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We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-20 Liusha Yang , Romain Couillet , Matthew R. McKay

We consider reinforcement learning with performance evaluated by a dynamic risk measure. We construct a projected risk-averse dynamic programming equation and study its properties. Then we propose risk-averse counterparts of the methods of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Umit Kose , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Obtaining reliable estimates of conditional covariance matrices is an important task of heteroskedastic multivariate time series. In portfolio optimization and financial risk management, it is crucial to provide measures of uncertainty and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-19 Davide Ravagli , Georgi N. Boshnakov

We derive a consistent differential representation for the dynamics of a self-financing portfolio for different hedging strategies. In the basis of the derivation there is the so called "retarded action principle", which represents the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-23 Dmitry Lesnik

We study continuous-time mean--variance portfolio selection in markets where stock prices are diffusion processes driven by observable factors that are also diffusion processes, yet the coefficients of these processes are unknown. Based on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Yilie Huang , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

We introduce predictable relative forward performance processes (PRFPP) as a new framework for studying portfolio management within a competitive and incomplete market environment. Each agent trades a distinct stock following a binomial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-08 Gechun Liang , Moris S. Strub , Yuwei Wang

In reinforcement learning, robust policies for high-stakes decision-making problems with limited data are usually computed by optimizing the percentile criterion, which minimizes the probability of a catastrophic failure. Unfortunately,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Elita A. Lobo , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Marek Petrik

In this paper, we search for optimal portfolio strategies in the presence of various risk measure that are common in financial applications. Particularly, we deal with the static optimization problem with respect to Value at Risk, Expected…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-23 Alev Meral

Managing a portfolio to a risk model can tilt the portfolio toward weaknesses of the model. As a result, the optimized portfolio acquires downside exposure to uncertainty in the model itself, what we call "second order risk." We propose a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-08-19 Peter G. Shepard

We develop an averaging approach to robust risk measurement under payoff uncertainty. Instead of taking a worst-case value over an uncertainty neighborhood, we weight nearby payoffs more heavily under a chosen metric and average the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-26 Marcelo Righi , Rodrigo Targino

We investigate the concept of network momentum, a novel trading signal derived from momentum spillover across assets. Initially observed within the confines of pairwise economic and fundamental ties, such as the stock-bond connection of the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-25 Xingyue Pu , Stephen Roberts , Xiaowen Dong , Stefan Zohren

Traditional portfolio management methods can incorporate specific investor preferences but rely on accurate forecasts of asset returns and covariances. Reinforcement learning (RL) methods do not rely on these explicit forecasts and are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-23 Ruan Pretorius , Terence van Zyl

Considering non-stationary environments in online optimization enables decision-maker to effectively adapt to changes and improve its performance over time. In such cases, it is favorable to adopt a strategy that minimizes the negative…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-05 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Xinlei Yi , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson , Sandra Hirche

In this paper, we investigate the features and the performance of the Risk Parity (RP) portfolios using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) as a risk measure. The RP model is a recent strategy for asset allocation that aims at equally sharing…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-19 Çağın Ararat , Francesco Cesarone , Mustafa Çelebi Pınar , Jacopo Maria Ricci

Policy gradient methods, which have been extensively studied in the last decade, offer an effective and efficient framework for reinforcement learning problems. However, their performances can often be unsatisfactory, suffering from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Shihab Ahmed , El Houcine Bergou , Aritra Dutta , Yue Wang

We study the problem of active portfolio management where an investor aims to outperform a benchmark strategy's risk profile while not deviating too far from it. Specifically, an investor considers alternative strategies whose terminal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Silvana Pesenti , Sebastian Jaimungal

A fractal approach to the long-short portfolio optimization is proposed. The algorithmic system based on the composition of market-neutral spreads into a single entity was considered. The core of the optimization scheme is a fractal walk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-20 Sergey Kamenshchikov , Ilia Drozdov

This paper studies the continuous time mean-variance portfolio selection problem with one kind of non-linear wealth dynamics. To deal the expectation constraint, an auxiliary stochastic control problem is firstly solved by two new…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Shaolin Ji , Hanqing Jin , Xiaomin Shi

This paper addresses allocation methodologies for a risk measure inherited from ruin theory. Specifically, we consider a dynamic value-at-risk (VaR) measure defined as the smallest initial capital needed to ensure that the ultimate ruin…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij , Erik Winands
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