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When I first encountered PAC-Bayesian concentration inequalities they seemed to me to be rather disconnected from good old-fashioned results like Hoeffding's and Bernstein's inequalities. But, at least for one flavour of the PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-08 Tim van Erven

The likelihood ratio (LR) is largely used to evaluate the relative weight of forensic data regarding two hypotheses and for its assessment Bayesian methods are widespread in the forensic field. However, the Bayesian `recipe' for the LR…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-14 Giulia Cereda

We use martingales to study Bayesian consistency. We derive sufficient conditions for both Hellinger and Kullback-Leibler consistency, which do not rely on the use of a sieve. Alternative sufficient conditions for Hellinger consistency are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stephen Walker

Bayesian priors offer a compact yet general means of incorporating domain knowledge into many learning tasks. The correctness of the Bayesian analysis and inference, however, largely depends on accuracy and correctness of these priors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Mahdi MIlani Fard , Joelle Pineau , Csaba Szepesvari

Similarity-based method gives rise to a new class of methods for multi-label learning and also achieves promising performance. In this paper, we generalize this method, resulting in a new framework for classification task. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Zhongchen Ma , Songcan Chen

Variational Bayes (VB) is a common strategy for approximate Bayesian inference, but simple methods are only available for specific classes of models including, in particular, representations having conditionally conjugate constructions…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-19 Daniele Durante , Tommaso Rigon

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are widely considered the gold standard for evaluating the effectiveness of new treatments or interventions in drug development. Still, they may not be feasible in certain cases, such as with rare diseases…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Di Ran , Fanni Zhang , Sima Shahsavari , Kristine Broglio , Alasdair Henderson , Binbing Yu

New criteria are established for upper bounds on the number of limit cycles of periodic Abel differential equations having two periodic invariant curves, one of them bounded. The criteria are applied to obtain upper bounds of either zero or…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-07-06 José Luis Bravo Trinidad , Luis Ángel Calderón Pérez , Manuel Fernández García-Hierro

Field experiments are often difficult and expensive to make. To bypass these issues, industrial companies have developed computational codes. These codes intend to be representative of the physical system, but come with a certain amount of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-26 Mathieu Carmassi , Pierre Barbillon , Merlin Keller , Eric Parent , Matthieu Chiodetti

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

In this work, we propose a novel method for Bayesian Networks (BNs) structure elicitation that is based on the initialization of several LLMs with different experiences, independently querying them to create a structure of the BN, and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Nikolay Babakov , Ehud Reiter , Alberto Bugarin

We discuss the detailed balance condition for hybrid Monte Carlo method

Controller tuning is crucial for closed-loop performance but often involves manual adjustments. Although Bayesian optimization (BO) has been established as a data-efficient method for automated tuning, applying it to large and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Alexander von Rohr , David Stenger , Dominik Scheurenberg , Sebastian Trimpe

For toxicology studies, the validation of the concurrent control group by historical control data (HCD) has become requirements. This validation is usually done by historical control limits (HCL), which should cover the observations of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Max Menssen , Jonathan Rathjens

We consider applications of the Boundary Control (BC) method to generalized spectral estimation problems and to inverse source problems. We derive the equations of the BC method for this problems and show that solvability of this equations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-24 S. A. Avdonin , A. S. Mikhaylov , V. S. Mikhaylov

In this work we consider a problem of multi-label classification, where each instance is associated with some binary vector. Our focus is to find a classifier which minimizes false negative discoveries under constraints. Depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-29 Evgenii Chzhen

Recent work has developed Bayesian methods for the automatic statistical analysis and description of single time series as well as of homogeneous sets of time series data. We extend prior work to create an interpretable kernel embedding for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Andre T. Nguyen , Edward Raff

In this paper, we compare the performance of two methods for estimating Bayesian networks from data containing exogenous variables and random effects. The first method is fully Bayesian in which a prior distribution is placed on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-12-02 Jessica Kasza , Patty Solomon

Phase-equivalent transformation of local interaction is generalized to the multi-channel case. Generally, the transformation does not change the number of the bound states in the system and their energies. However, with a special choice of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-06 A. M. Shirokov , V. N. Sidorenko

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan