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We obtain non-asymptotic Gaussian concentration bounds for the difference between the invariant measure $\nu$ of an ergodic Brownian diffusion process and the empirical distribution of an approximating scheme with decreasing time step along…
The mean absolute deviation about the mean is an alternative to the standard deviation for measuring dispersion in a sample or in a population. For stationary, ergodic time series with a finite first moment, an asymptotic expansion for the…
The objective of the present paper is to develop a minimax theory for the varying coefficient model in a non-asymptotic setting. We consider a high-dimensional sparse varying coefficient model where only few of the covariates are present…
We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…
When estimating high-frequency covariance (quadratic covariation) of two arbitrary assets observed asynchronously, simple assumptions, such as independence, are usually imposed on the relationship between the prices process and the…
In this paper, we introduce a general model for jointly modelling the nodal heterogeneity and covariates in weighted or unweighted bipartite networks, which contains two different types of nodes. The model has a degree heterogeneity…
We consider the geodesic flow for a rank one non-positive curvature closed manifold. We prove an asymptotic version of the Central Limit Theorem for families of measures constructed from regular closed geodesics converging to the…
Existing weighting methods for treatment effect estimation are often built upon the idea of propensity scores or covariate balance. They usually impose strong assumptions on treatment assignment or outcome model to obtain unbiased…
Weighted empirical risk minimization is a common approach to prediction under distribution drift. This article studies its out-of-sample prediction error under nonstationarity. We provide a general decomposition of the excess risk into a…
We first revisit the problem of estimating the spot volatility of an It\^o semimartingale using a kernel estimator. We prove a Central Limit Theorem with optimal convergence rate for a general two-sided kernel. Next, we introduce a new…
We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an…
Global existence for the nonisentropic compressible Euler equations with vacuum boundary for all adiabatic constants $\gamma > 1$ is shown through perturbations around a rich class of background nonisentropic affine motions. The notable…
We consider the problem of frequency estimation by observations of the periodic diffusion process possesing ergodic properties in two different situations. The first one corresponds to continuously differentiable with respect to parameter…
A general approach to a broad class of asymptotic problems related to long-time influence of small perturbations, of both deterministic and stochastic type, is presented in the paper. The main characteristic of this influence is a limiting…
We develop a novel asymptotic theory for local polynomial extremum estimators of time-varying parameters in a broad class of nonlinear time series models. We show the proposed estimators are consistent and follow normal distributions in…
We develop a technique of multiple scale asymptotic expansions along mean flows and a corresponding notion of weak multiple scale convergence. These are applied to homogenize convection dominated parabolic equations with rapidly…
For a broad class of nonlinear time series known as Bernoulli shifts, we establish the asymptotic normality of the smoothed periodogram estimator of the long-run variance. This estimator uses only a narrow band of Fourier frequencies around…
We introduce a class of discrete random walk model driven by global memory effects. At any time the right-left transitions depend on the whole previous history of the walker, being defined by an urn-like memory mechanism. The characteristic…
We give two asymptotic results for the empirical distance covariance on separable metric spaces without any iid assumption on the samples. In particular, we show the almost sure convergence of the empirical distance covariance for any…
We study the joint distribution of the input sum and the output sum of a deterministic transducer. Here, the input of this finite-state machine is a uniformly distributed random sequence. We give a simple combinatorial characterization of…