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We develop new methods to integrate experimental and observational data in causal inference. While randomized controlled trials offer strong internal validity, they are often costly and therefore limited in sample size. Observational data,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Xuelin Yang , Licong Lin , Susan Athey , Michael I. Jordan , Guido W. Imbens

Functional time series have become an integral part of both functional data and time series analysis. Important contributions to methodology, theory and application for the prediction of future trajectories and the estimation of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-04 Alexander Aue , Johannes Klepsch

We propose an extension to time series with several simultaneously measured variables of the nonlinearity test, which combines the redundancy -- linear redundancy approach with the surrogate data technique. For several variables various…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-28 Milan Paluš

We introduce two types of ordinal pattern dependence between time series. Positive (resp. negative) ordinal pattern dependence can be seen as a non-paramatric and in particular non-linear counterpart to positive (resp. negative)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-26 Alexander Schnurr

Given a pair of multivariate time-series data of the same length and dimensions, an approach is proposed to select variables and time intervals where the two series are significantly different. In applications where one time series is an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Kensuke Mitsuzawa , Margherita Grossi , Stefano Bortoli , Motonobu Kanagawa

We propose a method for inferring the conditional independence graph (CIG) of a high-dimensional Gaussian vector time series (discrete-time process) from a finite-length observation. By contrast to existing approaches, we do not rely on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-28 Alexander Jung

We develop a new statistical procedure to test whether the dependence structure is identical between two groups. Rather than relying on a single index such as Pearson's correlation coefficient or Kendall's Tau, we consider the entire…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-11-07 Juwon Seo

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

We study the problem of coincidence detection in time series data, where we aim to determine whether the appearance of simultaneous or near-simultaneous events in two time series is indicative of some shared underlying signal or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ruiting Liang , Samuel Dyson , Rina Foygel Barber , Daniel E. Holz

The continued digitization of societal processes translates into a proliferation of time series data that cover applications such as fraud detection, intrusion detection, and energy management, where anomaly detection is often essential to…

The paper introduces robust independence tests with non-asymptotically guaranteed significance levels for stochastic linear time-invariant systems, assuming that the observed outputs are synchronous, which means that the systems are driven…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-07 Ambrus Tamás , Dániel Ágoston Bálint , Balázs Csanád Csáji

In this article, we introduce the mean independent component analysis for multivariate time series to reduce the parameter space. In particular, we seek for a contemporaneous linear transformation that detects univariate mean independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Chung Eun Lee , Zeda Li

We describe two families of statistical tests to detect partial correlation in vectorial timeseries. The tests measure whether an observed timeseries Y can be predicted from a second series X, even after accounting for a third series Z…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Kenneth D. Harris , Alex E. Yuan

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

The goal of this paper is to develop a measure for characterizing complex dependence between stationary time series that cannot be captured by traditional measures such as correlation and coherence. Our approach is to use copula models of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Charles Fontaine , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

In this paper we propose several variants to perform the independence test between two random elements based on recurrence rates. We will show how to calculate the test statistic in each one of these cases. From simulations we obtain that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-21 Juan Kalemkerian , Diego Fernández

We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

A statistical hypothesis test for long range dependence (LRD) in functional time series in manifolds has been formulated in Ruiz-Medina and Crujeiras (2025) in the spectral domain for fully observed functional data. The asymptotic Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 M. D. Ruiz-Medina , R. M. Crujeiras

We explore fairness from a statistical perspective by selectively utilizing either conditional distance covariance or distance covariance statistics as measures to assess the independence between predictions and sensitive attributes. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Ruifan Huang , Haixia Liu

For the challenging task of modeling multivariate time series, we propose a new class of models that use dependent Mat\'ern processes to capture the underlying structure of data, explain their interdependencies, and predict their unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-13 Alexander Vandenberg-Rodes , Babak Shahbaba