Related papers: Exponential Family Techniques for the Lognormal Le…

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behaviour of the product tail probability $ \mathbb{P}(\xi_1\cdots\xi_N \geqslant n), $ where $\{\xi_1,\ldots,\xi_N\}$ is a finite collection of independent Poisson random variables with positive…

We consider the asymptotics of various estimators based on a large sample of branching trees from a critical multi-type Galton-Watson process, as the sample size increases to infinity. The asymptotics of additive functions of trees, such as…

The following type exponential convergence is proved for (non-degenerate or degenerate) McKean-Vlasov SDEs: $$W_2(\mu_t,\mu_\infty)^2 +{\rm Ent}(\mu_t|\mu_\infty)\le c {\rm e}^{-\lambda t} \min\big\{W_2(\mu_0, \mu_\infty)^2,{\rm…

A large consensus now seems to take for granted that the distributions of empirical returns of financial time series are regularly varying, with a tail exponent close to 3. We revisit this results and use standard tests as well as develop a…

We consider a super-critical Galton-Watson tree whose non-degenerate offspring distribution has finite mean. We consider the random trees $\tau$n distributed as $\tau$ conditioned on the n-th generation, Zn, to be of size an $\in$ N. We…

We study the tail asymptotic of sub-exponential probability densities on the real line. Namely, we show that the n-fold convolution of a sub-exponential probability density on the real line is asymptotically equivalent to this density times…

We prove and generalize a conjecture in arXiv:1610.0474(4) about the asymptotics of $\frac{1}{\sqrt{n!}} f^{\lambda/\mu}$, where $f^{\lambda/\mu}$ is the number of standard Young tableaux of skew shape $\lambda/\mu$ which have stable limit…

There are several ways to establish the asymptotic normality of $L$-statistics, which depend on the choice of the weights-generating function and the cumulative distribution selection of the underlying model. In this study, we focus on…

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

In this article, we study microscopic properties of a two-dimensional eigenvalue ensemble near a conical singularity arising from insertion of a point charge in the bulk of the support of eigenvalues. In particular, we characterize all…

We estimate density and regression functions for weak dependant datas. Using an exponential inequality obtained by Dedecker and Prieur and in a previous article of the author, we control the deviation between the estimator and the function…

The sum of Log-normal variates is encountered in many challenging applications such as in performance analysis of wireless communication systems and in financial engineering. Several approximation methods have been developed in the…

In a recent article the authors obtained a formula which relates explicitly the tail of risk neutral returns with the wing behavior of the Black Scholes implied volatility smile. In situations where precise tail asymptotics are unknown but…

Let $\{Z(\tau,s), (\tau,s)\in [a,b]\times[0,T]\}$ with some positive constants $a,b,T$ be a centered Gaussian random field with variance function $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)$ satisfying $\sigma^{2}(\tau,s)=\sigma^{2}(\tau)$. We firstly derive the…

Let $\alpha\in(0,2)$ and $d\in\mathbb{N}$. Consider the following stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by $\alpha$-stable process in $\mathbb{R}^d$: $$ dX_t=b(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_{t-})d L^{\alpha}_t, \quad X_0=x\in\mathbb{R}^d, $$…

The large-matrix limit laws of the rescaled largest eigenvalue of the orthogonal, unitary, and symplectic $n$-dimensional Gaussian ensembles -- and of the corresponding Laguerre ensembles (Wishart distributions) for various regimes of the…

The matrix exponential restricted to skew-symmetric matrices has numerous applications, notably in view of its interpretation as the Lie group exponential and Riemannian exponential for the special orthogonal group. We characterize the…

In this paper we study a class of exponential family on permutations, which includes some of the commonly studied Mallows models. We show that the pseudo-likelihood estimator for the natural parameter in the exponential family is…

We consider sums of $n$ i.i.d. random variables with tails close to $\exp\{-x^\beta\}$ for some $\beta>1$. Asymptotics developed by Rootz\'en (1987) and Balkema, Kl\"uppelberg & Resnick (1993) are discussed from the point of view of tails…