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Related papers: Short Term Electricity Load Forecasting on Varying…

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Short-term load forecasting (STLF) is essential for the reliable and economic operation of power systems. Though many STLF methods were proposed over the past decades, most of them focused on loads at high aggregation levels only. Thus,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Yayu Peng , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Haifeng Li , Di Shi , Zhiwei Wang , Jie Li

Most electricity systems worldwide are deploying advanced metering infrastructures to collect relevant operational data. In particular, smart meters allow tracking electricity load consumption at a very disaggregated level and at high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-09 Andrés M. Alonso , F. Javier Nogales , Carlos Ruiz

Loads represent a promising flexibility source to support the integration of renewable energy sources, as they may shift their energy consumption over time. By computing the aggregated flexibility of power and energy-constrained loads,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-23 Julie Rousseau , Philipp Heer , Kristina Orehounig , Gabriela Hug

As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Zhifang Liao , Haihui Pan , Qi Zeng , Xiaoping Fan , Yan Zhang , Song Yu

In the effort to achieve carbon neutrality through a decentralized electricity market, accurate short-term load forecasting at low aggregation levels has become increasingly crucial for various market participants' strategies. Accurate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-17 Jungyeon Park , Estêvão Alvarenga , Jooyoung Jeon , Ran Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Hokyun Kim , Kwangwon Ahn

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Electrical load prediction has become an integral part of power system operation. Deep learning models have found popularity for this purpose. However, to achieve a desired prediction accuracy, they require huge amounts of data for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Nastaran Gholizadeh , Petr Musilek

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Accurate short-term load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation of the power sector. Forecasting load at a fine granularity such as hourly loads of individual households is challenging due to higher volatility and inherent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Haris Mansoor , Sarwan Ali , Imdadullah Khan , Naveed Arshad , Muhammad Asad Khan , Safiullah Faizullah

Forecasts support decision making in a variety of applications. Statistical models can produce accurate forecasts given abundant training data, but when data is sparse, rapidly changing, or unavailable, statistical models may not be able to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Thomas McAndrew , Nutcha Wattanachit , G. Casey Gibson , Nicholas G. Reich

Load forecasting has always been a challenge for grid operators due to the growing complexity of power systems. The increase in extreme weather and the need for energy from customers has led to load forecasting sometimes failing. This…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-09 Nishant Gadde , Yoshua Alexander , Sarvesh Parthasarthy , Arman Allidina

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

Short term load forecasts will play a key role in the implementation of smart electricity grids. They are required to optimise a wide range of potential network solutions on the low voltage (LV) grid, including integrating low carbon…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Stephen Haben , Georgios Giasemidis , Florian Ziel , Siddharth Arora

Electric vehicle (EV) fleets are expected to become an increasingly important source of flexibility for power system operations. However, accurately capturing the flexibility potential of numerous and heterogeneous EVs remains a significant…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Philipp Härtel , Michael von Bonin

The widespread diffusion of distributed energy resources, especially those based on renewable energy, and energy storage devices has deeply modified power systems. As a consequence, demand response, the ability of customers to respond to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-21 Francesco Conte , Matteo Saviozzi , Samuele Grillo

We consider the setting of sequential prediction of arbitrary sequences based on specialized experts. We first provide a review of the relevant literature and present two theoretical contributions: a general analysis of the specialist…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-10 Marie Devaine , Pierre Gaillard , Yannig Goude , Gilles Stoltz

We focus on day-ahead electricity load forecasting of substations of the distribution network in France; therefore, our problem lies between the instability of a single consumption and the stability of a countrywide total demand. Moreover,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Guillaume Lambert , Bachir Hamrouche , Joseph de Vilmarest

The recent abundance of data on electricity consumption at different scales opens new challenges and highlights the need for new techniques to leverage information present at finer scales in order to improve forecasts at wider scales. In…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-23 Anestis Antoniadis , Solenne Gaucher , Yannig Goude

The reliability of local power grid infrastructure is challenged by sustainable energy developments increasing electric load uncertainty. Transmission System Operators (TSOs) need load forecasts of higher spatial resolution, extending…

In this paper, we introduce a scalable model for the aggregate electricity demand of a fleet of electric vehicles, which can provide the right balance between model simplicity and accuracy. The model is based on classification of tasks with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-05-03 Mahnoosh Alizadeh , George Kesidis , Anna Scaglione
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