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The Curie-Weiss model is used to study phase transitions in statistical mechanics and has been the object of rigorous analysis in mathematical physics. We analyse the problem of reconstructing the probability measure of a multi-group…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Miguel Ballesteros , Ramsés H. Mena , Arno Siri-Jégousse , Gabor Toth

The first investigation is made of designs for screening experiments where the response variable is approximated by a generalised linear model. A Bayesian information capacity criterion is defined for the selection of designs that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-27 David C. Woods , James M. McGree , Susan M. Lewis

This paper introduces a novel periodogram-like function, called the expectile periodogram, for modeling spectral features of time series and detecting hidden periodicities. The expectile periodogram is constructed from trigonometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tianbo Chen , Ta-Hsin Li , Hanbing Zhu , Wenwu Gao

In the problem of selecting variables in a multivariate linear regression model, we derive new Bayesian information criteria based on a prior mixing a smooth distribution and a delta distribution. Each of them can be interpreted as a fusion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-29 Haruki Kono , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Using Fourier analysis, we study local limit theorems in weak-convergence problems. Among many applications, we discuss random matrix theory, some probabilistic models in number theory, the winding number of complex brownian motion and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Freddy Delbaen , Emmanuel Kowalski , Ashkan Nikeghbali

We investigate the issue of post-selection inference for a fixed and a mixed parameter in a linear mixed model using a conditional Akaike information criterion as a model selection procedure. Within the framework of linear mixed models we…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-24 Gerda Claeskens , Katarzyna Reluga , Stefan Sperlich

A quantum mechanical description of black hole states proposed recently within non-perturbative quantum gravity is used to study the emission and absorption spectra of quantum black holes. We assume that the probability distribution of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-10-30 Kirill Krasnov

We are motivated by the recently reported dynamical evidence of stars with short orbital periods moving around the center of the Milky Way and the corresponding hypothesis about the existence of a supermassive black hole hosted at its…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-08-26 Alfredo Herrera-Aguilar , Ulises Nucamendi

Classification and characterization of variable phenomena and transient phenomena are critical for astrophysics and cosmology. These objects are commonly studied using photometric time series or spectroscopic data. Given that many ongoing…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Javiera Astudillo , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara , Pablo Huijse

The Method of Light Curve Simulations is a tool that has been applied to X-ray monitoring observations of Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) for the characterization of the Power Density Spectrum (PDS) of temporal variability and measurement of…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2011-02-11 M. Mueller , G. Madejski

The joint modeling of mean and dispersion (JMMD) provides an efficient method to obtain useful models for the mean and dispersion, especially in problems of robust design experiments. However, in the literature on JMMD there are few works…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Edmilson Rodrigues Pinto , Leandro Alves Pereira

Model selection is the problem of distinguishing competing models, perhaps featuring different numbers of parameters. The statistics literature contains two distinct sets of tools, those based on information theory such as the Akaike…

Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-13 Andrew R Liddle

In almost every scientific field, an experiment involves collecting data and then analysing it. The analysis stage will often consist in trying to extract some physical parameter and estimating its uncertainty; this is known as Parameter…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-12 Louis Lyons

Given a random sample from a multivariate population, estimating the number of large eigenvalues of the population covariance matrix is an important problem in Statistics with wide applications in many areas. In the context of Principal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Abhinav Chakraborty , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee , Arijit Chakrabarti

For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Leif Doering , Zenghu Li , Gyula Pap

Constraints on cosmological parameters depend on the set of parameters chosen to define the model which is compared with observational data. I use the Akaike and Bayesian information criteria to carry out cosmological model selection, in…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Andrew R. Liddle

A rapidly converging 4-dimensional Fourier shape parametrization is used to model the fission process of heavy nuclei. Potential energy landscapes are computed within the macroscopic-microscopic approach, on top of which the…

Analytic modeling of gravitational waves from inspiraling eccentric binaries poses an interesting mathematical challenge. When constructing analytic waveforms in the frequency domain, one has to contend with the fact that the phase of the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-10-04 Nicholas Loutrel

Employing the generalized free energy landscape and solving the associated Fokker-Planck equation, we obtain the time-dependent probability evolution of the order parameter for the RN-AdS black hole phase transitions. Our analysis reveals…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-08 Chao Wang , Chen Ma , Meng-Ci He , Bin Wu

Deep learning algorithms have recently shown to be a successful tool in estimating parameters of statistical models for which simulation is easy, but likelihood computation is challenging. But the success of these approaches depends on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-20 Amanda Lenzi , Haavard Rue