal allocation of consumption and saving over time, we assume the population dynamics to follow the Allee effect. The so-called Allee threshold separates two regimes from each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Zihan Wang , Vladimir Shikhman

We consider the economic problem of optimal consumption and investment with power utility. We study the optimal strategy as the relative risk aversion tends to infinity or to one. The convergence of the optimal consumption is obtained for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-13 Marcel Nutz
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