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An implementation of the Reverse Monte Carlo algorithm is presented for the study of amorphous tetrahedral semiconductors. By taking into account a number of constraints that describe the tetrahedral bonding geometry along with the radial…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Parthapratim Biswas , Raymond Atta-Fynn , D. A. Drabold

This work proposes an adaptive sequential Monte Carlo sampling algorithm to solve Bayesian inverse problems in scenarios where likelihood evaluations are costly but can be approximated using a surrogate model built from previous evaluations…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-26 Frederic Cerou , Patrick Heas , Mathias Rousset

Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes often introduce bias in the final result, due to time discretization. Using an auxiliary Poisson process, it is possible to run simulations which are unbiased. In this article, we propose such…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Louis Paulot

The trace of a matrix function f(A), most notably of the matrix inverse, can be estimated stochastically using samples< x,f(A)x> if the components of the random vectors x obey an appropriate probability distribution. However such a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-26 Andreas Frommer , Mostafa Nasr Khalil , Gustavo Ramirez-Hidalgo

We introduce Ensemble Rejection Sampling, a scheme for exact simulation from the posterior distribution of the latent states of a class of non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. Ensemble Rejection Sampling relies on a proposal for the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-28 George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Sylvain Rubenthaler

Rejection sampling is a common tool for low dimensional problems ($d \leq 2$), often touted as an "easy" way to obtain valid samples from a distribution $f(\cdot)$ of interest. In practice it is non-trivial to apply, often requiring…

Computation · Statistics 2023-10-03 Edward Raff , Mark McLean , James Holt

This paper proposes a new Sequential Monte Carlo algorithm to perform online estimation in the context of state space models when either the transition density of the latent state or the conditional likelihood of an observation given a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-10 Alice Martin , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff , Jimmy Olsson

Partial Rejection Sampling is an algorithmic approach to obtaining a perfect sample from a specified distribution. The objects to be sampled are assumed to be represented by a number of random variables. In contrast to classical rejection…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Mark Jerrum

Many problems in financial engineering involve the estimation of unknown conditional expectations across a time interval. Often Least Squares Monte Carlo techniques are used for the estimation. One method that can be combined with Least…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-04 Eric Beutner , Janina Schweizer , Antoon Pelsser

For many stochastic models of interest in systems biology, such as those describing biochemical reaction networks, exact quantification of parameter uncertainty through statistical inference is intractable. Likelihood-free computational…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-10 David J. Warne , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Rejection sampling is a technique for sampling from difficult distributions. However, its use is limited due to a high rejection rate. Common adaptive rejection sampling methods either work only for very specific distributions or without…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Akram Erraqabi , Michal Valko , Alexandra Carpentier , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

Importance sampling Monte-Carlo methods are widely used for the approximation of expectations with respect to partially known probability measures. In this paper we study a deterministic version of such an estimator based on quasi-Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2024-12-20 Josef Dick , Daniel Rudolf , Houying Zhu

We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-07 Halis Sak , İsmail Başoğlu

Acceptance-rejection (AR), Independent Metropolis Hastings (IMH) or importance sampling (IS) Monte Carlo (MC) simulation algorithms all involve computing ratios of probability density functions (pdfs). On the other hand, classifiers…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-11 Elouan Argouarc'h , François Desbouvries

We study numerical integration over bounded regions in $\mathbb{R}^s, s\ge1$ with respect to some probability measure. We replace random sampling with quasi-Monte Carlo methods, where the underlying point set is derived from deterministic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-01 Tiangang Cui , Josef Dick , Friedrich Pillichshammer

We present a novel, generally applicable Monte Carlo algorithm for the simulation of fluid systems. Geometric transformations are used to identify clusters of particles in such a manner that every cluster move is accepted, irrespective of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Jiwen Liu , Erik Luijten

Due to the complexity of order statistics, the finite sample behaviour of robust statistics is generally not analytically solvable. While the Monte Carlo method can provide approximate solutions, its convergence rate is typically very slow,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Li Tuobang

The efficiency of Monte Carlo samplers is dictated not only by energetic effects, such as large barriers, but also by entropic effects that are due to the sheer volume that is sampled. The latter effects appear in the form of an entropic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Cristian Predescu

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

Model uncertainty sets are required in many robust optimization problems, such as robust control and prediction with uncertainty, but there is no definite methodology to generate uncertainty sets for nonlinear dynamical systems. In this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Anand Srinivasan , Naoya Takeishi