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This paper shows how to recover a stochastic volatility model (SVM) from a market model of the VIX futures term structure. Market models have more flexibility for fitting of curves than do SVMs, and therefore are better suited for pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-16 Andrew Papanicolaou

We examine how the most prevalent stochastic properties of key financial time series have been affected during the recent financial crises. In particular we focus on changes associated with the remarkable economic events of the last two…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-28 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Faek Menla Ali , Michail Karoglou , Stavroula Yfanti

In this study, we constructed daily high-frequency sentiment data and used the VAR method to attempt to predict the next day's implied volatility surface. We utilized 630,000 text data entries from the East Money Stock Forum from 2014 to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Jiahao Weng , Yan Xie

This paper discusses a novel explanation for asymmetric volatility based on the anchoring behavioral pattern. Anchoring as a heuristic bias causes investors focusing on recent price changes and price levels, which two lead to a belief in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-14 Mihaly Ormos , Dusan Timotity

We develop a method to study the implied volatility for exotic options and volatility derivatives with European payoffs such as VIX options. Our approach, based on Malliavin calculus techniques, allows us to describe the properties of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-13 Elisa Alòs , David García-Lorite , Aitor Muguruza

We consider the joint SPX-VIX calibration within a general class of Gaussian polynomial volatility models in which the volatility of the SPX is assumed to be a polynomial function of a Gaussian Volterra process defined as a stochastic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-17 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Camille Illand , Shaun , Li

The implied volatility surface (IVS) is a fundamental building block in computational finance. We provide a survey of methodologies for constructing such surfaces. We also discuss various topics which can influence the successful…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-07-12 Cristian Homescu

Volatility in stock markets has been extensively studied in the applied finance literature. In this paper, Artificial Neural Network models based on various back propagation algorithms have been constructed to predict volatility in the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-19 Tamal Datta Chaudhuri , Indranil Ghosh

This paper revisits the fractional cointegrating relationship between ex-ante implied volatility and ex-post realized volatility. We argue that the concept of corridor implied volatility (CIV) should be used instead of the popular…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-15 Jozef Barunik , Michaela Barunikova

In this paper, we present a method for constructing a (static) portfolio of co-maturing European options whose price sign is determined by the skewness level of the associated implied volatility. This property holds regardless of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Sergey Nadtochiy , Jan Obloj

We investigate the data-driven discovery of parametric representations for implied volatility slices. Using symbolic regression, we search for simple analytic formulas that approximate the total implied variance as a function of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Martin Keller-Ressel , Hannes Nikulski

This study utilised the dynamics of five time-varying models to estimate six essential features of financial return volatility that are relevant for robust risk management. These features include pronounced persistence, mean reversion,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-05 Richard T. A. Samuel , Charles Chimedza , Caston Sigauke

First, we show that implied normal volatility is intimately linked with the incomplete Gamma function. Then, we deduce an expansion on implied normal volatility in terms of the time-value of a European call option. Then, we formulate an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-09 Cyril Grunspan

Implied volatilities form a well-known structure of smile or surface which accommodates the Bachelier model and observed market prices of interest rate options. For the swaptions that we study, three parameters are taken into account for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-04 Jinglun Yao , Sabine Laurent , Brice Bénaben

Missing data is a common problem in finance and often requires methods to fill in the gaps, or in other words, imputation. In this work, we focused on the imputation of missing implied volatilities for FX options. Prior work has used…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Achintya Gopal

This article explores the relationship between the SPX and VIX options markets. High-strike VIX call options are used to hedge tail risk in the SPX, which means that SPX options are a reflection of the extreme-strike asymptotics of VIX…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-04 Andrew Papanicolaou

This paper studies the joint role of long-memory dynamics,rough-volatility behavior, and persistence-based forecasting features in equity volatility modeling. We combine semiparametric long-memory estimation, rough-volatility diagnostics,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Akash Deep , Nicholas Appiah , Svetlozar T. Rachev

In this paper, we price European Call three different option pricing models, where the volatility is dynamically changing i.e. non constant. In stochastic volatility (SV) models for option pricing a closed form approximation technique is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Natasha Latif , Shafqat Ali Shad , Muhammad Usman , Chandan Kumar , Bahman B Motii , MD Mahfuzer Rahman , Khuram Shafi , Zahra Idrees

Using high frequency data, we have studied empirically the change of volatility, also called volatility derivative, for various time horizons. In particular, the correlation between the volatility derivative and the volatility realized in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Gilles Zumbach , Paul Lynch

We present small-time implied volatility asymptotics for Realised Variance (RV) and VIX options for a number of (rough) stochastic volatility models via large deviations principle. We provide numerical results along with efficient and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-03 Chloe Lacombe , Aitor Muguruza , Henry Stone