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Studying potential BSM effects at the precision frontier requires accurate transfer of information from low-energy measurements to high-energy BSM models. We propose to use normalising flows to construct likelihood functions that achieve…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-09-20 Anja Beck , Méril Reboud , Danny van Dyk

This study aims to evaluate the performance of power in the likelihood ratio test for changepoint detection by bootstrap sampling, and proposes a hypothesis test based on bootstrapped confidence interval lengths. Assuming i.i.d normally…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Ryan Chen , Javier Cabrera

Testing for regime switching when the regime switching probabilities are specified either as constants (`mixture models') or are governed by a finite-state Markov chain (`Markov switching models') are long-standing problems that have also…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-11-13 Mika Meitz , Pentti Saikkonen

In this article, we consider a configuration of weighted random balls in $\mathbb{R}^d$ generated according to a Poisson point process. The model investigated exhibits inhomogeneity, as well as dependence between the centers and the radii…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-04 Renan Gobard

This work is devoted to the problem of estimation of the localization of Poisson source. The observations are inhomogeneous Poisson processes registered by the $k\geq 3$ detectors on the plane. We study the behavior of the Bayes estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-20 O. V. Chernoyarov , S. Dachian , Yu. A. Kutoyants

We propose a testing procedure based on the Wilcoxon two-sample test statistic in order to test for change-points in the mean of long-range dependent data. We show that the corresponding self-normalized test statistic converges in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-10 Annika Betken

Count outcomes in longitudinal studies are frequent in clinical and engineering studies. In frequentist and Bayesian statistical analysis, methods such as Mixed linear models allow the variability or correlation within individuals to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Alejandra Estefanía Patiño Hoyos , Johnatan Cardona Jiménez

Fix a subset $S \subset \mathbb{R}^n$ of volume at most $c n$ that satisfies $S \cap (-S) = \emptyset$. We consider two point processes in $S$: the first is the Poisson point process of intensity one, and the second is the restriction of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Boaz Klartag

We introduce a point process regression model that is applicable to price models and limit order book models. Hawkes type autoregression in the intensity process is generalized to a stochastic regression to covariate processes. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

We consider a bivariate process $X_t=(X^1_t,X^2_t)$, which is observed on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ at discrete times $0,\Delta_n,2\Delta_n,....$ Assuming that its two components $X^1$ and $X^2$ have jumps on $[0,T]$, we derive tests…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

In counting experiments, one can set an upper limit on the rate of a Poisson process based on a count of the number of events observed due to the process. In some experiments, one makes several counts of the number of events, using…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-20 Patrick J. Sutton

The convergence of a sequence of point processes with dependent points, defined by a symmetric function of iid high-dimensional random vectors, to a Poisson random measure is proved. This also implies the convergence of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Johannes Heiny , Carolin Kleemann

It is well-known that assumptions of monotonicity in size-bias couplings may be used to prove simple, yet powerful, Poisson approximation results. Here we show how these assumptions may be relaxed, establishing explicit Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-30 Fraser Daly , Oliver Johnson

The present manuscript studies signal detection by likelihood ratio tests in a number of spiked random matrix models, including but not limited to Gaussian mixtures and spiked Wishart covariance matrices. We work directly with multi-spiked…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Debapratim Banerjee , Zongming Ma

We consider a random walk on a homogeneous Poisson point process with energy marks. The jump rates decay exponentially in the A-power of the jump length and depend on the energy marks via a Boltzmann--like factor. The case A=1 corresponds…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 P. Caputo , A. Faggionato , T. Prescott

For a sample of Exponentially distributed durations we aim at point estimation and a confidence interval for its parameter. A duration is only observed if it has ended within a certain time interval, determined by a Uniform distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Rafael Weißbach , Dominik Wied

A partially observed jump diffusion $Z=(X_t,Y_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ given by a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures is considered when the coefficients of the equation satisfy appropriate…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-20 Alexander Davie , Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

In Bayesian nonparametric inference, random discrete probability measures are commonly used as priors within hierarchical mixture models for density estimation and for inference on the clustering of the data. Recently, it has been shown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

We consider a system of dependent Poisson variables, where each variable is the sum of an independent variate and a common variate. It is the common variate that creates the dependence. Within this system, a test of independence may be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-19 Rolf Larsson