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We discuss the problem of parameter estimation in nonlinear stochastic differential equations based on sampled time series. A central message from the theory of integrating stochastic differential equations is that there exists in general…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 J. Timmer

A penalized maximum likelihood estimation approach is proposed for discrete-time hidden Markov models where covariates affect the observed responses and serial dependence is considered. The proposed penalized maximum likelihood method…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-04 Luca Brusa , Fulvia Pennoni , Francesco Bartolucci , Romina Peruilh Bagolini

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

We construct an objective function that consists of a quadratic approximation term and a penalty term. Thanks to the quadratic approximation, we can deal with various kinds of loss functions into a unified way, and by taking advantage of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Takumi Suzuki , Nakahiro Yoshida

This article considers stochastic algorithms for efficiently solving a class of large scale non-linear least squares (NLS) problems which frequently arise in applications. We propose eight variants of a practical randomized algorithm where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Farbod Roosta-Khorasani , Gábor J. Székely , Uri Ascher

Classical penalized likelihood regression problems deal with the case that the independent variables data are known exactly. In practice, however, it is common to observe data with incomplete covariate information. We are concerned with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-08-04 Xiwen Ma , Bin Dai , Ronald Klein , Barbara E. K. Klein , Kristine E. Lee , Grace Wahba

The coefficient function of the leading differential operator is estimated from observations of a linear stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE). The estimation is based on continuous time observations which are localised in space.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Randolf Altmeyer , Markus Reiß

We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation, and the associated system of weakly interacting particles. We study two cases: one in which we observe multiple independent trajectories of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Louis Sharrock , Nikolas Kantas , Panos Parpas , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

This paper proposes a theory for $\ell_1$-norm penalized high-dimensional $M$-estimators, with nonconvex risk and unrestricted domain. Under high-level conditions, the estimators are shown to attain the rate of convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Jad Beyhum , François Portier

This article studies the problem of estimating the state variable of non-smooth subdifferential dynamics constrained in a bounded convex domain given some real-time observation. On the one hand, we show that the value function of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Louis-Pierre Chaintron , Laurent Mertz , Philippe Moireau , Hasnaa Zidani

From an optimizer's perspective, achieving the global optimum for a general nonconvex problem is often provably NP-hard using the classical worst-case analysis. In the case of Cox's proportional hazards model, by taking its statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Jianqing Fan , Wenyan Gong , Qiang Sun

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

Stochastic differential equations and stochastic dynamics are good models to describe stochastic phenomena in real world. In this paper, we study N independent stochastic processes Xi(t) with real entries and the processes are determined by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Min Dai , Jinqiao Duan , Junjun Liao , Xiangjun Wang

The performance of penalized likelihood approaches depends profoundly on the selection of the tuning parameter; however, there is no commonly agreed-upon criterion for choosing the tuning parameter. Moreover, penalized likelihood estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 Yang Liu , Peng Wang

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider the problem of estimation of a shift parameter of an unknown symmetric function in Gaussian white noise. We introduce a notion of semiparametric second-order efficiency and propose estimators that are semiparametrically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. S. Dalalyan , G. K. Golubev , A. B. Tsybakov

This paper gives a comprehensive treatment of the convergence rates of penalized spline estimators for simultaneously estimating several leading principal component functions, when the functional data is sparsely observed. The penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Shiyuan He , Jianhua Z. Huang , Kejun He

The time evolution of the probability distribution of a stochastic differential equation follows the Fokker-Planck equation, which usually has an unbounded, high-dimensional domain. Inspired by our early study in \cite{li2018data}, we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-22 Jiayu Zhai , Matthew Dobson , Yao Li

In high-dimensional data analysis, penalized likelihood estimators are shown to provide superior results in both variable selection and parameter estimation. A new algorithm, APPLE, is proposed for calculating the Approximate Path for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-07 Yi Yu , Yang Feng