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Related papers: Asymmetric COGARCH processes

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We suggest three superpositions of COGARCH (supCOGARCH) volatility processes driven by L\'evy processes or L\'evy bases. We investigate second-order properties, jump behaviour, and prove that they exhibit Pareto-like tails. Corresponding…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-04 Anita Behme , Carsten Chong , Claudia Klüppelberg

Ranking data are frequently obtained nowadays but there are still scarce methods for treating these data when temporally observed. The present paper contributes to this topic by proposing and developing novel models for handling time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Luiza Piancastelli , Wagner Barreto-Souza

Multivariate $\operatorname {COGARCH}(1,1)$ processes are introduced as a continuous-time models for multidimensional heteroskedastic observations. Our model is driven by a single multivariate L\'{e}vy process and the latent time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-24 Robert Stelzer

We study the class of semi-Levy driven continuous-time GARCH, denoted by SLD-COGARCH, process. The statistical properties of this process are characterized. We show that the state process of such process can be described by a random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-31 M. Mohammadi , S. Rezakhah , N. Modarresi

We review statistical properties of models generated by the application of a (positive and negative order) fractional derivative operator to a standard random walk and show that the resulting stochastic walks display slowly-decaying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 H. Eduardo Roman , Markus Porto

The accurate prediction of time-changing covariances is an important problem in the modeling of multivariate financial data. However, some of the most popular models suffer from a) overfitting problems and multiple local optima, b) failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Yue Wu , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

We develop a non-parametric multivariate time series model that remains agnostic on the precise relationship between a (possibly) large set of macroeconomic time series and their lagged values. The main building block of our model is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-11-07 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Nico Petz

This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump-diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Xinyu Song , Donggyu Kim , Huiling Yuan , Xiangyu Cui , Zhiping Lu , Yong Zhou , Yazhen Wang

Log-symmetric regression models are particularly useful when the response variable is continuous, strictly positive and asymmetric. In this paper, we proposed a class of log-symmetric regression models in the context of correlated errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-22 Helton Saulo , Roberto Vila

We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Modeling the time-varying covariance structures of high-dimensional variables is critical across diverse scientific and industrial applications; however, existing approaches exhibit notable limitations in either modeling flexibility or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

It is common for long financial time series to exhibit gradual change in the unconditional volatility. We propose a new model that captures this type of nonstationarity in a parsimonious way. The model augments the volatility equation of a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-15 Niklas Ahlgren , Alexander Back , Timo Teräsvirta

Multivariate spatial phenomena are ubiquitous, spanning domains such as climate, pandemics, air quality, and social economy. Cross-correlation between different quantities of interest at different locations is asymmetric in general. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xiaoqing Chen

In this paper we estimate the conditional value-at-risk by fitting different multivariate parametric models capturing some stylized facts about multivariate financial time series of equity returns: heavy tails, negative skew, asymmetric…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-24 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Giovanni De Luca , Giorgia Rivieccio

The asymmetric switch process is a binary stochastic process that alternates between the values one and minus one, where the distributions of the time in these states may differ. Two versions of the process are considered: a non-stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Henrik Bengtsson , Krzysztof Podgorski

We propose a Bayesian non-parametric approach for modeling the distribution of multiple returns. In particular, we use an asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation (ADCC) model to estimate the time-varying correlations of financial returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-10 Audrone Virbickaite , M. Concepción Ausín , Pedro Galeano

We consider pure-jump transaction-level models for asset prices in continuous time, driven by point processes. In a bivariate model that admits cointegration, we allow for time deformations to account for such effects as intraday seasonal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-15 Alexander Aue , Lajos Horváth , Clifford M. Hurvich , Philippe Soulier

In this paper, we test a partially segmented ICAPM for two developed markets, two emerging markets and World market, using an asymmetric extension of the multivariate GARCH process of De Santis and Gerard (1997,1998). We find that this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-02 Mohamed El Hedi Arouri

Conditional heteroscedastic (CH) models are routinely used to analyze financial datasets. The classical models such as ARCH-GARCH with time-invariant coefficients are often inadequate to describe frequent changes over time due to market…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Sayar Karmakar , Arkaprava Roy