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We study an optimal investment problem under default risk where related information such as loss or recovery at default is considered as an exogenous random mark added at default time. Two types of agents who have different levels of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-02 Ying Jiao , Idris Kharroubi

Stock market indices are volatile by nature, and sudden shocks are known to affect volatility patterns. The autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (ARCH) and generalized ARCH (GARCH) models neglect structural breaks triggered by…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-05 Tzung Hsuen Khoo , Dharini Pathmanathan , Philipp Otto , Sophie Dabo-Niang

The main purpose of this study is the determination of the optimal length of the historical data for the estimation of statistical parameters in Markowitz Portfolio Optimization. We present a trading simulation using Markowitz method, for a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-10-23 Ertugrul Bayraktar , Ayse Humeyra Bilge

This paper considers the portfolio management problem of optimal investment, consumption and life insurance. We are concerned with time inconsistency of optimal strategies. Natural assumptions, like different discount rates for consumption…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-25 Ivar Ekeland , Oumar Mbodji , Traian A. Pirvu

This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Donghan Kim , Abhishek Tilva

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley

It is well known that mean-variance portfolio selection is a time-inconsistent optimal control problem in the sense that it does not satisfy Bellman's optimality principle and therefore the usual dynamic programming approach fails. We…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-23 Christoph Czichowsky

The effectiveness of utility-maximization techniques for portfolio management relies on our ability to estimate correctly the parameters of the dynamics of the underlying financial assets. In the setting of complete or incomplete financial…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Kasper Larsen , Gordan Zitkovic

This paper studies a robust continuous-time Markowitz portfolio selection pro\-blem where the model uncertainty carries on the covariance matrix of multiple risky assets. This problem is formulated into a min-max mean-variance problem over…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-14 Amine Ismail , Huyên Pham

We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Stacy Williams , Mark McDonald , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Given a stochastic structure with a filtration $\mathbb{F}$, the class of all random times whose conditional distribution functions are differentiable with respect to some $\mathbb{F}$ adapted non decreasing processes is considered. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Shiqi Song

The scope of this manuscript is to review some recent developments in statistics for discretely observed semimartingales which are motivated by applications for financial markets. Our journey through this area stops to take closer looks at…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger

We introduce algorithms for online, full-information prediction that are competitive with contextual tree experts of unknown complexity, in both probabilistic and adversarial settings. We show that by incorporating a probabilistic framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Vidya Muthukumar , Mitas Ray , Anant Sahai , Peter L. Bartlett

We consider a stochastic game-theoretic model of an investment market in continuous time with short-lived assets and study strategies, called survival, which guarantee that the relative wealth of an investor who uses such a strategy remains…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-06 Mikhail Zhitlukhin

This paper completes the two studies undertaken in \cite{aksamit/choulli/deng/jeanblanc2} and \cite{aksamit/choulli/deng/jeanblanc3}, where the authors quantify the impact of a random time on the No-Unbounded-Risk-with-Bounded-Profit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-06 Anna Aksamit , Tahir Choulli , Jun Deng , Monique Jeanblanc

Time estimation is a fundamental task that underpins precision measurement, global navigation systems, financial markets, and the organisation of everyday life. Many biological processes also depend on time estimation by nanoscale clocks,…

Natural disasters may have considerable impact on society as well as on (re)insurance industry. Max-stable processes are ideally suited for the modeling of the spatial extent of such extreme events, but it is often assumed that there is no…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Paul Embrechts , Erwan Koch , Christian Robert

This paper proposes a new method for financial portfolio optimization based on reducing simultaneous asset shocks across a collection of assets. This may be understood as an alternative approach to risk reduction in a portfolio based on a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

No-arbitrage asset pricing characterizes valuation through the existence of equivalent martingale measures relative to a filtration and a class of admissible trading strategies. In practice, pricing is performed across multiple asset…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

We consider a portfolio optimization problem in a defaultable market with finitely-many economical regimes, where the investor can dynamically allocate her wealth among a defaultable bond, a stock, and a money market account. The market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-07 Agostino Capponi , Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez