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This paper presents a sharp approximation of the density of long runs of a random walk conditioned on its end value or by an average of a function of its summands as their number tends to infinity. In the large deviation range of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

This paper is devoted to the analysis of the finite-dimensional distributions and asymptotic behavior of extremal Markov processes connected to the Kendall convolution. In particular, based on its stochastic representation, we provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-10 Marek Arendarczyk , Barbara Jasiulis-Gołdyn , Edward Omey

We prove results for random walks in dynamic random environments which do not require the strong uniform mixing assumptions present in the literature. We focus on the "environment seen from the walker"-process and in particular its…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Stein Andreas Bethuelsen , Florian Völlering

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

The main goal of this text is comprehensive study of time homogeneous Markov chains on the real line whose drift tends to zero at infinity, we call such processes Markov chains with asymptotically zero drift. Traditionally this topic is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

The paper deals with the asymptotic properties of a symmetric random walk in a high contrast periodic medium in $\mathbb Z^d$, $d\geq 1$. We show that under proper diffusive scaling the random walk exhibits a non-standard limit behaviour.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Andrey Piatnitski , Elena Zhizhina

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Random-Walk Metropolis algorithm on probability densities with two different `scales', where most of the probability mass is distributed along certain key directions with the…

Computation · Statistics 2015-10-12 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth Roberts , Alexandre Thiery , Natesh Pillai

Symmetric heavily tailed random walks on $Z^d, d\geq 1,$ are considered. Under appropriate regularity conditions on the tails of the jump distributions, global (i.e., uniform in $x,t, |x|+t\to\infty,$) asymptotic behavior of the transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-02 A. Agbor , S. Molchanov , B. Vainberg

We consider trap models on Z^d, namely continuous time Markov jump process on Z^d with embedded chain given by a generic discrete time random walk, and whose mean waiting time at x is given by tau_x, with tau = (tau_x, x in Z^d) a family of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-17 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pierre Mathieu

Continuous time random walks (CTRWs) are versatile models for anomalous diffusion processes that have found widespread application in the quantitative sciences. Their scaling limits are typically non-Markovian, and the computation of their…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-25 Mark M. Meerschaert , Peter Straka

We consider random walks on discrete state spaces, such as general undirected graphs, where the random walkers are designed to approximate a target quantity over the network topology via sampling and neighborhood exploration in the form of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Vishwaraj Doshi , Jie Hu , Do Young Eun

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

We consider random walks in dynamic random environments and propose a criterion which, if satisfied, allows to decompose the random walk trajectory into i.i.d. increments, and ultimately to prove limit theorems. The criterion involves the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Julien Allasia , Rangel Baldasso , Oriane Blondel , Augusto Teixeira

Random walks on the circle group $\mathbb{R}/\mathbb{Z}$ whose elementary steps are lattice variables with span $\alpha \not\in \mathbb{Q}$ or $p/q \in \mathbb{Q}$ taken mod $\mathbb{Z}$ exhibit delicate behavior. In the rational case we…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Istvan Berkes , Bence Borda

Recent studies have demonstrated an interesting connection between the asymptotic behavior at ruin of a L\'evy insurance risk process under the Cram\'er-Lundberg and convolution equivalent conditions. For example, the limiting distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Philip S. Griffin

In this paper a method based on a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is proposed to compute the probability of a rare event. The conditional distribution of the underlying process given that the rare event occurs has the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Thorbjörn Gudmundsson , Henrik Hult

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

Our objective is to explore random walks on the general linear group, constrained to a specific domain, with a primary focus on establishing the conditioned local limit theorem. This paper marks the initial stride toward achieving this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Ion Grama , Jean-François Quint , Hui Xiao

Let $X$ be a L\'evy process with regularly varying L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain sample-path large deviations for scaled processes $\bar X_n(t) \triangleq X(nt)/n$ and obtain a similar result for random walks. Our results yield detailed…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Chang-Han Rhee , Jose Blanchet , Bert Zwart

We consider a random walk with a negative drift and with a jump distribution which under Cram\'er's change of measure belongs to the domain of attraction of a spectrally positive stable law. If conditioned to reach a high level and suitably…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Sergey G. Foss , Anatolii A. Puhalskii