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Validation is often defined as the process of determining the degree to which a model is an accurate representation of the real world from the perspective of its intended uses. Validation is crucial as industries and governments depend…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 D. Sornette , A. B. Davis , K. Ide , K. R. Vixie , V. Pisarenko , J. R. Kamm

We introduce density dependence of the cell size in cellular-automaton models for traffic flow, which allows a more precise correspondence between real-world phenomena and what observed in simulation. Also, we give an explicit calibration…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2015-05-18 Masahiro Kanai

Model-based approaches have become increasingly popular in the domain of automated driving. This includes runtime algorithms, such as Model Predictive Control, as well as formal and simulative approaches for the verification of automated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-12 Marcus Nolte , Richard Schubert , Cordula Reisch , Markus Maurer

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Dynamical systems that evolve continuously over time are ubiquitous throughout science and engineering. Machine learning (ML) provides data-driven approaches to model and predict the dynamics of such systems. A core issue with this approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Aditi S. Krishnapriyan , Alejandro F. Queiruga , N. Benjamin Erichson , Michael W. Mahoney

Bayesian calibration of black-box computer models offers an established framework to obtain a posterior distribution over model parameters. Traditional Bayesian calibration involves the emulation of the computer model and an additive model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-30 Sébastien Marmin , Maurizio Filippone

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Accurate vehicle localization is a crucial step towards building effective Vehicle-to-Vehicle networks and automotive applications. Yet standard grade GPS data, such as that provided by mobile phones, is often noisy and exhibits significant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Eli Brosh , Matan Friedmann , Ilan Kadar , Lev Yitzhak Lavy , Elad Levi , Shmuel Rippa , Yair Lempert , Bruno Fernandez-Ruiz , Roei Herzig , Trevor Darrell

Autonomous vehicles rely on accurate trajectory prediction to inform decision-making processes related to navigation and collision avoidance. However, current trajectory prediction models show signs of overfitting, which may lead to unsafe…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Jeroen Hagenus , Frederik Baymler Mathiesen , Julian F. Schumann , Arkady Zgonnikov

We provide a survey of recent results on model calibration by Optimal Transport. We present the general framework and then discuss the calibration of local, and local-stochastic, volatility models to European options, the joint VIX/SPX…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-06 Ivan Guo , Gregoire Loeper , Jan Obloj , Shiyi Wang

The selection of an appropriate control strategy is essential for ensuring safe operation in autonomous driving. While numerous control strategies have been developed for specific driving scenarios, a comprehensive comparative assessment of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-15 Antonio Artuñedo , Marcos Moreno-Gonzalez , Jorge Villagra

This study underscores the vital importance of intelligent driving functions in enhancing road safety and driving comfort. Central to our research is the challenge of obtaining sufficient test data for evaluating these functions, especially…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Nico Schick , Franjo Čičak

The quality and correct functioning of software components embedded in electronic systems are of utmost concern especially for safety and mission-critical systems. Model-based testing and formal verification techniques can be employed to…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Shahbaz Ali , Hailong Sun , Yongwang Zhao

In machine learning, model calibration and predictive inference are essential for producing reliable predictions and quantifying uncertainty to support decision-making. Recognizing the complementary roles of point and interval predictions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-01 Lars van der Laan , Ahmed M. Alaa

Safe mobility for unmanned ground vehicles requires reliable detection of other vehicles, along with precise estimates of their locations and trajectories. Here we describe the algorithms and system we have developed for accurate trajectory…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-09-26 Daniel Morris , Paul Haley , William Zachar , Steve McLean

This paper proposes a methodology to estimate uncertainty in automated vehicle (AV) dynamics in real time via Bayesian inference. Based on the estimated uncertainty, the method aims to continuously monitor the car-following (CF) performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-26 Wissam Kontar , Soyoung Ahn

This paper examines the optimal velocity follow-the-leader dynamics, a microscopic traffic model, and explores different aspects of the dynamical model, with particular emphasis on collision analysis. More precisely, we present a rigorous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Hossein Nick Zinat Matin , Maria Laura Delle Monache

How effective are recent advancements in autonomous vehicle perception systems when applied to real-world autonomous vehicle control? While numerous vision-based autonomous vehicle systems have been trained and evaluated in simulated…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Mustafa Yildirim , Barkin Dagda , Vinal Asodia , Saber Fallah

Robotic calibration allows for the fusion of data from multiple sensors such as odometers, cameras, etc., by providing appropriate relationships between the corresponding reference frames. For wheeled robots equipped with camera/lidar along…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Mohan Krishna Nutalapati , Lavish Arora , Anway Bose , Ketan Rajawat , Rajesh M Hegde

Multiple lidars are prevalently used on mobile vehicles for rendering a broad view to enhance the performance of localization and perception systems. However, precise calibration of multiple lidars is challenging since the feature…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Jianhao Jiao , Qinghai Liao , Yilong Zhu , Tianyu Liu , Yang Yu , Rui Fan , Lujia Wang , Ming Liu