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The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

Gibbs sampling is a widely popular Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that can be used to analyze intractable posterior distributions associated with Bayesian hierarchical models. There are two standard versions of the Gibbs sampler: The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Grant Backlund , James P. Hobert , Yeun Ji Jung , Kshitij Khare

We introduce the Locally Linear Latent Variable Model (LL-LVM), a probabilistic model for non-linear manifold discovery that describes a joint distribution over observations, their manifold coordinates and locally linear maps conditioned on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-12-02 Mijung Park , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Ahmad Qamar , Zoltan Szabo , Lars Buesing , Maneesh Sahani

Increasingly complex datasets pose a number of challenges for Bayesian inference. Conventional posterior sampling based on Markov chain Monte Carlo can be too computationally intensive, is serial in nature and mixes poorly between posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 Edwin Fong , Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as…

Generalized linear models (GLMs) using a regression procedure to fit relationships between predictor and target variables are widely used in automobile insurance data. Here, in the process of ratemaking and in order to compute the premiums…

Applications · Statistics 2016-06-02 J. M. Pérez-Sánchez , E. Gómez-Déniz

In Bayesian inference, predictive distributions are typically in the form of samples generated via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or related algorithms. In this paper, we conduct a systematic analysis of how to make and evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

In the realm of statistical learning, the increasing volume of accessible data and increasing model complexity necessitate robust methodologies. This paper explores two branches of robust Bayesian methods in response to this trend. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Masahiro Tanaka

Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston

Many domain experts do not have the time or expertise to write formal Bayesian models. This paper takes an informal problem description as input, and combines a large language model and a probabilistic programming language to define a joint…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Justin Domke

In science and engineering, we often work with models designed for accurate prediction of variables of interest. Recognizing that these models are approximations of reality, it becomes desirable to apply multiple models to the same data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Marzieh Ajirak , Daniel Waxman , Fernando Llorente , Petar M. Djuric

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Inference in continuous label Markov random fields is a challenging task. We use particle belief propagation (PBP) for solving the inference problem in continuous label space. Sampling particles from the belief distribution is typically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-12 Oliver Mueller , Michael Ying Yang , Bodo Rosenhahn

Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) provide a principled and flexible approach to modeling the dynamics of a latent state, which is observed at discrete-time points via a likelihood model. However, inference in GPSSMs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Xuhui Fan , Edwin V. Bonilla , Terence J. O'Kane , Scott A. Sisson

Predictive models for binary data are fundamental in various fields, and the growing complexity of modern applications has motivated several flexible specifications for modeling the relationship between the observed predictors and the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-31 Jian Cao , Daniele Durante , Marc G. Genton

Count data is prevalent in various fields like ecology, medical research, and genomics. In high-dimensional settings, where the number of features exceeds the sample size, feature selection becomes essential. While frequentist methods like…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 The Tien Mai

In this paper, we study Bayesian approach for solving large scale linear inverse problems arising in various scientific and engineering fields. We propose a fused $L_{1/2}$ prior with edge-preserving and sparsity-promoting properties and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-17 Xiongwen Ke , Yanan Fan , Qingping Zhou

In Bayesian statistics, many problems can be expressed as the evaluation of the expectation of a quantity of interest with respect to the posterior distribution. Standard Monte Carlo method is often not applicable because the encountered…

Computation · Statistics 2011-10-11 James L. Beck , Konstantin M. Zuev

High-dimensional feature selection arises in many areas of modern science. For example, in genomic research we want to find the genes that can be used to separate tissues of different classes (e.g. cancer and normal) from tens of thousands…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-20 Longhai Li , Weixin Yao

We define a novel class of additive models, called Extended Latent Gaussian Models, that allow for a wide range of response distributions and flexible relationships between the additive predictor and mean response. The new class covers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Alex Stringer , Patrick Brown , Jamie Stafford