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When recording the movement of individual animals, cells or molecules one will often observe changes in their diffusive behaviour at certain points in time along their trajectory. In order to capture the different diffusive modes assembled…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-21 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

Variance estimation in the linear model when $p > n$ is a difficult problem. Standard least squares estimation techniques do not apply. Several variance estimators have been proposed in the literature, all with accompanying asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-30 Stephen Reid , Robert Tibshirani , Jerome Friedman

Lasso and Dantzig selector are standard procedures able to perform variable selection and estimation simultaneously. This paper is concerned with extending these procedures to spatial point process intensity estimation. We propose adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-24 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédérique Letué

Sparse linear models are one of several core tools for interpretable machine learning, a field of emerging importance as predictive models permeate decision-making in many domains. Unfortunately, sparse linear models are far less flexible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-03 Ryan Thompson , Amir Dezfouli , Robert Kohn

This paper studies high-dimensional regression models with lasso when data is sampled under multi-way clustering. First, we establish convergence rates for the lasso and post-lasso estimators. Second, we propose a novel inference method…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-22 Harold D. Chiang , Yuya Sasaki

Changepoint models typically assume the data within each segment are independent and identically distributed conditional on some parameters which change across segments. This construction may be inadequate when data are subject to local…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Niall M. Adams

We develop a uniform inference theory for high-dimensional slope parameters in threshold regression models, allowing for either cross-sectional or time series data. We first establish oracle inequalities for prediction errors, and L1…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-16 Jiatong Li , Hongqiang Yan

Transductive methods are useful in prediction problems when the training dataset is composed of a large number of unlabeled observations and a smaller number of labeled observations. In this paper, we propose an approach for developing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Pierre Alquier , Mohamed Hebiri

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

This paper considers a linear regression model with an endogenous regressor which arises from a nonlinear transformation of a latent variable. It is shown that the corresponding coefficient can be consistently estimated without external…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-08 Jörg Breitung , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

We study the estimation capacity of the generalized Lasso, i.e., least squares minimization combined with a (convex) structural constraint. While Lasso-type estimators were originally designed for noisy linear regression problems, it has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-12 Martin Genzel , Gitta Kutyniok

Grouping structures arise naturally in many statistical modeling problems. Several methods have been proposed for variable selection that respect grouping structure in variables. Examples include the group LASSO and several concave group…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-07 Jian Huang , Patrick Breheny , Shuangge Ma

We extend the feature selection methodology to dependent data and propose a novel time series predictor selection scheme that accommodates statistical dependence in a more typical i.i.d sub-sampling based framework. Furthermore, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-21 Avleen S. Bijral

It is known that the Thresholded Lasso (TL), SCAD or MCP correct intrinsic estimation bias of the Lasso. In this paper we propose an alternative method of improving the Lasso for predictive models with general convex loss functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Piotr Pokarowski , Wojciech Rejchel , Agnieszka Soltys , Michal Frej , Jan Mielniczuk

This paper considers the problem of variable selection allowing for parameter instability. It distinguishes between signal and pseudo-signal variables that are correlated with the target variable, and noise variables that are not, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-17 Alexander Chudik , M. Hashem Pesaran , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We propose a novel approach for detecting change points in high-dimensional linear regression models. Unlike previous research that relied on strict Gaussian/sub-Gaussian error assumptions and had prior knowledge of change points, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-22 Bin Liu , Zhengling Qi , Xinsheng Zhang , Yufeng Liu

The Arellano-Bond estimator is a fundamental method for dynamic panel data models, widely used in practice. It can be severely biased when the time series dimension of the data, $T$, is long. The source of the bias is the large degree of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-20 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Chen Huang , Weining Wang

I briefly report on some unexpected results that I obtained when optimizing the model parameters of the Lasso. In simulations with varying observations-to-variables ratio n=p, I typically observe a strong peak in the test error curve at the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-29 Nicole Kraemer
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