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We are concerned with the numerical resolution of backward stochastic differential equations. We propose a new numerical scheme based on iterative regressions on function bases, which coefficients are evaluated using Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Emmanuel Gobet , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Xavier Warin

Estimating the trace of the inverse of a large matrix is an important problem in lattice quantum chromodynamics. A multilevel Monte Carlo method is proposed for this problem that uses different degree polynomials for the levels. The…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-06-19 Paul Lashomb , Ronald B. Morgan , Travis Whyte , Walter Wilcox

Many problems require to approximate an expected value by some kind of Monte Carlo (MC) sampling, e.g. molecular dynamics (MD) or simulation of stochastic reaction models (also termed kinetic Monte Carlo (kMC)). Often, we are furthermore…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-18 Sandra Döpking , Sebastian Matera

We show how to extend a recently proposed multi-level Monte Carlo approach to the continuous time Markov chain setting, thereby greatly lowering the computational complexity needed to compute expected values of functions of the state of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-23 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

This paper concerns the numerical approximation for the invariant distribution of Markovian switching L\'evy-driven stochastic differential equations. By combining the tamed-adaptive Euler-Maruyama scheme with the Multi-level Monte Carlo…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Hoang-Viet Nguyen , Trung-Thuy Kieu , Duc-Trong Luong , Hoang-Long Ngo , Tran Ngoc Khue

Monte Carlo simulation is often used for the reliability assessment of power systems, but it converges slowly when the system is complex. Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) can be applied to speed up computation without compromises on model…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-12 Ensieh Sharifnia , Simon Tindemans

The accuracy of least squares calibration using option premiums and particle filtering of price data to find model parameters is determined. Derivative models using exponential L\'evy processes are calibrated using regularized weighted…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-16 Stavros J. Sioutis

In Variational Inference (VI), coordinate-ascent and gradient-based approaches are two major types of algorithms for approximating difficult-to-compute probability densities. In real-world implementations of complex models, Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-18 Lifeng Ye , Alexandros Beskos , Maria De Iorio , Jie Hao

While generally considered computationally expensive, Uncertainty Quantification using Monte Carlo sampling remains beneficial for applications with uncertainties of high dimension. As an extension of the naive Monte Carlo method, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Robert Hahn , Sebastian Schöps

In the stochastic gradient descent (SGD) for sequential simulations such as the neural stochastic differential equations, the Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is known to offer better theoretical computational complexity compared to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Kei Ishikawa

We introduce forward-backward stochastic differential equations, highlighting the connection between solutions of these and solutions of partial differential equations, related by the Feynman-Kac theorem. We review the technique of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Oliver Sheridan-Methven

Multilevel Splitting is a Sequential Monte Carlo method to simulate realisations of a rare event as well as to estimate its probability. This article is concerned with the convergence and the fluctuation analysis of Adaptive Multilevel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Frederic Cerou , Arnaud Guyader

Multivariate normal (MVN) probabilities arise in myriad applications, but they are analytically intractable and need to be evaluated via Monte-Carlo-based numerical integration. For the state-of-the-art minimax exponential tilting (MET)…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-28 Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

There are no known exact formulas for the valuation of a number of exotic options, and this is particularly true for options under discrete monitoring and for American style options. Therefore, one usually recourses to a Monte Carlo…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 JC Ndogmo

We propose a method for pricing American options whose pay-off depends on the moving average of the underlying asset price. The method uses a finite dimensional approximation of the infinite-dimensional dynamics of the moving average…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-17 Marie Bernhart , Peter Tankov , Xavier Warin

An American option grants the holder the right to select the time at which to exercise the option, so pricing an American option entails solving an optimal stopping problem. Difficulties in applying standard numerical methods to complex…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Paul Glasserman , Bin Yu

Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) is a popular Bayesian sampling method. For the log-concave distribution function, the method converges exponentially fast, up to a controllable discretization error. However, the method requires the evaluation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-07 Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li

For a converging sequence of exponential L\'evy models, we give conditions under which the associated sequence of option prices converges. We also study the behaviour of the prices when no such convergence holds. We then consider two…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-20 S. Cawston , L. Vostrikova

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for the uncertainty quantification of variably saturated porous media flow that are modeled using the Richards' equation. We propose a stochastic extension for the empirical models that are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Prashant Kumar , Carmen Rodrigo , Francisco J. Gaspar , Cornelis W. Oosterlee