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We study the problem of estimating a sequence of evolving probability distributions from historical data, where the underlying distribution changes over time in a nonstationary and nonparametric manner. To capture gradual changes, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Edward J. Anderson , Dominic S. T. Keehan

The empirical Wasserstein projection (WP) distance quantifies the Wasserstein distance from the empirical distribution to a set of probability measures satisfying given expectation constraints. The WP is a powerful tool because it mitigates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Sirui Lin , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Viet Anh Nguyen

In this paper we propose tight upper and lower bounds for the Wasserstein distance between any two {{univariate continuous distributions}} with probability densities $p_1$ and $p_2$ having nested supports. These explicit bounds are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-21 Christophe Ley , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

Wasserstein distances provide a metric on a space of probability measures. We consider the space $\Omega$ of all probability measures on the finite set $\chi = \{1, \dots ,n\}$ where $n$ is a positive integer. 1-Wasserstein distance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Andrew Frohmader , Hans Volkmer

Learning to predict multi-label outputs is challenging, but in many problems there is a natural metric on the outputs that can be used to improve predictions. In this paper we develop a loss function for multi-label learning, based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Charlie Frogner , Chiyuan Zhang , Hossein Mobahi , Mauricio Araya-Polo , Tomaso Poggio

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has recently achieved empirical success for various applications in operations research and machine learning, owing partly to its regularization effect. Although connection between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Rui Gao , Xi Chen , Anton J. Kleywegt

Fix an irrational number $\alpha$. Let $X_1,X_2,\cdots$ be independent, identically distributed, integer-valued random variables with characteristic function $\varphi$, and let $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ be the partial sums. Consider the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Bingyao Wu , Jie-Xiang Zhu

We consider a distributionally robust second-order stochastic dominance constrained optimization problem. We require the dominance constraints hold with respect to all probability distributions in a Wasserstein ball centered at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Yu Mei , Jia Liu , Zhiping Chen

Distributionally robust chance constrained programs minimize a deterministic cost function subject to the satisfaction of one or more safety conditions with high probability, given that the probability distribution of the uncertain problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Zhi Chen , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

This paper proposes a novel non-parametric multidimensional convex regression estimator which is designed to be robust to adversarial perturbations in the empirical measure. We minimize over convex functions the maximum (over Wasserstein…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn , Jun Yan , Zhengqing Zhou

We investigate the minimal error in approximating a general probability measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$ by the uniform measure on a finite set with prescribed cardinality $n$. The error is measured in the $p$-Wasserstein distance. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-26 Filippo Quattrocchi

It was shown by the authors that two one-dimensional probability measures in the convex order admit a martingale coupling with respect to which the integral of $\vert x-y\vert$ is smaller than twice their $\mathcal W_1$-distance…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Benjamin Jourdain , William Margheriti

Distributionally robust optimization has emerged as an attractive way to train robust machine learning models, capturing data uncertainty and distribution shifts. Recent statistical analyses have proved that generalization guarantees of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Tam Le , Jérôme Malick

We study the average $p-$Wasserstein distance between a finite sample of an infinite hyperuniform point process on $\mathbb{R}^2$ and its mean for any $p\geq 1$. The average Wasserstein transport cost is shown to be bounded from above and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Raphael Butez , Sandrine Dallaporta , David García-Zelada

We consider the rate-distortion function for lossy source compression, as well as the channel capacity for error correction, through the lens of distributional robustness. We assume that the distribution of the source or of the additive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Vikrant Malik , Taylan Kargin , Victoria Kostina , Babak Hassibi

Variational problems that involve Wasserstein distances have been recently proposed to summarize and learn from probability measures. Despite being conceptually simple, such problems are computationally challenging because they involve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-08-26 Marco Cuturi , Gabriel Peyré

Deconvolution is the important problem of estimating the distribution of a quantity of interest from a sample with additive measurement error. Nearly all methods in the literature are based on Fourier transformation because it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Yun Cai , Hong Gu , Toby Kenney

The quantization problem aims to find the best possible approximation of probability measures on ${\mathbb{R}}^d$ using finite, discrete measures. The Wasserstein distance is a typical choice to measure the quality of the approximation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Rajmadan Lakshmanan , Alois Pichler

Data consisting of time-indexed distributions of cross-sectional or intraday returns have been extensively studied in finance, and provide one example in which the data atoms consist of serially dependent probability distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Chao Zhang , Piotr Kokoszka , Alexander Petersen

We study the approximation of a (finite) continuous-time Markov chain by a Markov chain on a reduced state space, and we provide formal error bounds for the approximated transient distributions in the Wasserstein distance. These bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Fabian Michel