Related papers: Exponential Family Techniques for the Lognormal Le…
Asymmetric, non-Gaussian probability distributions are often observed in the analysis of natural and engineering datasets. The lognormal distribution is a standard model for data with skewed frequency histograms and fat tails. However, the…
Let $f$ be the density function associated to a matrix-exponential distribution of parameters $(\alpha, T,s)$. By exponentially tilting $f$, we find a probabilistic interpretation which generalises the one associated to phase-type…
We examine exponential sums of the form $\sum_{n \le X} w(n) e^{2\pi i\alpha n^k}$, for $k=1,2$, where $\alpha$ satisfies a generalized Diophantine approximation and where $w$ are different arithmetic functions that might be multiplicative,…
In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…
Asymptotics of the normalizing constant is computed for a class of one parameter exponential families on permutations which includes Mallows model with Spearmans's Footrule and Spearman's Rank Correlation Statistic. The MLE, and a…
The paper presents a novel asymptotic distribution for a mle when the log--likelihood is strictly concave in the parameter for all data points; for example, the exponential family. The new asymptotic distribution can be seen as a refinement…
Stretched exponential probability density functions (pdf), having the form of the exponential of minus a fractional power of the argument, are commonly found in turbulence and other areas. They can arise because of an underlying random…
We examine the exponentially improved asymptotic expansion of the Lerch zeta function $L(\lambda,a,s)=\sum_{n=1}^\infty \exp (2\pi ni\lambda)/(n+a)^s$ for large complex values of $a$, with $\lambda$ and $s$ regarded as parameters. It is…
We introduce a new statistical tool (the TP-statistic and TE-statistic) designed specifically to compare the behavior of the sample tail of distributions with power-law and exponential tails as a function of the lower threshold u. One…
A detailed analysis of the remainder obtained by truncating the Euler series up to the $n$th-order term is presented. In particular, by using an approach recently proposed by Weniger, asymptotic expansions of the remainder, both in inverse…
We prove that the rational Euler characteristic of $\operatorname{Out}(F_n)$ is always negative and its asymptotic growth rate is $\Gamma(n- \frac32)/\sqrt{2\pi} \log^2 n$. This settles a 1987 conjecture of J. Smillie and the second author.…
We consider the problem of efficient simulation estimation of the density function at the tails, and the probability of large deviations for a sum of independent, identically distributed, light-tailed and non-lattice random vectors. The…
It is shown that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a univariate log-concave probability density satisfies desirable consistency properties in the tail regions. Specifically, let $P$ and $f$ denote the true underlying…
We introduce a certain variant (or regularization) $\tilde{\Lambda}^\mu_n$ of the standard Christoffel function $\Lambda^\mu_n$ associated with a measure $\mu$ on a compact set $\Omega\subset \mathbb{R}^d$. Its reciprocal is now a…
In this article, we study a class of lattice random variables in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable random variable with index $\alpha \in (0,2)$ which satisfy a truncated fractional Edgeworth expansion. Our results include…
Let $f(z)=\sum_{n=1}^\infty a(n)q^n\in S^{\text{new}}_ k (\Gamma_0(N))$ be a newform with squarefree level $N$ that does not have complex multiplication. For a prime $p$, define $\theta_p\in[0,\pi]$ to be the angle for which $a(p)=2p^{( k…
We consider the survival probability $f(t)$ of a random walk with a constant hopping rate $w$ on a host lattice of fractal dimension $d$ and spectral dimension $d_s\le 2$, with spatially correlated traps. The traps form a sublattice with…
We continue our work [arXiv:2403.07628] on asymptotic expansions at the soft edge for the classical $n$-dimensional Gaussian and Laguerre random matrix ensembles. By revisiting the construction of the associated skew-orthogonal polynomials…
An involution is a bijection that is its own inverse. Given a permutation $\sigma$ of $[n],$ let $\mathsf{invol}(\sigma)$ denote the number of ways $\sigma$ can be expressed as a composition of two involutions of $[n].$ We prove that the…
We study distributions $F$ on $[0,\infty)$ such that for some $T\le\infty$, $F^{*2}(x,x+T]\sim 2 F(x,x+T]$. The case $T=\infty$ corresponds to $F$ being subexponential, and our analysis shows that the properties for $T<\infty$ are, in fact,…