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We propose a predictor-corrector adaptive method for the simulation of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) on networks under general uncertainty in parameters, initial conditions, or boundary conditions. The approach is based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Jake J. Harmon , Svetlana Tokareva , Anatoly Zlotnik

We consider triangular arrays of Markov chains that converge weakly to a diffusion process. Edgeworth type expansions of third order for transition densities are proved. This is done for time horizons that converge to 0. For this purpose we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Valentin Konakov , Enno Mammen

Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

The discovery of the "hidden population", whose size and membership are unknown, is made possible by assuming that its members are connected in a social network by their relationships. We explore these groups by a chain-referral sampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Thi Phuong Thuy Vo

We develop adaptive time-stepping strategies for It\^o-type stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with jump perturbations. Our approach builds on adaptive strategies for SDEs. Adaptive methods can ensure strong convergence of nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Cónall Kelly , Gabriel Lord , Fandi Sun

Diffusion models (DMs) are a class of generative machine learning methods that sample a target distribution by transforming samples of a trivial (often Gaussian) distribution using a learned stochastic differential equation. In standard…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-15 Luke Causer , Grant M. Rotskoff , Juan P. Garrahan

Diffusion processes are a class of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) providing a rich family of expressive models that arise naturally in dynamic modelling tasks. Probabilistic inference and learning under generative models with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Prakhar Verma , Vincent Adam , Arno Solin

This paper outlines an approach to the approximation of probability density functions by quadratic forms of weighted orthonormal basis functions with positive semi-definite Hermitian matrices of unit trace. Such matrices are called…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Igor G. Vladimirov

In this article, we solve the problem of the long time behaviour of transition probabilities of time-inhomogeneous Markov processes and give a unified approach to stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with periodic, quasi-periodic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Chunrong Feng , Baoyou Qu , Huaizhong Zhao

Up to now, the nonparametric analysis of multidimensional continuous-time Markov processes has focussed strongly on specific model choices, mostly related to symmetry of the semigroup. While this approach allows to study the performance of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

We study the long-term qualitative behavior of randomly perturbed dynamical systems. More specifically, we look at limit cycles of stochastic differential equations (SDE) with Markovian switching, in which the process switches at random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen H. Du , Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , George Yin

This paper focuses on stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) under two-time-scale formulation. Distinct from the work in the existing literature, the systems are driven by $\alpha$-stable processes with $\alpha \in(1,2)$. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-30 Jianhai Bao , George Yin , Chenggui Yuan

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

This study addresses the inverse problem of parameter estimation for Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) by minimizing a regularized discrepancy functional via Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD). To achieve computational efficiency, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Francisco Delgado-Vences , José Julián Pavón-Español , Arelly Ornelas

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a Markov diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. While their practical power has now been widely recognized, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Yuejie Chi

McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) provide a mathematical description of the behavior of an infinite number of interacting particles by imposing a dependence on the particle density. As such, we study the influence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Haoming Yang , Ali Hasan , Yuting Ng , Vahid Tarokh

We consider the problem of inference for nonlinear, multivariate diffusion processes, satisfying It\^o stochastic differential equations (SDEs), using data at discrete times that may be incomplete and subject to measurement error. Our…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-27 Andrew Golightly , Chris Sherlock

In this paper, we use a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) as a model for the density of a population under the influence of random external forces/stimuli given by the environment. We study statistical properties for two…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Francisco Delgado-Vences , Liliana Peralta

We present an implicit Split-Step explicit Euler type Method (dubbed SSM) for the simulation of McKean-Vlasov Stochastic Differential Equations (MV-SDEs) with drifts of superlinear growth in space, Lipschitz in measure and non-constant…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Xingyuan Chen , Goncalo dos Reis

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters
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