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We consider the problem of optimal bidding for virtual trading in two-settlement electricity markets. A virtual trader aims to arbitrage on the differences between day-ahead and real-time market prices; both prices, however, are random and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Sevi Baltaoglu , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Most microeconomic models of interest involve optimizing a piecewise linear function. These include contract design in hidden-action principal-agent problems, selling an item in posted-price auctions, and bidding in first-price auctions.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Francesco Bacchiocchi , Matteo Castiglioni , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti

Minimizing the peak power consumption and matching demand to supply, under fixed threshold polices, are two key requirements for the success of the future electricity market. In this work, we consider dynamic pricing methods to minimize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Zaid Almahmoud , Jacob Crandall , Khaled Elbassioni , Trung Thanh Nguyen , Mardavij Roozbehani

We revisit the online dynamic acknowledgment problem. In the problem, a sequence of requests arrive over time to be acknowledged, and all outstanding requests can be satisfied simultaneously by one acknowledgement. The goal of the problem…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Sungjin Im , Benjamin Moseley , Chenyang Xu , Ruilong Zhang

Demand response (DR) has been demonstrated to be an effective method for reducing peak load and mitigating uncertainties on both the supply and demand sides of the electricity market. One critical question for DR research is how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jun Song , Chaoyue Zhao

The widespread adoption of distributed energy resources, and the advent of smart grid technologies, have allowed traditionally passive power system users to become actively involved in energy trading. Recognizing the fact that the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Ashutosh Timilsina , Simone Silvestri

This paper contributes to the literature on parametric demand estimation by using deep learning to model consumer preferences. Traditional econometric methods often struggle with limited within-product price variation, a challenge addressed…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-16 Kirill Safonov

In this paper we apply active learning algorithms for dynamic pricing in a prominent e-commerce website. Dynamic pricing involves changing the price of items on a regular basis, and uses the feedback from the pricing decisions to update…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-12 Ravi Ganti , Matyas Sustik , Quoc Tran , Brian Seaman

The study of Day-Ahead prices in the electricity market is one of the most popular problems in time series forecasting. Previous research has focused on employing increasingly complex learning algorithms to capture the sophisticated…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-29 Carlos Sebastián , Carlos E. González-Guillén , Jesús Juan

In online learning, the dynamic regret metric chooses the reference (optimal) solution that may change over time, while the typical (static) regret metric assumes the reference solution to be constant over the whole time horizon. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Yawei Zhao , Shuang Qiu , Ji Liu

The energy transition is expected to significantly increase the share of renewable energy sources whose production is intermittent in the electricity mix. Apart from key benefits, this development has the major drawback of generating a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-30 Thibaut Théate , Antonio Sutera , Damien Ernst

Prosumer operators are dealing with extensive challenges to participate in short-term electricity markets while taking uncertainties into account. Challenges such as variation in demand, solar energy, wind power, and electricity prices as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-14 Saeed Mohammadi , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh

We study the online problem of minimizing power consumption in systems with multiple power-saving states. During idle periods of unknown lengths, an algorithm has to choose between power-saving states of different energy consumption and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Antonios Antoniadis , Christian Coester , Marek Eliáš , Adam Polak , Bertrand Simon

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is vital for short-term electricity markets, yet the multivariate nature of day-ahead prices - spanning 24 consecutive hours - remains underexplored. At the same time, real-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch

Price discrimination, which refers to the strategy of setting different prices for different customer groups, has been widely used in online retailing. Although it helps boost the collected revenue for online retailers, it might create…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Xi Chen , Jiameng Lyu , Xuan Zhang , Yuan Zhou

This paper introduces a novel contextual bandit algorithm for personalized pricing under utility fairness constraints in scenarios with uncertain demand, achieving an optimal regret upper bound. Our approach, which incorporates dynamic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-29 Xi Chen , David Simchi-Levi , Yining Wang

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

When sales of a product are affected by randomness in demand, retailers can use dynamic pricing strategies to maximise their profits. In this article the pricing problem is formulated as a stochastic optimal control problem, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Asbjørn N. Riseth , Jeff N. Dewynne , Chris L. Farmer

We propose a new efficient online algorithm to learn the parameters governing the purchasing behavior of a utility maximizing buyer, who responds to prices, in a repeated interaction setting. The key feature of our algorithm is that it can…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-07 Debjyoti Saharoy , Theja Tulabandhula

We consider a firm that sells a large number of products to its customers in an online fashion. Each product is described by a high dimensional feature vector, and the market value of a product is assumed to be linear in the values of its…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-26 Adel Javanmard