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In this paper, we introduce a variant of hidden Markov models in which the transition probabilities between the states, as well as the emission distributions, are not constant in time but vary in a periodic manner. This class of models,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-23 Augustin Touron

State Space Models (SSMs) and Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) are foundational frameworks for modeling sequential data with latent variables and are widely used in signal processing, control theory, and machine learning. Despite their shared…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Aydin Ghojogh , M. Hadi Sepanj , Benyamin Ghojogh

Hidden Markov Model (HMM) is often regarded as the dynamical model of choice in many fields and applications. It is also at the heart of most state-of-the-art speech recognition systems since the 70's. However, from Gaussian mixture models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-07-04 Sébastien Gagnon , Jean Rouat

This paper introduces time-continuous numerical schemes to simulate stochastic differential equations (SDEs) arising in mathematical finance, population dynamics, chemical kinetics, epidemiology, biophysics, and polymeric fluids. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Time bounded reachability is a fundamental problem in model checking continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) and Markov decision processes (CTMDPs) for specifications in continuous stochastic logics. It can be computed by numerically solving…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-07 Mahmoud Salamati , Sadegh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar

We introduce a general class of distances (metrics) between Markov chains, which are based on linear behaviour. This class encompasses distances given topologically (such as the total variation distance or trace distance) as well as by…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-27 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are probabilistic functions of finite Markov chains, or, put in other words, state space models with finite state space. In this paper, we examine subspace estimation methods for HMMs whose output lies a finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Sofia Andersson , Tobias Rydén

In this article we propose a Weighted Stochastic Mesh (WSM) Algorithm for approximating the value of a discrete and continuous time optimal stopping problem. We prove that in the discrete case the WSM algorithm leads to semi-tractability of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-25 D. Belomestny , M. Kaledin , J. Schoenmakers

We develop a stochastic approximation-type algorithm to solve finite state/action, infinite-horizon, risk-aware Markov decision processes. Our algorithm has two loops. The inner loop computes the risk by solving a stochastic saddle-point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Wenjie Huang , William B. Haskell

Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are a class of stochastic processes with applications in several fields of applied mathematics spanning from mathematical modeling of physical phenomena to computational methods. A PDMP is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-30 Andrea Bertazzi , Joris Bierkens , Paul Dobson

Accurate approximation of probability measures is essential in numerical applications. This paper explores the quantization of probability measures using the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) distance as a guiding metric. We first investigate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Zahra Mehraban , Alois Pichler

We study computational and statistical aspects of learning Latent Markov Decision Processes (LMDPs). In this model, the learner interacts with an MDP drawn at the beginning of each epoch from an unknown mixture of MDPs. To sidestep known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Fan Chen , Constantinos Daskalakis , Noah Golowich , Alexander Rakhlin

The challenging problem of conducting fully Bayesian inference for the reaction rate constants governing stochastic kinetic models (SKMs) is considered. Given the challenges underlying this problem, the Markov jump process representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Andrew Golightly , Emma Bradley , Tom Lowe , Colin S. Gillespie

We consider the problem of finding a control policy for a Markov Decision Process (MDP) to maximize the probability of reaching some states while avoiding some other states. This problem is motivated by applications in robotics, where such…

In this article we prove the existence of a stochastic optimal transference plan for a stochastic Monge-Kantorovich problem by measurable selection theorem. A stochastic version of Kantorovich duality and the characterization of stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-12 Xicheng Zhang

We introduce a new class of algorithms, Stochastic Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM), for estimation and inference on (overidentified) moment restriction models. Our SGMM is a novel stochastic approximation alternative to the popular…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Xiaohong Chen , Sokbae Lee , Yuan Liao , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin , Myunghyun Song

In this paper, we establish non-asymptotic bounds for accuracy of normal approximation for linear two-timescale stochastic approximation (TTSA) algorithms driven by martingale difference or Markov noise. Focusing on both the last iterate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-10 Bogdan Butyrin , Artemy Rubtsov , Alexey Naumov , Vladimir Ulyanov , Sergey Samsonov

We revisit extending the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance between probability distributions to the multidimensional setting and make new arguments about the proper way to approach this generalization. Our proposed formulation maximizes the…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-16 Peter Matthew Jacobs , Foad Namjoo , Jeff M. Phillips

The fixed-horizon constrained Markov Decision Process (C-MDP) is a well-known model for planning in stochastic environments under operating constraints. Chance-Constrained MDP (CC-MDP) is a variant that allows bounding the probability of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Majid Khonji

Stochastic version of alternating direction method of multiplier (ADMM) and its variants (linearized ADMM, gradient-based ADMM) plays a key role for modern large scale machine learning problems. One example is the regularized empirical risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Xiang Zhou , Huizhuo Yuan , Chris Junchi Li , Qingyun Sun