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Time series imputation is a fundamental task for understanding time series with missing data. Existing methods either do not directly handle irregularly-sampled data or degrade severely with sparsely observed data. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Siyuan Shan , Yang Li , Junier B. Oliva

\textit{SummerTime} seeks to summarize globally time series signals and provides a fixed-length, robust summarization of the variable-length time series. Many classical machine learning methods for classification and regression depend on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-24 Kevin M. Amaral , Zihan Li , Wei Ding , Scott Crouter , Ping Chen

To perform multiple regression, the least squares estimator is commonly used. However, this estimator is not robust to outliers. Therefore, robust methods such as S-estimation have been proposed. These estimators flag any observation with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-03 Viktoria Öllerer , Andreas Alfons , Christophe Croux

Time-varying optimization problems are prevalent in various engineering fields, and the ability to solve them accurately in real-time is becoming increasingly important. The prediction-correction algorithms used in smooth time-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Hidenori Iwakiri , Tomoya Kamijima , Shinji Ito , Akiko Takeda

Forecasting multivariate time series data, such as prediction of electricity consumption, solar power production, and polyphonic piano pieces, has numerous valuable applications. However, complex and non-linear interdependencies between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shun-Yao Shih , Fan-Keng Sun , Hung-yi Lee

It has previously been shown that ordinary least squares can be used to estimate the coefficients of the single-index model under only mild conditions. However, the estimator is non-robust leading to poor estimates for some models. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Marina Masioti , Joshua Davies , Amanda Shaker , Luke A. Prendergast

Statistical static timing analysis deals with the increasing variations in manufacturing processes to reduce the pessimism in the worst case timing analysis. Because of the correlation between delays of circuit components, timing model…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Bing Li , Ning Chen , Manuel Schmidt , Walter Schneider , Ulf Schlichtmann

A new type of nonstationary Gaussian process model is developed for approximating computationally expensive functions. The new model is a composite of two Gaussian processes, where the first one captures the smooth global trend and the…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-14 Shan Ba , V. Roshan Joseph

We present a new Bayesian approach to model-robust linear regression that leads to uncertainty estimates with the same robustness properties as the Huber--White sandwich estimator. The sandwich estimator is known to provide asymptotically…

Applications · Statistics 2011-01-10 Adam A. Szpiro , Kenneth M. Rice , Thomas Lumley

Regression with compositional response or covariates, or even regression between parts of a composition, is frequently employed in social sciences. Among other possible applications, it may help to reveal interesting features in time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Ivo Muller , Karel Hron , Eva Fiserova , Jan Smahaj , Panajotis Cakirpaloglu , Jana Vancakova

Modern technologies are producing datasets with complex intrinsic structures, and they can be naturally represented as matrices instead of vectors. To preserve the latent data structures during processing, modern regression approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-16 Hang Zhang , Fengyuan Zhu , Shixin Li

In this paper we survey the most recent advances in supervised machine learning and high-dimensional models for time series forecasting. We consider both linear and nonlinear alternatives. Among the linear methods we pay special attention…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-12 Ricardo P. Masini , Marcelo C. Medeiros , Eduardo F. Mendes

Conformal prediction constructs a confidence set for an unobserved response of a feature vector based on previous identically distributed and exchangeable observations of responses and features. It has a coverage guarantee at any nominal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

Every observation may follow a distribution that is randomly selected in a class of distributions. It is called the distribution uncertainty. This is a fact acknowledged in some research fields such as financial risk measure. Thus, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 Lu Lin , Ping Dong , Yunquan Song , Lixing Zhu

Spatial prediction refers to the estimation of unobserved values from spatially distributed observations. Although recent advances have improved the capacity to model diverse observation types, adoption in practice remains limited in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-10 Yuta Shikuri , Hironori Fujisawa

Time series analysis is the process of building a model using statistical techniques to represent characteristics of time series data. Processing and forecasting huge time series data is a challenging task. This paper presents Approximation…

Multivariate time series classification is a task with increasing importance due to the proliferation of new problems in various fields (economy, health, energy, transport, crops, etc.) where a large number of information sources are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Francisco J. Baldán , José M. Benítez

With the advancement of GPS and remote sensing technologies, large amounts of geospatial and spatiotemporal data are being collected from various domains, driving the need for effective and efficient prediction methods. Given spatial data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Zhe Jiang

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. The standard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-18 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman
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