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Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

Volatility, as a primary indicator of financial risk, forms the foundation of classical frameworks such as Markowitz's Portfolio Theory and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). However, its conventional use rests on assumptions-most…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini , Massimiliano Frezza , Augusto Pianese

The lifted Heston model is a stochastic volatility model emerging as a Markovian lift of the rough Heston model and the class of rough volatility processes. The model encodes the path dependency of volatility on a set of N square-root state…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Nicola F. Zaugg , Lech A. Grzelak

Jump stochastic volatility models are central to financial econometrics for volatility forecasting, portfolio risk management, and derivatives pricing. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are computationally unfeasible for the…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-01 Eric Jacquier , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

This paper investigates the optimal management of an aggregated defined benefit pension plan in a stochastic environment. The interest rate follows the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model, the benefits follow the geometric Brownian motion while the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Guohui Guan , Zongxia Liang , Yi Xia

This paper examines a continuous time intertemporal consumption and portfolio choice problem with a stochastic differential utility preference of Epstein-Zin type for a robust investor, who worries about model misspecification and seeks…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Jiangyan Pu , Qi Zhang

We investigate how and when to diversify capital over assets, i.e., the portfolio selection problem, from a signal processing perspective. To this end, we first construct portfolios that achieve the optimal expected growth in i.i.d.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-18 Sait Tunc , Mehmet A. Donmez , Suleyman S. Kozat

The underlying market trends that drive stock price fluctuations are often referred to in terms of bull and bear markets. Optimal stock portfolio selection methods need to take into account these market trends; however, the bull and bear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-05 Reetam Majumder , Qing Ji , Nagaraj K. Neerchal

In this paper an arbitrage strategy is constructed for the modified Black-Scholes model driven by fractional Brownian motion or by a time changed fractional Brownian motion, when the volatility is stochastic. This latter property allows the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

In this paper we study the valuation problem of an insurance company by maximizing the expected discounted future dividend payments in a model with partial information that allows for a changing economic environment. The surplus process is…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-03 Michaela Szölgyenyi

We consider an investor who seeks to maximize her expected utility derived from her terminal wealth relative to the maximum performance achieved over a fixed time horizon, and under a portfolio drawdown constraint, in a market with local…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Ankush Agarwal , Ronnie Sircar

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey

In this paper, we employ the Heston stochastic volatility model to describe the stock's volatility and apply the model to derive and analyze the optimal trading strategies for dealers in a security market. We also extend our study to option…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-02 Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu , Qing-Qing Yang

We study finite horizon optimal switching problems for hidden Markov chain models under partially observable Poisson processes. The controller possesses a finite range of strategies and attempts to track the state of the unobserved state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Erhan Bayraktar , Mike Ludkovski

We study a portfolio selection problem in a continuous-time It\^o-Markov additive market with prices of financial assets described by Markov additive processes which combine L\'evy processes and regime switching models. Thus the model takes…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-12 Zbigniew Palmowski , Łukasz Stettner , Anna Sulima

We develop a framework for stochastic portfolio theory (SPT), which incorporates modern nonlinear price impact and impact decay models. Our main result is the derivation of the celebrated master formula for additive functional generation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-15 David Itkin

We present several models to describe the stochastic evolution of stocks that show some strong resistance at some level and generalize to this situation the evolution based upon geometric Brownian motion. If volatility and drift are related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Javier Villarroel

The Marketron model, introduced by [Halperin, Itkin, 2025], describes price formation in inelastic markets as the nonlinear diffusion of a quasiparticle (the marketron) in a multidimensional space comprising the log-price $x$, a memory…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Igor Halperin , Andrey Itkin

The Markowitz problem consists of finding in a financial market a self-financing trading strategy whose final wealth has maximal mean and minimal variance. We study this in continuous time in a general semimartingale model and under cone…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-04 Christoph Czichowsky , Martin Schweizer