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The principle of smooth fit is probably the most used tool to find solutions to optimal stopping problems of one-dimensional diffusions. It is important, e.g., in financial mathematical applications to understand in which kind of models and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Paavo Salminen , Bao Quoc Ta

This paper addresses the computational challenges in reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) of structures associated with the estimation of statistics of the objective and constraints using standard sampling methods, and overcomes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Subhayan De , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

In this paper, we study a multidimensional backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) with an additional rough drift (rough BSDE), and give the existence and uniqueness of the adapted solution, either when the terminal value and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 Jiahao Liang , Shanjian Tang

Understanding transition pathways between two meta-stable states of a molecular system is crucial to advance drug discovery and material design. However, unbiased molecular dynamics (MD) simulations are computationally infeasible because of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Kiyoung Seong , Seonghyun Park , Seonghwan Kim , Woo Youn Kim , Sungsoo Ahn

In this paper we study the randomized heat equation with homogeneous boundary conditions. The diffusion coeffcient is assumed to be a random variable and the initial condition is treated as a stochastic process. The solution of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-13 J. Calatayud , J. -C. Cortes , M. Jornet

Three algorithms are developed for uncertainty quantification in modeling coupled Stokes and Darcy flows. The porous media may consist of multiple regions with different properties. The permeability is modeled as a non-stationary stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Ilona Ambartsumyan , Eldar Khattatov , ChangQing Wang , Ivan Yotov

Path reweighting is a principally exact method to estimate dynamic properties from biased simulations - provided that the path probability ratio matches the stochastic integrator used in the simulation. Previously reported path probability…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-03-02 Stefanie Kieninger , Bettina G. Keller

A statistic based on increment ratios (IR) and related to zero crossings of increment sequence is defined and studied for measuring the roughness of random paths. The main advantages of this statistic are robustness to smooth additive and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Jean-Marc Bardet , Donatas Surgailis

We study controlled differential equations driven by a rough path (in the sense of T. Lyons) with an additional, possibly unbounded drift term. We show that the equation induces a solution flow if the drift grows at most linearly.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-19 Sebastian Riedel , Michael Scheutzow

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

An assumption of smooth response to small parameter changes, of statistics or long-time averages of a chaotic system, is generally made in the field of sensitivity analysis, and the parametric derivatives of statistical quantities are…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-22 Adam A. Sliwiak , Nisha Chandramoorthy , Qiqi Wang

We introduce DeepFHT, a survival-analysis framework that couples deep neural networks with first hitting time (FHT) distributions from stochastic process theory. Time to event is represented as the first passage of a latent diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Alessio Cristofoletto , Cesare Rollo , Giovanni Birolo , Piero Fariselli

Let $X$ be a regular linear diffusion whose state space is an open interval $E\subseteq\mathbb{R}$. We consider a diffusion $X^*$ which probability law is obtained as a Doob $h$-transform of the law of $X$, where $h$ is a positive harmonic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-14 L. Alili , P. Graczyk , T. Zak

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou

Stochastic simulators are an indispensable tool in many branches of science. Often based on first principles, they deliver a series of samples whose distribution implicitly defines a probability measure to describe the phenomena of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-19 Chris Pollard , Philipp Windischhofer

Consider an It\^{o} process $X$ satisfying the stochastic differential equation $dX=a(X)\,dt+b(X)\,dW$ where $a,b$ are smooth and $W$ is a multidimensional Brownian motion. Suppose that $W_n$ has smooth sample paths and that $W_n$ converges…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-02-10 David Kelly , Ian Melbourne

A stochastic wavevector approach is formulated to accurately represent compressible turbulence subject to rapid deformations. This approach is inspired by the incompressible particle representation model of Kassinos (1995) and preserves the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-30 Noah Zambrano , Karthik Duraisamy

We present a new version of the stochastic sewing lemma, capable of handling multiple discontinuous control functions. This is then used to develop a theory of rough stochastic analysis in a c\`adl\`ag setting. In particular, we define…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Andrew L. Allan , Jost Pieper

We often rely on probabilistic measures -- e.g. event probability or expected time -- to characterize systems' safety. However, determining these quantities for extremely low-probability events is generally challenging, as standard safety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Aitor R. Gomez , Manuela L. Bujorianu , Rafal Wisniewski

In offline reinforcement learning (RL), the absence of active exploration calls for attention on the model robustness to tackle the sim-to-real gap, where the discrepancy between the simulated and deployed environments can significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 He Wang , Laixi Shi , Yuejie Chi