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Machine learning models are often evaluated using point estimates of performance metrics such as accuracy, F1 score, or mean squared error. Such summaries fail to capture the inherent variability induced by stochastic elements of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Christoph Lehmann , Yahor Paromau

In this paper, we consider the problem of parameter estimating for a family of exponential distributions. We develop the improved estimation method, which generalized the James--Stein approach for a wide class of distributions. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-08 S. B. Kologrivova , E. A. Pchelintsev

Statistical system models provide the basis for the examination of various sorts of distributions. Classification distributions are a very common and versatile form of statistics in e.g. real economic, social, and IT systems. The…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-20 Uwe Petersohn , Thomas Dedek , Sandra Zimmer , Hans Biskupski

We present a novel approach for the problem of frequency estimation in data streams that is based on optimization and machine learning. Contrary to state-of-the-art streaming frequency estimation algorithms, which heavily rely on random…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vassilis Digalakis

We outline a method to estimate the value of computation for a flexible algorithm using empirical data. To determine a reasonable trade-off between cost and value, we build an empirical model of the value obtained through computation, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Michael C. Horsch , David L. Poole

Existing methods for the estimation of stable distribution parameters, such as those based on sample quantiles, sample characteristic functions or maximum likelihood generally assume an independent sample. Little attention has been paid to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Adrian W. Barker

Predicting scalar outcomes using functional predictors is a classic problem in functional data analysis. In many applications, however, only specific locations or time-points of the functional predictors have an impact on the outcome. Such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Dominik Poß , Dominik Liebl , Alois Kneip , Hedwig Eisenbarth , Tor D. Wager , Lisa Feldman Barrett

To perform a queuing analysis or design in a communications context, we need to estimate the values of the input parameters, specifically the mean of the arrival rate and service time. In this paper, we propose an approach for estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-26 Xinjia Chen

Change point estimation in its offline version is traditionally performed by optimizing over the data set of interest, by considering each data point as the true location parameter and computing a data fit criterion. Subsequently, the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Zhiyuan Lu , Moulinath Banerjee , George Michailidis

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Several tasks in information retrieval (IR) rely on assumptions regarding the distribution of some property (such as term frequency) in the data being processed. This thesis argues that such distributional assumptions can lead to incorrect…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-04-02 Casper Petersen

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in the case of observation of the trajectory of diffusion process. We suppose that the drift coefficient has a singularity of cusp-type and the unknown parameter corresponds to the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

We extend a recently established asymptotic normality theorem for generalized linear mixed models to include the dispersion parameter. The new results show that the maximum likelihood estimators of all model parameters have asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-11 Aishwarya Bhaskaran , Matt P. Wand

Distributed diffusion is a powerful algorithm for multi-task state estimation which enables networked agents to interact with neighbors to process input data and diffuse information across the network. Compared to a centralized approach,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Jiani Li , Xenofon Koutsoukos

Estimating function inference is indispensable for many common point process models where the joint intensities are tractable while the likelihood function is not. In this paper we establish asymptotic normality of estimating function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-18 Frédéric Lavancier , Arnaud Poinas , Rasmus Waagepetersen

The prevailing statistical approach to analyzing persistence diagrams is concerned with filtering out topological noise. In this paper, we adopt a different viewpoint and aim at estimating the actual distribution of a random persistence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-26 Weichen Wu , Jisu Kim , Alessandro Rinaldo

Maximum entropy method is a constructive criterion for setting up a probability distribution maximally non-committal to missing information on the basis of partial knowledge, usually stated as constrains on expectation values of some…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-20 Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio , Jorge Fernandez-de-Cossio Diaz

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-13 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Probabilistic graphical models are a powerful concept for modeling high-dimensional distributions. Besides modeling distributions, probabilistic graphical models also provide an elegant framework for performing statistical inference;…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Christian Knoll

The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano M. Iacus