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The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

This paper considers both the least squares and quasi-maximum likelihood estimation for the recently proposed scalable ARMA model, a parametric infinite-order vector AR model, and their asymptotic normality is also established. It makes…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yuchang Lin , Wenyu Li , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

We present an extended version of an invited talk given on the International Conference "Turbulent Mixing and Beyond". The dynamical and statistical description of stably stratified turbulent boundary layers with the important example of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2009-02-18 Victor S. L'vov , Itamar Procaccia , Oleksii Rudenko

Turbulence is a complex spatial and temporal structure created by the strong non-linear dynamics of fluid flows at high Reynolds numbers. Despite being an ubiquitous phenomenon that has been studied for centuries, a full understanding of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-03 Noam Levi , Yaron Oz

We develop and analyze a random field model for the reconstruction of turbulent velocity fluctuations from inhomogeneous characteristic flow quantities provided by RANS simulations that is accessible to both a rigorous analytical validation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Markus Antoni , Quinten Kürpick , Felix Lindner , Nicole Marheineke , Raimund Wegener

This paper is concerned with deriving the limit distributions of stopping times devised to sequentially uncover structural breaks in the parameters of an autoregressive moving average, ARMA, time series. The stopping rules are defined as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Alexander Aue , Christopher Dienes , Stefan Fremdt , Josef Steinebach

Turbulence is a crucial component of dynamics of astrophysical fluids dynamics, including those of ISM, clusters of galaxies and circumstellar regions. Doppler shifted spectral lines provide a unique source of information on turbulent…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Lazarian

Temperature uncertainty models for land and sea surfaces can be developed based on statistical methods. In this paper, we developed a novel time series temperature uncertainty model which is the Auto-regressive Moving Average (ARMA)(1, 1)…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Mahmud Hasan , Gauree Wathodkar , Mathias Muia

This work builds upon recent work exploiting the notion of structured singular values to capture nonlinear interactions in the analysis of wall-bounded shear flows. In this context, the structured uncertainty can be interpreted in terms of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-03-21 Chang Liu , Yu Shuai , Aishwarya Rath , Dennice F. Gayme

Data assimilation (DA) plays a crucial role in extracting valuable information from flow measurements in fluid dynamics problems. Often only time-averaged data is available, which poses challenges for DA in the context of unsteady flow…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-05-30 Justin Plogmann , Oliver Brenner , Patrick Jenny

An approach to the modelling of volatile time series using a class of uniformity-preserving transforms for uniform random variables is proposed. V-transforms describe the relationship between quantiles of the stationary distribution of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Alexander J. McNeil

Turbulent fluid flows exhibit a complex small-scale structure with frequently occurring extreme velocity gradients. Particles probing such swirling and straining regions respond with an intricate shape-dependent orientational dynamics,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-11-30 Leonhard A. Leppin , Michael Wilczek

Starting from limited measurements of a turbulent flow, data assimilation (DA) attempts to estimate all the spatio-temporal scales of motion. Success is dependent on whether the system is observable from the measurements, or how much of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-16 Andrew Cleary , Qi Wang , Tamer A. Zaki

Many water-quality monitoring programs aim to measure turbidity to help guide effective management of waterways and catchments, yet distributing turbidity sensors throughout networks is typically cost prohibitive. To this end, we built and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Bhargav Rele , Caleb Hogan , Sevvandi Kandanaarachchi , Catherine Leigh

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

Rigorous assessment of the uncertainty is crucial to the utility of numerical simulation of Turbulent flow. The Turbulent flows are often stationary and ergodic, after some initial transient time. Therefore, the time averaged of a quantity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-06 Pooriya Beyhaghi , Shahrouz Alimohammadi , Thomas Bewley

We express the classic ARMA time-series model as a directed graphical model. In doing so, we find that the deterministic relationships in the model make it effectively impossible to use the EM algorithm for learning model parameters. To…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-10 Bo Thiesson , David Maxwell Chickering , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Turbulent problems in industrial applications are predominantly solved using Reynolds Averaged Navier Stokes (RANS) turbulence models. The accuracy of the RANS models is limited due to closure assumptions that induce uncertainty into the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2018-02-20 Atieh Alizadeh Moghaddam , Amir Sadaghiyani

We investigate the statistical accuracy of temporally interpolated spatiotemporal flow sequences between sparse, decorrelated snapshots of turbulent flow fields using conditional Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPMs). The…

The physics of turbulence in magnetized plasmas remains an unresolved problem. The most poorly understood aspect is intermittency -- spatio-temporal fluctuations superimposed on the self-similar turbulent motions. We employ a novel…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-05-21 Trung Ha , Joonas Nättilä , Jordy Davelaar , Lorenzo Sironi