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A Monte Carlo method to optimize cuts on variables is presented and evaluated. The method gives a much higher signal to noise ratio than does a manual choice of cuts.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-12-21 Erik Elfgren

We consider the probabilistic numerical scheme for fully nonlinear PDEs suggested in \cite{cstv}, and show that it can be introduced naturally as a combination of Monte Carlo and finite differences scheme without appealing to the theory of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-26 Arash Fahim , Nizar Touzi , Xavier Warin

We developed a replica exchange method that is effectively parallelizable even if the computational cost of the Monte Carlo moves in the parallel replicas are considerably different, for instance, because the replicas run on different type…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-11 Sander Roet , Daniel T. Zhang , Titus S. van Erp

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool in statistical physics to evaluate multi-dimensional integrals numerically. For the method to work effectively, we must consider the following key issues: the choice of ensemble, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-07 Synge Todo , Hidemaro Suwa

We combine parallelization and cluster Monte Carlo for hard sphere systems and present a parallelized event chain algorithm for the hard disk system in two dimensions. For parallelization we use a spatial partitioning approach into…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-12-18 Tobias Alexander Kampmann , Horst-Holger Boltz , Jan Kierfeld

We propose a new framework for how to use sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms for inference in probabilistic graphical models (PGM). Via a sequential decomposition of the PGM we find a sequence of auxiliary distributions defined on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-07 Christian A. Naesseth , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We study the binomial, trinomial, and Black-Scholes-Merton models of option pricing. We present fast parallel discrete-time finite-difference algorithms for American call option pricing under the binomial and trinomial models and American…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Zafar Ahmad , Reilly Browne , Rezaul Chowdhury , Rathish Das , Yushen Huang , Yimin Zhu

Advanced algorithms are necessary to obtain faster-than-real-time dynamic simulations in a number of different physical problems that are characterized by widely disparate time scales. Recent advanced dynamic Monte Carlo algorithms that…

Materials Science · Physics 2016-11-23 M. A. Novotny

We present a novel method for the numerical pricing of American options based on Monte Carlo simulation and the optimization of exercise strategies. Previous solutions to this problem either explicitly or implicitly determine so-called…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-13 Christian Bayer , Raúl Tempone , Sören Wolfers

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

This paper introduces a class of Monte Carlo algorithms which are based upon the simulation of a Markov process whose quasi-stationary distribution coincides with a distribution of interest. This differs fundamentally from, say, current…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-14 Murray Pollock , Paul Fearnhead , Adam M. Johansen , Gareth O. Roberts

We study an algorithm which has been proposed by Chinesta et al. to solve high-dimensional partial differential equations. The idea is to represent the solution as a sum of tensor products and to compute iteratively the terms of this sum.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-09-18 José Arturo Infante Acevedo , Tony Lelievre

In high-dimensional data analysis, penalized likelihood estimators are shown to provide superior results in both variable selection and parameter estimation. A new algorithm, APPLE, is proposed for calculating the Approximate Path for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-07 Yi Yu , Yang Feng

In this paper, we aim to compute numerical approximation integral by using an adaptive Monte Carlo algorithm. We propose a stratified sampling algorithm based on an iterative method which splits the strata following some quantities called…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Toni Sayah

The availability of data sets with large numbers of variables is rapidly increasing. The effective application of Bayesian variable selection methods for regression with these data sets has proved difficult since available Markov chain…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-08 Jim Griffin , Krys Latuszynski , Mark Steel

We introduce a Path Shadowing Monte-Carlo method, which provides prediction of future paths, given any generative model. At any given date, it averages future quantities over generated price paths whose past history matches, or `shadows',…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-04 Rudy Morel , Stéphane Mallat , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We propose a methodology to parallelize Hamiltonian Monte Carlo estimators. Our approach constructs a pair of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo chains that are coupled in such a way that they meet exactly after some random number of iterations. These…

Computation · Statistics 2018-08-28 Jeremy Heng , Pierre E. Jacob

Classical Monte Carlo algorithms can theoretically be sped up on a quantum computer by employing amplitude estimation (AE). To realize this, an efficient implementation of state-dependent functions is crucial. We develop a straightforward…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Mark-Oliver Wolf , Tom Ewen , Ivica Turkalj

We present a sequential Monte Carlo sampler variant of the partial rejection control algorithm, and show that this variant can be considered as a sequential Monte Carlo sampler with a modified mutation kernel. We prove that the new sampler…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-11 G. W. Peters , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

We develop a scalable multi-step Monte Carlo algorithm for inference under a large class of nonparametric Bayesian models for clustering and classification. Each step is "embarrassingly parallel" and can be implemented using the same Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-08 Yang Ni , Peter Müller , Maurice Diesendruck , Sinead Williamson , Yitan Zhu , Yuan Ji