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In this paper, we provide theoretical and empirical estimates for the likelihood of a negative participation paradox under instant runoff voting in three-candidate elections. We determine the probability of the paradox and related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-24 David McCune , Jennifer Wilson

The primary objective of this paper is to revisit Simpson's paradox using a statistical misspecification perspective. It is argued that the reversal of statistical associations is sometimes spurious, stemming from invalid probabilistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Aris Spanos

Winners-take-all situations introduce an incentive for agents to diversify their behavior, since doing so will result in splitting an eventual price with fewer people. At the same time, when the payoff of a process depends on a parameter…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Abel Molina

We analyse the strategy equilibrium of dilemma games considering a payoff matrix affected by small and random perturbations on the off-diagonal. Notably, a recent work [1] reported that, while cooperation is sustained by perturbations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-01 Marco A. Amaral , Marco A. Javarone

Stochastic dominance is a crucial tool for the analysis of choice under risk. It is typically analyzed as a property of two gambles that are taken in isolation. We study how additional independent sources of risk (e.g. uninsurable labor…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-14 Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

A key challenge in causal inference from observational studies is the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach for causal inference that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-17 Ying Zhou , Dingke Tang , Dehan Kong , Linbo Wang

In this note our aim is to show a paradox in the spectral representation of stationary random processes.

Other Statistics · Statistics 2024-11-27 Mohammad Mohammadi , Adel Mohammadpour , Afshin Parvardeh

Cooperators that refuse to participate in sanctioning defectors create the second-order free-rider problem. Such cooperators will not be punished because they contribute to the public good, but they also eschew the costs associated with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-08-11 Xiaojie Chen , Attila Szolnoki , Matjaz Perc

We prove that every Condorcet-consistent voting rule can be manipulated by a voter who completely reverses their preference ranking, assuming that there are at least 4 alternatives. This corrects an error and improves a result of [Sanver,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Dominik Peters

Arrow's Impossibility Theorem is a seminal result of Social Choice Theory that demonstrates the impossibility of ranked-choice decision-making processes to jointly satisfy a number of intuitive and seemingly desirable constraints. The…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-07 Ori Livson , Mikhail Prokopenko

We introduce and analyze a variation of the Bertrand game in which the revenue is shared between two players. This game models situations in which one economic agent can provide goods/services to consumers either directly or through an…

In frequently repeated matching scenarios, individuals may require diversification in their choices. Therefore, when faced with a set of potential outcomes, each individual may have an ideal lottery over outcomes that represents their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Rasoul Ramezanian

Fairness in multiwinner elections is studied in varying contexts. For instance, diversity of candidates and representation of voters are both separately termed as being fair. A common denominator to ensure fairness across all such contexts…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Kunal Relia

It is shown that an equiprobability hypothesis leads to a scenario in which it is possible to predict the outcome of a single toss of a fair coin with a success probability greater than 50%. We discuss whether this hypothesis might be…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-10-04 James Stein , Leonard M. Wapner

We study a random game in which two players in turn play a fixed number of moves. For each move, there are two possible choices. To each possible outcome of the game we assign a winner in an i.i.d. fashion with a fixed parameter p. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Anja Sturm , Jan M. Swart

The case that the factor model does not account for all the covariances of the observed variables is considered. This is a quite realistic condition because some model error as well as some sampling error should usually occur with empirical…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-18 Andre Beauducel

After pointing out the historical avatar at the origin of a would be twin or clock paradox, we argue that, at least on a local scale, the (re-qualified) paradox is but a necessary consequence of the sole principle of causality.

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 T. Grandou , J. L. Rubin

According to the public goods game (PGG) protocol, participants decide freely whether they want to contribute to a common pool or not, but the resulting benefit is distributed equally. A conceptually similar dilemma situation may emerge…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-26 Chaoqian Wang , Attila Szolnoki

Pavlov, a well-known strategy in game theory, has been shown to have some advantages in the Iterated Prisoner's Dilemma (IPD) game. However, this strategy can be exploited by inveterate defectors. We modify this strategy to mitigate the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-02-21 Martin Dyer , Velumailum Mohanaraj

In a vintage paper concerning Parsimonious games, a subset of constant sum homogeneous weighted majority games, Isbell introduced a twin relationship based on transposition properties of the incidence matrices upon minimal winning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Flavio Pressacco , Giacomo Plazzotta , Laura Ziani
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