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We construct a reliable estimation of evolutionary parameters within the Wright-Fisher model, which describes changes in allele frequencies due to selection and genetic drift, from time-series data. Such data exists for biological…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-26 Juan Guerrero Montero , Richard A. Blythe

We derive large-sample and other limiting distributions of the ``frequency of frequencies'' vector, ${\bf M_n}$, together with the number of species, $K_n$, in a Poisson-Dirichlet or generalised Poisson-Dirichlet gene or species sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Ross Maller , Soudabeh Shemehsavar

A forward diffusion equation describing the evolution of the allele frequency spectrum is presented. The influx of mutations is accounted for by imposing a suitable boundary condition. For a Wright-Fisher diffusion with or without selection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Steven N. Evans , Yelena Shvets , Montgomery Slatkin

We consider a general, neutral, dynamical model of biodiversity. Individuals have i.i.d. lifetime durations, which are not necessarily exponentially distributed, and each individual gives birth independently at constant rate \lambda. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-09-02 Amaury Lambert

We investigate a model of random spatial permutations on two-dimensional tori, and establish that the joint distribution of large cycles is asymptotically given by the Poisson--Dirichlet distribution with parameter one. The asymmetry of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Alan Hammond , Tyler Helmuth

In this paper, we propose a discrete circular distribution obtained by extending the wrapped Poisson distribution. This new distribution, the Invariant Wrapped Poisson (IWP), enjoys numerous advantages: simple tractable density,…

We show that for $0<\alpha<1$ and $\theta>-\alpha$, the Poisson-Dirichlet distribution with parameter $(\alpha, \theta)$ is the unique reversible distribution of a rather natural fragmentation-coalescence process. This completes earlier…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Bertoin

We consider a Wright-Fisher diffusion (x(t)) whose current state cannot be observed directly. Instead, at times t1 < t2 < . . ., the observations y(ti) are such that, given the process (x(t)), the random variables (y(ti)) are independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-05 Mireille Chaleyat-Maurel , Valentine Genon-Catalot

We investigate spatial evolutionary games with death-birth updating in large finite populations. Within growing spatial structures subject to appropriate conditions, the density processes of a fixed type are proven to converge to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Yu-Ting Chen

In this work, we develop excursion theory for the Wright--Fisher diffusion with mutation. Our construction is intermediate between the classical excursion theory where all excursions begin and end at a single point and the more general…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Paul A. Jenkins , Jere Koskela , Victor M. Rivero , Jaromir Sant , Dario Spano , Ivana Valentic

In [Athreya, den Hollander, R\"ollin; 2021, arXiv:1908.06241] models from population genetics were used to define stochastic dynamics in the space of graphons arising as continuum limits of dense graphs. In the present paper we exhibit an…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Andreas Greven , Frank den Hollander , Anton Klimovsky , Anita Winter

We introduce diffusions on a space of interval partitions of the unit interval that are stationary with the Poisson-Dirichlet laws with parameters $(\alpha,0)$ and $(\alpha,\alpha)$. The construction has two steps. The first is a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Noah Forman , Soumik Pal , Douglas Rizzolo , Matthias Winkel

It is known that the time until a birth and death process reaches a certain level is distributed as a sum of independent exponential random variables. Diaconis, Miclo and Swart gave a probabilistic proof of this fact by coupling the birth…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Tobiáš Hudec

We study the distribution of the unobserved states of two measure-valued diffusions of Fleming-Viot and Dawson-Watanabe type, conditional on observations from the underlying populations collected at past, present and future times. If seen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Filippo Ascolani , Antonio Lijoi , Matteo Ruggiero

In this paper, we introduce a new method of sampling from transition densities of diffusion processes including those unknown in closed forms by solving a partial differential equation satisfied by the quotient of transition densities. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Yasin Kikabi , Juma Kasozi

Starting from a sequence of independent Wright-Fisher diffusion processes on $[0,1]$, we construct a class of reversible infinite dimensional diffusion processes on $\DD_\infty:= \{{\bf x}\in [0,1]^\N: \sum_{i\ge 1} x_i=1\}$ with GEM…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-14 Shui Feng , Feng-Yu Wang

To model discrete sequences such as DNA, proteins, and language using diffusion, practitioners must choose between three major methods: diffusion in discrete space, Gaussian diffusion in Euclidean space, or diffusion on the simplex. Despite…

The two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet Process (PDP), a generalisation of the Dirichlet Process, is increasingly being used for probabilistic modelling in discrete areas such as language technology, bioinformatics, and image analysis. There is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Wray Buntine , Marcus Hutter

We introduce a continuous-time Markov chain describing dynamic allelic partitions which extends the branching process construction of the Pitman sampling formula in Pitman (2006) and the birth-and-death process with immigration studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Matteo Giordano , Pierpaolo De Blasi , Matteo Ruggiero

A new class of time-dependent Dirichlet priors is introduced as a generalisation of the Wright-Fisher diffusion, allowing discontinuities in the trajectories, as well as non-Markovian memory. This class is obtained as a simple stochastic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Nathan A. Judd , Dario Spanò
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