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Collective decision-making is a process by which a group of individuals determines a shared outcome that shapes societal dynamics; from innovation diffusion to organizational choices. A common approach to model these processes is using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-03 Maciej Doniec , Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

This paper introduces a Markov chain approach that allows a rigorous analysis of agent based opinion dynamics as well as other related agent based models (ABM). By viewing the ABM dynamics as a micro description of the process, we show how…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2011-08-10 Sven Banisch , Ricardo Lima , Tanya Araújo

This work introduces a Bayesian framework that unifies a wide class of opinion dynamics models. In this framework, an individual's opinion on a topic is the expected value of their belief, represented as a random variable with a prior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-25 Yen-Shao Chen , Tauhid Zaman

We introduce a model of temporal evolution of political opinions which amounts to a dynamical extension of Galam model in which the proportions of inflexibles are treated as dynamical variables. We find that the critical value of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-04-26 Taksu Cheon , Serge Galam

We consider the Hegselmann-Krause model for opinion dynamics and study the evolution of the system under various settings. We first analyze the termination time of the synchronous Hegselmann-Krause dynamics in arbitrary finite dimensions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Seyed Rasoul Etesami , Tamer Basar

Order parameter fluctuations for the two dimensional Ising model in the region of the critical temperature are presented. A locus of temperatures T*(L) and of magnetic fields B*(L) are identified, for which the probability density function…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Maxime Clusel , Jean-Yves Fortin , Peter C. W. Holdsworth

We investigate opinion dynamics and information spreading on networks under the influence of content filtering technologies. The filtering mechanism, present in many online social platforms, reduces individuals' exposure to disagreeing…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-26 Antonio F. Peralta , János Kertész , Gerardo Iñiguez

We generalize a binary majority-vote model on adaptive networks to its plurality-vote counterpart and analyze the time scale to consensus when voters are given more than two options. When opinions are uniformly distributed in the population…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-01 Degang Wu , K. Y. Szeto

Inspired by the work of [Kempe, Kleinberg, Oren, Slivkins, EC13] we introduce and analyze a model on opinion formation; the update rule of our dynamics is a simplified version of that of Kempe et. al. We assume that the population is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-04-28 Tung Mai , Ioannis Panageas , Vijay V. Vazirani

The nature of statistics, statistical mechanics and consequently the thermodynamics of stochastic systems is largely determined by how the number of states $W(N)$ depends on the size $N$ of the system. Here we propose a scaling expansion of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-13 Jan Korbel , Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

In this work we study the critical behavior of a three-state ($+1$, $-1$, $0$) opinion model with independence. Each agent has a probability $q$ to act as independent, i.e., he/she can choose his/her opinion independently of the opinions of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-15 Nuno Crokidakis

Axelrod model is an opinion dynamics model such that each agent on a square lattice has a finite number of possible nominal opinions on a finite number of issues that are usually called features in the field. Moreover, its dynamics between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-07 X. Zou , H. F. Chau

We study a model of stochastic evolutionary game dynamics in which the probabilities that agents choose suboptimal actions are dependent on payoff consequences. We prove a sample path large deviation principle, characterizing the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-10 William H. Sandholm , Mathias Staudigl

The bounded confidence model represents a widely adopted framework for modeling opinion dynamics wherein actors have a continuous-valued opinion and interact and approach their positions in the opinion space only if their opinions are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-11-22 Irene Ferri , Emanuele Cozzo , Aleix Nicolas-Olive , Albert Diaz-Guilera , Luce Prignano

We analyze a simple opinion formation model consisting of two parties, A and B, and a group I, of undecided agents. We assume that the supporters of parties A and B do not interact among them, but only interact through the group I, and that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 M. S. de la Lama , I. G. Szendro , J. R. Iglesias , H. S. Wio

We introduce a model of negotiation dynamics whose aim is that of mimicking the mechanisms leading to opinion and convention formation in a population of individuals. The negotiation process, as opposed to ``herding-like'' or ``bounded…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-11-06 A. Baronchelli , L. Dall'Asta , A. Barrat , V. Loreto

A voter sits on each vertex of an infinite tree of degree $k$, and has to decide between two alternative opinions. At each time step, each voter switches to the opinion of the majority of her neighbors. We analyze this majority process when…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-30 Yashodhan Kanoria , Andrea Montanari

The massive amount of text data on the web has facilitated research on the quantitative analysis of public opinion, which could not be visualized earlier. In this paper, we propose a new opinion dynamics theory. This theory that is intended…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-01-01 Akira Ishii , Yasuko Kawahata

We study an opinion formation model by the means of a co-evolving complex network where the vertices represent the individuals, characterised by their evolving opinions, and the edges represent the interactions among them. The network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Enrique Burgos , Laura Hernandez , Horacio Ceva , Roberto P. J. Perazzo

This paper studies, in dimensions greater than two, stationary diffusion processes in random environment which are small, isotropic perturbations of Brownian motion satisfying a finite range dependence. Such processes were first considered…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Benjamin J. Fehrman